News for hackers. Stuff that matters.
Re:Boeing delays 737 MAX software fix delivery by sgc on Tuesday April 02, 2019 @01:00PM (#19556280)
There are a number of unstable planes in service that work just fine. I don't see why it matters if they are airliners as long as instability does not translate to a higher safety risk, and I don't know if any other airliners are unstable or how unstable they might be. In this case the instability appears to have been far less significant than the faulty corrective mechanisms. I agree completely that Boeing was not transparent about how to use their plane and did not make it safe enough.
Re:Boeing delays 737 MAX software fix delivery by pedrocr on Tuesday April 02, 2019 @01:20PM (#19556466)
You are very certain of your conclusion while not knowing the answers to all the fundamental questions to make that conclusion.

> I don't see why it matters if they are airliners as long as instability does not translate to a higher safety risk

We don't know what the extra safety issue might be.

> I don't know if any other airliners are unstable or how unstable they might be.

We don't know if anyone has ever done this before, or how completely unusual it might be.

> In this case the instability appears to have been far less significant than the faulty corrective mechanisms.

And finally we don't even know the level of instability. The system was there possibly correcting for huge issues. After all the fleet is grounded instead of just disabling the system.

Re:Boeing delays 737 MAX software fix delivery by cjbprime on Tuesday April 02, 2019 @01:27PM (#19556536)
I've read that the extra lift generated by the nacelles doesn't actually result in aerodynamic instability -- the plane's not going to stall itself -- but results in reduced backpressure on the yoke in a way that fails airworthiness certifications for required amounts of pressure. (With the idea being that the pilots may induce a stall due to not needing to provide as much force on the yoke as they would expect to have to in order to do that.)
Re:Boeing delays 737 MAX software fix delivery by ethbro on Tuesday April 02, 2019 @01:37PM (#19556638)
> And finally we don't even know the level of instability

It'd approach criminal liability if the FAA certified a plane they didn't know the level of instability of. This is why test flights are performed.

As the other commenter mention, something that gets lost in this discussion is the fact that MCAS was there to make the control feel approximate other airframes.

The same aero adjustments could be accomplished by the pilot, but regulations prohibit their being necessary. So, MCAS.

We're talking 'stability that adheres to control forces required by regulation' rather than 'F-117 drop out of the sky' instability.

Re:Boeing delays 737 MAX software fix delivery by pedrocr on Tuesday April 02, 2019 @02:02PM (#19556911)
> It'd approach criminal liability if the FAA certified a plane they didn't know the level of instability of.

The question isn't if they didn't know, it's if this is an unusual level of instability for an airliner.

>We're talking 'stability that adheres to control forces required by regulation' rather than 'F-117 drop out of the sky' instability.

Hopefully yes, but we don't know how much instability there is. If you assume the answer there's no point having the discussion.

Re:Boeing delays 737 MAX software fix delivery by mikeash on Tuesday April 02, 2019 @02:36PM (#19557224)
Aerodynamically unstable aircraft cannot be flown purely by humans. They require a fly by wire system. The 737 is not fly by wire, thus we can pretty trivially conclude that the 737 is aerodynamically stable.
Re:Boeing delays 737 MAX software fix delivery by pedrocr on Tuesday April 02, 2019 @02:43PM (#19557288)
That's pithy. MCAS is definitely fixing something.
Re:Boeing delays 737 MAX software fix delivery by ams6110 on Tuesday April 02, 2019 @02:47PM (#19557327)
Read mhandley's post upthread. It explains what MCAS does: it addresses a certification requirement for handling control forces at high angles of attack.
Re:Boeing delays 737 MAX software fix delivery by mikeash on Tuesday April 02, 2019 @02:46PM (#19557310)
Of course, but it’s not fixing aerodynamic instability.
Re:Boeing delays 737 MAX software fix delivery by pedrocr on Tuesday April 02, 2019 @02:50PM (#19557357)
How does that change anything? If the instability is not aerodynamic and instead is runaway pitch up on power, how is that any different?
Re:Boeing delays 737 MAX software fix delivery by mikeash on Tuesday April 02, 2019 @02:52PM (#19557383)
You keep insisting that we don’t know if this airplane is unstable. My point is that we do know. If you want to argue that some other aspect of it makes it equally dangerous, be my guest. I’m just correcting that one thing.
Re:Boeing delays 737 MAX software fix delivery by pedrocr on Tuesday April 02, 2019 @03:03PM (#19557499)
>You keep insisting that we don’t know if this airplane is unstable.

Because we don't. You've only corrected a strawman, that we know this plane isn't a fully aerodynamic unstable design like an F-16. No one thought that.

I never even specifically said aerodynamically unstable, just that we don't know the level of instability MCAS is correcting for to know if it is unusual for an airliner design. From what I had read I had assumed it was actually a power-on issue and not aerodynamic. But as it turns out the issue is indeed apparently aerodynamic from the engine shape generating more lift at higher angle of attack and thus leading to pitch up.

And no, we don't know. We the public at least. We don't know how big the flight envelope is where MCAS is needed or how much of an issue it would be if MCAS didn't exist. From public information we don't know if without MCAS the plane wouldn't enter an unrecoverable pitch up attitude in normal flying conditions. That's not knowing if the plane isn't inherently unstable.

Re:Boeing delays 737 MAX software fix delivery by mikeash on Tuesday April 02, 2019 @03:07PM (#19557532)
Just a few comments up, your response to the idea of being totally aerodynamically unstable was “hopefully yes.” Not “of course it’s stable, that’s obvious.” https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=19556911

I’m not responding to a straw man, I’m responding to what you wrote. If it’s not what you meant, well, I can’t really do anything about that.

Re:Boeing delays 737 MAX software fix delivery by pedrocr on Tuesday April 02, 2019 @03:25PM (#19557715)
Well, quote the whole thing then:

Hopefully yes, but we don't know how much instability there is. If you assume the answer there's no point having the discussion.

I was making the point that we don't know what was actually certified. Having F-117 level instability is obviously not the case but apparently the instability it does have is actually aerodynamic so your argument doesn't even work. The actual opposite is happening. The non-fly-by-wire design was modified with an automatic control adjustment to fix an aerodynamic issue. All your argument proves is that the MAX didn't magically turn the 737 into an inherently unstable design which is not relevant to the issue of if the MCAS is covering up a large or small instability.

Re:Boeing delays 737 MAX software fix delivery by mikeash on Tuesday April 02, 2019 @04:01PM (#19558013)
Ok. “Hopefully” did not convey that to me. It means you leave open the other possibility, not that it’s obviously not the case. In which case I interpreted your statement as saying it could have F-117 level instability. If that’s not what you meant then carry on.
Re:Boeing delays 737 MAX software fix delivery by pedrocr on Tuesday April 02, 2019 @07:12PM (#19559450)
That part of the comment was about the second sentence, that if we just assume everything is fine there's no point in the discussion. F-117 instability would be a ridiculous level though. That we can safely assume. My conjecture from what I've read so far:

- Boeing did a good enough job with the airframe that the plane flies mostly fine but there are no miracles and some specific angle-of-attack and airspeed situations make it fall outside the rules.

- To bring the plane back into compliance they implemented a fairly simplistic solution in MCAS. Because the situation that is being fixed was fairly benign they didn't engineer it with triple redundancies.

- The lack of redundancy was understood to not be a big issue because the worst possible outcome is runaway trim and that's something pilots already train for anyway.

- The MCAS runaway trim presents itself in such a unique way that even experience pilots that are already warned about issues with the plane fail to diagnose it.

It's in this context that I would then like to know how unusual this situation is. If modern airliners all have these kinds of issues solved by control software then this is just another failure mode that needs to be fixed. If instead it was indeed unusual to fix the aerodynamic issue with control systems then the discussion about Boeing forcing through with the 737 instead of redesigning becomes more important.

Re:Boeing delays 737 MAX software fix delivery by salawat on Wednesday April 03, 2019 @11:34AM (#19564186)
I made a post upthread about it, but no, this isn't actually unusual, particularly for Boeing. Their design philosophy generally revolves around granting the pilot maximum authority over the plane. There have been various models that have had the same type of compensator built into their controls. The 727-300 I believe is the most notorious I've come across.

McDonnell Douglas also implemented something similar one of their DC' family of jets. I believe it was either the 9, 10, or 11. In that case it was to accommodate a smaller tailplane to decrease drag.

Re:Boeing delays 737 MAX software fix delivery by throwanem on Tuesday April 02, 2019 @01:52PM (#19556783)
"Fly-by-wire" is a colloquialism for indirect, software-mediated control of an aircraft's control surfaces, whether to reduce pilot workload in some flight regimes, as with the 737 MAX 8, or to completely manage the aircraft's aerodynamics based on expressions of pilot intent made via cockpit control inputs, as with the last several generations of Airbus aircraft.

Recent 737 models, including the MAX 8, make partial use of fly-by-wire systems, such as the MCAS that's elicited so many hot takes recently. Airbus aircraft, by comparison, make heavy use of fly-by-wire systems, and have for years. In terms of functionality, it's perhaps the single largest difference between their product line and Boeing's.

On the other hand, the widebody 777 is the first Boeing product to go fully fly-by-wire, completely separating the pilots' control inputs from the aircraft's control surfaces in the way that all modern Airbus aircraft do.

If fly-by-wire is the problem - if, as you seem to suspect, these systems exist to compensate for the inherent flaws of aircraft designs which otherwise would not be able to stay safely in the sky - then these Airbus models, and the 777, should have pretty rough safety records, shouldn't they? We should expect to see these other aircraft fail due to problems of the same sort as affected the 737 MAX 8's MCAS, right?

Luckily, we don't actually need to expect anything in this case, because we have good information on the frequency, severity, and causes of airliner accidents more or less all over the world. Indeed, that information is so good, and so available, that it's a major scandal, and a fecund ground for conspiracy theories, in the rare case where it's not available, as with Malaysia Airlines flight 370.

Thanks to that information, we know that the safest airliner on the planet, by flying hours, is the Airbus A340, which has not yet had a fatal accident. Second is the Boeing 777, which has seen only 541 fatalities in its almost quarter century of revenue service - and that's counting the 298 souls aboard MH 17, shot down five years ago over Ukraine.

Both of these aircraft are about 25 years old. Both have full fly-by-wire control systems. And both are, by any measure, among the safest commercial airliners in the world. If fly-by-wire were intended to cover up for the deficiencies in basic aerodynamic design you seem to lump into the term "instability", is this the safety record you'd expect to see?

Re:Boeing delays 737 MAX software fix delivery by pedrocr on Tuesday April 02, 2019 @02:05PM (#19556932)
You're having a completely different discussion unrelated to what I wrote. Fly-by-wire doesn't imply an inherently unstable airframe.
Re:Boeing delays 737 MAX software fix delivery by throwanem on Tuesday April 02, 2019 @02:31PM (#19557168)
What do you mean by “inherently unstable” here? We’re talking about an automatic trim system, in the case of the MAX 8; you seem to be reasoning from that to an airframe like that of the F-16 or B-2, that’s effectively unmanageable without its FBW, and I don’t understand how you’re getting there.
Re:Boeing delays 737 MAX software fix delivery by pedrocr on Tuesday April 02, 2019 @02:41PM (#19557270)
If you read my post I was only explaining how the OP didn't actually know the things he was claiming. We just don't know how much inherent instability there is in the airframe that then needs to be fixed by fly-by-wire. It's surely not F-16 level but there is clearly a flight regime where things get hairy. The point is we don't know. The OP was claiming everything was fine on the instability issue without knowing how much there is and how much actually exists in common airliner designs.
Re:Boeing delays 737 MAX software fix delivery by cmurf on Tuesday April 02, 2019 @05:26PM (#19558744)
Based on my reading of FAR 25, specifically 25.143 - 25.207, I can't agree it's possible for a transport category airplane to be unstable. So I guess I don't know what you mean by "inherent instability".

I also am unconvinced computers can mediate an airplanes aerodynamic design in order to achieve certification under this part, because again by my reading the expectation is that we (pilots and the flying public) can expect static and dynamic stability dynamic stability, laterally and longitudinally. Can computer control improve these behaviors? Sure. Can computer control make them more linear or consistent or docile or predictable? All of those things. But is it acceptable to have negative static stability, naturally occurring by design, in transport category aircraft moderated by computer? I don't think that's allowed but then I'm not deep diving these regulations either. What happens if all computer control goes down? You can't fall back on the natural static and dynamic stability of the airplane, because it doesn't exhibit those characteristics? That seems bad and not consistent with FAR 25.

However, if any such computer safeguards can be disabled (either by the computer itself becoming confused and removing those safeguards; or by pilots disabling them explicitly), I expect the pilot to be trained as part of the type certification requirements, how the airplane behaves when the safeguards are enabled and disabled.

I'm quite sure Boeing knows the answer to these questions. I suspect the FAA knows the answer to these questions. And when you say "we don't know" I think you mean HNer's engaged in discussion, who maybe aren't even aware that quite a lot of things are mandatory for obtaining transport category aircraft airworthiness certification.

Re:Boeing delays 737 MAX software fix delivery by pedrocr on Tuesday April 02, 2019 @06:53PM (#19559358)
> I'm quite sure Boeing knows the answer to these questions. I suspect the FAA knows the answer to these questions. And when you say "we don't know" I think you mean HNer's engaged in discussion, who maybe aren't even aware that quite a lot of things are mandatory for obtaining transport category aircraft airworthiness certification.

I mean that the general public doesn't know that indeed. And thanks for the references, I'll look them up. The original post I replied to was specifically saying that what you are now describing is not allowed (these types of planes being unstable) should be acceptable.

Re:Boeing delays 737 MAX software fix delivery by sgc on Tuesday April 02, 2019 @01:52PM (#19556780)
"As long as" certainly does not translate to a judgment as to this particular plane's issues. It is a limit as to the type of instability I am fine with - ie safe - or at least not unsafe - instability.

"I don't know" certainly does not translate to we don't know. Plenty of people know.

That is FUD. The level of instability was absolutely known to the manufacturer and certifying agencies before delivery, and even before first flight. The reason why I said "appears to have been far less" is because the summaries of this instability I have read did not describe it as major, and even now, nobody is pointing to the instability as a significant issue. The issue is with how it has been dealt with. Until information comes to light contradicting the information known publicly so far, it is unreasonable for me to be afraid of something I have zero evidence is an issue when evidence to the contrary exists.

Re:Boeing delays 737 MAX software fix delivery by pedrocr on Tuesday April 02, 2019 @01:56PM (#19556835)
We are analyzing accidents that killed hundreds of people and most people are skeptical of Boeing and the FAA for the engineering and certification decisions they took. Saying "I don't know but surely better informed people were ok with this so it's fine" is well below most people's burden of proof. I'm not saying the plane is fatally flawed, I'm saying we don't know the fundamental things to have an opinion on that topic.
Re:Boeing delays 737 MAX software fix delivery by sgc on Tuesday April 02, 2019 @03:08PM (#19557542)
Since there is no evidence the problems you are bringing up are actually problems, even after a lot of information has been made public, I think it is more reasonable than not to presume the problem is where most everyone is looking for it. This does not seem to be a great mystery and a fix was already underway before the second accident.

In the strict sense of the term, we the public will never know. The same people who built the plane will provide a fix, the same people who certified the plane will do so again, the same people who were flying them will do so again, and we will trust them or we won't. Some more people will have their eyes on it, but again, we still won't know. That is the way most science and technology works. Everyone has their small domain of expertise and must trust others in their own. Mistakes were made, and most mistakes look stupid/obvious on hindsight, but they don't negate the capacities of the parties involved. All car manufacturers have safety recalls extremely regularly and we don't make them out to be criminals, nor do we make the certifying agencies pariahs. I personally find it an exaggerated response to lose all trust in everyone involved - especially since new models of planes regularly have more accidents in their first few years of flight, because they are hard to make and they have bugs. It also seems unreasonable for me to criticize a manufacturer for taking economic/market concerns into account when historically even the largest manufacturers are on the verge of bankruptcy semi-regularly. Realistically, they must. At the same time this specific decision does not appear to have been the correct one, but I don't demonize them for making it and even at my most cynical, they obviously did not think people would be dying because of it.

Re:Boeing delays 737 MAX software fix delivery by pedrocr on Tuesday April 02, 2019 @03:15PM (#19557620)
I agree with everything you mention here. There just seems to be a disconnect here:

> Since there is no evidence the problems you are bringing up are actually problems

I didn't bring up any problems. I just said that the things you were claiming were true are not things we actually know to be true.

>In the strict sense of the term, we the public will never know. The same people who built the plane will provide a fix, the same people who certified the plane will do so again, the same people who were flying them will do so again, and we will trust them or we won't.

This is precisely true. Which is why I responded to you by describing the bunch of things we don't know. Chances are this will be fully fixed and we will get a very nice detailed report on how that was done. The actual engineering tradeoff of more inherent stability versus more control is something we don't even know enough to conjecture well about. That's what I responded to in your comment.

Re:Boeing delays 737 MAX software fix delivery by bluGill on Tuesday April 02, 2019 @02:03PM (#19556920)
Disabling the system is a possibility, but then they have to train all pilots to fly the plane without that system. Of course there is no training program in place, it would only take a few months to design it, then a few more to get the program certified as enough, then a few more months to teach the trainers how to teach it, then teach the pilots... It is much faster to fix the system once and for all.