Re:U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Inverts for First Time Since 2007
by AnimalMuppet on Friday March 22, 2019 @05:45PM
(#19467283)
It may have predicted ten out of the last seven recessions. That is, sometimes the yield curve inverts and the recession doesn't happen. So it's not quite a self-fulfilling prophesy - though it still may be a sometimes-self-fulfilling prophesy...
[ Parent
| on HN ]
Re:U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Inverts for First Time Since 2007
by dajohnson89 on Saturday March 23, 2019 @01:15AM
(#19469157)
correct. we can't determine the usefulness of this statistic without a false positive rate.