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Re:One of Wall Street’s Most Popular Trading Strategies Is N... by ackbar03 on Sunday March 03, 2019 @05:30AM (#19293774)
I think getting a bunch of smart people to work on making automated trading strategies 24/7 is a tremendous waste of talent
Re:One of Wall Street’s Most Popular Trading Strategies Is N... by ericsoderstrom on Sunday March 03, 2019 @06:54AM (#19294032)
I recently read The Idea Factory [1] which covers Bell Labs in its heyday. Many of the most brilliant human beings of that era worked for very modest salaries, and seemed content to do so. I wonder why it is that nowadays the "smartest" people tend to work in tech or finance and mostly pursue wealth. A few possibilities:

1. The rate of meaningful new discoveries in basic research has slowed significantly compared to the mid 1900s. Most important advances now involve enormous groups of researchers, and require decades of work. So the basic research route is less appealing overall.

2. Technology and finance provide clear avenues for outsized financial returns that simply weren't available in the past. Enrico Fermi, for example, was fairly enterprising. He wasn't an academic ascetic at least, and made some effort to amass wealth. But the best strategies he came up with were publishing textbooks and maybe some dabbling in the stock market (That is if I remember my details from The Last Man Who Knew Everything [2] correctly)

[1]: https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/11797471-the-idea-factor...

[2]: https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/34746094-the-last-man-wh...

Re:One of Wall Street’s Most Popular Trading Strategies Is N... by TuringNYC on Sunday March 03, 2019 @09:56AM (#19294700)
> [...] Many of the most brilliant human beings of that era worked for very modest salaries, and seemed content to do so.

IMHO this is so obvious -- cost of living, especially housing, healthcare, and higher-education.

A modest salary back in the 80s was good enough to raise a family on. A modest salary these days rarely does. Let me present some actual numbers:

My father purchased a house for ~30k USD. His annual salary was ~30k USD. He was always insistent on working at non-profits and did that for decades as an accountant/auditor/comptroller.

Today, I cannot easily afford the same house even on a mid-high-end salary because the affordability ratio is enormous 2x or 3x. Forget about affording that house on a non-profit org salary.

Further, Bell Labs was a very safe job, you didnt have to worry about layoffs as much back then. So you could further afford things by making a bet on an affordable suburb. That is a harder bet today -- you move to some affordable suburb (which still isnt as affordable as it used to be) and suddenly you've lost your job. You better hope it is close to a commutable metro area.

Same thing with healthcare. Same thing with higher ed. I joined finance, and later tech, because I saw the writing on the wall -- not because I was "pursuing wealth" but because I was pursuing the same exact lifestyle my dad had as a default.

Re:One of Wall Street’s Most Popular Trading Strategies Is N... by gajjanag on Sunday March 03, 2019 @07:24AM (#19294134)
> [...] Many of the most brilliant human beings of that era worked for very modest salaries, and seemed content to do so. I wonder why it is that nowadays the "smartest" people tend to work in tech or finance and mostly pursue wealth. A few possibilities:

This is something in essence that some of us at MIT get told by faculty upon telling them that we want to go into industry. Behind it, though, there is often a fair bit of arrogance: many of them can not truthfully say that they would not do the same if they had to accept an academic position at a "tier 2" place, long postdoc, etc.

That said, the spirit of the point is perfectly fine. My own personal answer is that I have no personal issue with the compensation in academia; the associated "bureaucracy" which is far more severe today (paper/citation counts, and other things of even less significance) turns me away. It remains to be seen for myself how "industrial bureaucracy" compares with it. However, everyone I know has told me that in terms of personal happiness/fulfillment, people who leave are usually much better off.

I mention this as I had a conversation where someone essentially assumed point 1 or 2 rather than the distinct reason above.

Re:One of Wall Street’s Most Popular Trading Strategies Is N... by dual_basis on Sunday March 03, 2019 @07:12AM (#19294103)
On the other hand, why should brilliant people work for modest salaries, creating wealth for others?
Re:One of Wall Street’s Most Popular Trading Strategies Is N... by deogeo on Sunday March 03, 2019 @08:02AM (#19294245)
The needs of the many outweigh the needs of the few?

A society grows great when old men plant trees whose shade they know they shall never sit in?

From each according to their abilities, to each according to their needs?

It is a very recent idea that the best society is created by everyone pursuing only their own self-interest.

Re:One of Wall Street’s Most Popular Trading Strategies Is N... by TuringNYC on Sunday March 03, 2019 @11:16AM (#19295161)
>> From each according to their abilities, to each according to their needs?

Honestly curious about which country you live in? I know some Nordic countries operate this way, but certainly not the US. Here in the US the above strategy would be a crushing losing one -- because the latter half of the "agreement" does not hold.

Suppose you do offer from your abilities and dedicate your live to research, non-profits, education, whatever. There is no social agreement on the other side "to each according to their needs." It is not as if dedicating your life to good social causes suddenly causes massive medical co-pays/co-insurance/deductibles to disappear. It is not as if dedicating your life to good social causes suddenly lands your children a good education (more likely, you'll end up in an impoverished school district with lots of problems.)

What you're proposing works well when both sides of the agreement are in place. Other than that, people have go into social good knowing full well they may pay the cost.

I have a relative who runs a non-profit community medical clinic for those without insurance. From what I can see, the family lives paycheck to paycheck. If the roof breaks or boiler goes bust I can see them being in a lot of trouble.

They accepted this fact and still do it. But that is a very personal and risky decision. One cannot browbeat others into taking such risky decisions.

Re:One of Wall Street’s Most Popular Trading Strategies Is N... by deogeo on Sunday March 03, 2019 @11:50AM (#19295363)
The question was what people should do, not how viable that is. It is up to the voters and the legislature to establish a society where doing what should be done is possible.

I agree that people shouldn't be blamed for looking out for their own needs first (within limits - when billionaires use underhanded tactics to expand their empires, they certainly should be blamed). But I also think working only for your own self-interest shouldn't be idealized, as is more and more the case in the US.

As for which country I live in - one where people are taxed based on their income (from each according to their abilities), and that money is used mostly to fund things for the common good, such as medical care, education, and a social safety net (to each according to their needs). The degree of this transfer is greater than in the US, but that's just it - it's only a matter of degree.

Re:One of Wall Street’s Most Popular Trading Strategies Is N... by pertymcpert on Tuesday March 05, 2019 @12:35PM (#19312315)
No it's not a very recent idea. That's incredibly myopic.
Re:One of Wall Street’s Most Popular Trading Strategies Is N... by roenxi on Sunday March 03, 2019 @06:54AM (#19294036)
Allocation of capital is one of the most important roles in society, bar possibly the judicial system and maybe the government legislature. Not the most powerful role, but quite possibly the one that has the biggest practical impact on people's daily lives along with entrepreneurs. We want smart people working on it.

There is a lot to say on the subject of whether the financial system regulation is creating the right incentives. But there isn't really much room to debate that designing trading strategies is a waste of talent.

Re:One of Wall Street’s Most Popular Trading Strategies Is N... by ackbar03 on Sunday March 03, 2019 @07:10AM (#19294097)
Yes, that and improving efficiency of markets, the go to arguments for wall Street types. I used to be a sell-side trader, allocation of capital was the last thing on our minds. It might add value to the economy in the long run but I'm pretty sure it's way too crowded now with little marginal benefit. If we took the underlying technology and man hours used to make something more useful I think the world would be better off. Something is seriously twisted in its current state
Re:One of Wall Street’s Most Popular Trading Strategies Is N... by AznHisoka on Sunday March 03, 2019 @08:04AM (#19294254)
Everyone pisses on quants/traders but the market would be much less liquid if they didnt exist. You couldn’t easily take out millions of dollars out, if there were no eager buyers on the other end. Yes, their intentions are purely greed, but you can’t have liquidity without the arbitragers, traders and speculators.
Re:One of Wall Street’s Most Popular Trading Strategies Is N... by roenxi on Sunday March 03, 2019 @08:02AM (#19294251)
> I used to be a sell-side trader, allocation of capital was the last thing on our minds.

Bit risky telling someone what their job is, but nevertheless I'd suggest you missed the forest for the trees. The profitability of a trading firm is directly linked to their ability to allocate capital in a way the market likes, and someone with great information thinks that hiring lots of smart people achieves their goals more effectively than hiring small numbers of smart people.

> Something is seriously twisted in its current state

100%, but it isn't the concentration of smart people in finance. That is a good thing - better more scheming bankers than lawyers.

Free market capitalism gives capitalists perfect freedom to operate in the sliver of the Venn diagram that connects what is possible with what customers will pay for. If they step outside that, they go bust.

If there is a problem is probably that the US government didn't let enough companies go bankrupt in the aftermath of the 2008 crisis, and the same idiots that were in charge then are still in charge, or their protegees.

Re:One of Wall Street’s Most Popular Trading Strategies Is N... by ackbar03 on Sunday March 03, 2019 @11:16PM (#19298728)
>Bit risky telling someone what their job is

? Because...?

Re:One of Wall Street’s Most Popular Trading Strategies Is N... by danaris on Sunday March 03, 2019 @10:48AM (#19294983)
> Allocation of capital is one of the most important roles in society

Well...sure, but I don't see these people working to allocate capital to benefit society.

On the whole, the financial industry's influence tends to be to allocate capital to benefit the financial industry.

I get that liquidity is important, but it's not important enough that we should be siphoning off huge chunks of the money in the economy to give to these people as thanks for maintaining it. Frankly, that kind of concentration of wealth decreases liquidity and ends up, over the long term, being directly counter to the stated goal.

Re:One of Wall Street’s Most Popular Trading Strategies Is N... by AznHisoka on Sunday March 03, 2019 @07:58AM (#19294232)
If that is the case, then index funds are antagonistic to that goal. Capital gets allocated to bad-performing companies just because they are in an index that is favorable.

Everyone should then actively decide what specific companies they want to put their capital towards. Instead of baskets of indices.

Re:One of Wall Street’s Most Popular Trading Strategies Is N... by osrec on Sunday March 03, 2019 @08:58AM (#19294445)
> But there isn't really much room to debate that designing trading strategies is a waste of talent.

Are you saying it's not a waste of talent?

Re:One of Wall Street’s Most Popular Trading Strategies Is N... by 2sk21 on Sunday March 03, 2019 @05:50AM (#19293827)
That and figuring out which ad to show you...
Re:One of Wall Street’s Most Popular Trading Strategies Is N... by wizzairflyer on Sunday March 03, 2019 @05:57AM (#19293852)
I see your points but then the question becomes how to give them an incentive to leave those fields. It feels that they are the only one that pay and consider you to your true value.
Re:One of Wall Street’s Most Popular Trading Strategies Is N... by diafygi on Sunday March 03, 2019 @06:31AM (#19293960)
I work in energy, and there's a big debate raging now about the externalities of fossil fuels. People working for the fossil industry make substantial salaries because their industry is not adequately taxed for the externalities their products are causing. If the fossil industries were properly taxed for externalities, my guess would be that salaries would be significantly affected.

Perhaps we should consider fintech and adtech to be similar scenarios? Fintech seems to have externalities that lead to ever growing income inequality. Adtech definitely has externalities on society in the form of increased susceptibility to foreign propaganda and mass surveillance.

I suspect the higher salaries in fintech and adtech are similarly inflated to fossil industry salaries due to the lack of taxing externalities.

Re:One of Wall Street’s Most Popular Trading Strategies Is N... by ForHackernews on Sunday March 03, 2019 @11:34AM (#19295250)
Why would higher industry-specific taxes lower salaries in that industry?
Re:One of Wall Street’s Most Popular Trading Strategies Is N... by Joe-Z on Sunday March 03, 2019 @06:26AM (#19293939)
No, that does not become the question. They chose money over morals, that's it.

It's not like they are helpless victims to economic principles, so they have no other choice than to work for the scummiest types of companies because they offer good pay.

Re:One of Wall Street’s Most Popular Trading Strategies Is N... by samatman on Sunday March 03, 2019 @06:33AM (#19293968)
Sure, you can stop there, if your interest is in moral judgement.

If you’re more interested in shifting the landscape, changing the incentives becomes the priority.

Only one of these puts a stop to the objectionable behavior and wasted talent. So I know which I prefer.

Re:One of Wall Street’s Most Popular Trading Strategies Is N... by cousin_it on Sunday March 03, 2019 @06:51AM (#19294026)
> If you’re more interested in shifting the landscape, changing the incentives becomes the priority.

Or changing laws to make the bad stuff illegal.

I'd be happy to make most ads illegal. In some places they banned all roadside billboards and you know what happened? It made the view better and didn't hurt the economy.

Re:One of Wall Street’s Most Popular Trading Strategies Is N... by samatman on Monday March 04, 2019 @12:48AM (#19299082)
That's certainly one way to change the incentives, and it's one I happen to be open to.
Re:One of Wall Street’s Most Popular Trading Strategies Is N... by sgt101 on Sunday March 03, 2019 @07:09AM (#19294092)
The strange thing is the addiction, people make several million dollars, and then keep going.... Doing bad things for no real motivation (if you v concede that fear of poverty is a fair driver)