News for hackers. Stuff that matters.
Re:Boeing’s Flying Car Has Taken Off by knightofmars on Wednesday January 23, 2019 @10:49AM (#18979190)
And noisy unless I'm mistaken.
Re:Boeing’s Flying Car Has Taken Off by mortenjorck on Wednesday January 23, 2019 @11:19AM (#18979551)
This is really the worst externality of "flying cars," or whatever you want to call short-range commuter aircraft. In absence of some exotic propulsion technology (what usually powers flying cars in science fiction), the amount of air that must be displaced to loft a vehicle carrying one to four people will always be orders of magnitude louder than a land vehicle.
Re:Boeing’s Flying Car Has Taken Off by gvurrdon on Wednesday January 23, 2019 @12:25PM (#18980281)
Noise was certainly a problem for this proposed inter-city transport:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fairey_Rotodyne https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y9633v6U0wo

Re:Boeing’s Flying Car Has Taken Off by Robotbeat on Wednesday January 23, 2019 @11:53AM (#18979918)
Sailplanes carry 2 people and can be launched almost without any noise at all using an electric winch (common in Europe).

If you wanted to use this for commuting, just add a front electric sustainer to it. By the time the sustainer turns on, the aircraft is already pretty high altitude.

It'd be just as quiet as a land vehicle due to the greater distance away from the hearer.

but yeah, helicopters are likely to be fairly loud.

Re:Boeing’s Flying Car Has Taken Off by quacked on Wednesday January 23, 2019 @12:46PM (#18980516)
You're not a free flight aviator, are you? I don't mean to be rude, it's just that I've found that people who don't fly things are always much more optimistic and naive about the realities of air travel than actual pilots are. I'm not trying to sound snarky- I had the same level of optimism and bright ideas for the uses of air travel until I got an aerospace engineering degree and started flying hang gliders.

Sailplanes wouldn't work for commuting because of, in order:

1. Difficulty of training 2. Pilot liability for accidents 3. Weather 4. Space required to take off and land

Re:Boeing’s Flying Car Has Taken Off by dchichkov on Wednesday January 23, 2019 @05:25PM (#18983784)
I'm a sailplane, powerplane and a paraglider pilot and experimental airplane owner, with two decades of soaring flight behind. I have a micro-scale meteorology and atmosphere modeling as a hobby. I work as an engineer and computer vision researcher, on autonomous vehicle project.

My expert opinion - for limited delivery applications sailplanes could work. You need to do it right - sample and model atmosphere from the vehicle and ground, use gravity to accelerate and decelerate to flying speed, complete automation to remove the pilot. It's not easy. But it is not impossible.

(Incidentally, if someone is willing to drop me ~500k in an attempt to build a prototype - I might consider investing the time required.)

Re:Boeing’s Flying Car Has Taken Off by quacked on Monday January 28, 2019 @02:20PM (#19020232)
I agree with you for "limited delivery applications", by if we're talking about limited delivery applications, why wouldn't we just use low-cost powered flight? Much safer and more controllable.
Re:Boeing’s Flying Car Has Taken Off by dchichkov on Saturday February 02, 2019 @12:25AM (#19061288)
Low cost eVTOL flight? It has high external costs of noise pollution. Also the eVTOL is nessesarily a complicated machine. The cost of that complexity is high.

By talking sailplanes, I didn't mean unpowered flight. Of course you need power, to counteract drag . I was primarily referring to a form-factor (clean, efficient and and silent like a sailplane) and to a mode of takeoff and landing (convert speed to altitude with a wing, instead of eVTOL).

Re:Boeing’s Flying Car Has Taken Off by Robotbeat on Thursday January 24, 2019 @01:12AM (#18986385)
I'm in training to become one. I've flown a sailplane a few times now.

I'm merely pointing out one method that would allow near-elimination of noise.

...and you can fly a sailplane at a younger age (13 for solo flight) than you can drive (usually 16). And driving has most of those concerns as well.

Re:Boeing’s Flying Car Has Taken Off by amelius on Wednesday January 23, 2019 @01:01PM (#18980699)
1 could be handled by a full autopilot; perhaps it can make 2 a non-issue; and by planning aircraft landing and take off centrally, 4 could be dealt with as well.
Re:Boeing’s Flying Car Has Taken Off by Toutou on Wednesday January 23, 2019 @01:36PM (#18981125)
Autonomous car: - drives pretty much on a plane - able to stop when confused - precise speed and direction control - stable (i.e. does not oscillate or slide) - uses the same environment (the actual road) for reference and "handling" (tire grip) - anyone with IQ > 70 can drive one

Autonomous sailplane: - flies in 3D space with pitch, roll, yaw - has both MAX (Vne) and MIN (stall) speed, can't stop and wait - can't even stop descending (!) - HEAVILY influenced by wind and thermal conditions - pretty unstable, oscillates when upset - can not use ground as visual reference reliably - flying one is no joke even for a human, requires serious training

Good luck with your full autopilot.

Re:Boeing’s Flying Car Has Taken Off by dchichkov on Wednesday January 23, 2019 @05:44PM (#18983971)
Autonomous car is harder than autonomous plaine. An autonomous plane can be flown with near-zero accidents by dGPS and traffic control alone. Try that with a car ;) . But take an autonomus plane, add an atmospheric model - you can have an autonomous sailplane.
Re:Boeing’s Flying Car Has Taken Off by quacked on Monday January 28, 2019 @03:07PM (#19020590)
It can be FLOWN with near zero-accidents by dGPS and control alone. That's steady/level flight, not counting issues with weather, launching, landing, and responding to in-flight emergencies. In a driving failure case, you crash or slow down, and you generally keep the accident constrained to the road. In a flying failure case, you've got a high-speed projectile moving in 3 directions.
Re:Boeing’s Flying Car Has Taken Off by dchichkov on Wednesday January 30, 2019 @12:04AM (#19032842)
Flown = Takeoff, flight, landing, emergencies handling.

What pilots usually do during emergency is to go through the checklist. There is not much room for improvisation.

Vehicles - it is a completely different level of problem. If you try to drive with dGPS alone, you will collide almost immediately. Even on the empty road, because dGPS is not good enough. And actually, it is almost AGI-complete problem, as you need to model and interact with other traffic participants.

Re:Boeing’s Flying Car Has Taken Off by cr0sh on Wednesday January 23, 2019 @03:37PM (#18982612)
> Good luck with your full autopilot.

While it doesn't completely negate your argument...

https://www.raspberrypi.org/blog/zero-hab-glider/

http://izzybrand.com/

Re:Boeing’s Flying Car Has Taken Off by stcredzero on Wednesday January 23, 2019 @03:45PM (#18982709)
If you wanted to use this for commuting, just add a front electric sustainer to it.

How about a solution for a VTOL craft, like the Boeing vehicle? How about an airship with high speed winches, with smaller drones managing the ends of the cables? The cables could attach to aircraft that want to take off, which would be pulled up to a height where their rotor noise wouldn't be so annoying.

Re:Boeing’s Flying Car Has Taken Off by andyidsinga on Wednesday January 23, 2019 @01:17PM (#18980886)
This is an interesting idea - and sailplanes can carry a lot more than 2 people :) ex. Waco CG-4 .

That said, they were also nick named "flying coffins".

re: winch tow - when I was an Air Cadet in canada as a teen, we used to fly in schweizer 2-33's and occasionally went up on the winch - it was absolutely exhilarating!

Re:Boeing’s Flying Car Has Taken Off by Robotbeat on Thursday January 24, 2019 @01:14AM (#18986393)
That's a glider, but not really a sailplane...

...I've flown a 2-33. It's not much better than the Waco! :)

Unfortunately, I haven't flown it with a winch.

Re:Boeing’s Flying Car Has Taken Off by kevin_thibedeau on Wednesday January 23, 2019 @11:42AM (#18979810)
Helicopters are loud because the blades cross over the airframe and are powered by turbines. An electric multicopter based design could have significantly lower noise levels.
Re:Boeing’s Flying Car Has Taken Off by binarymax on Wednesday January 23, 2019 @11:50AM (#18979888)
If going by the noise emitted by your average consumer drone, and scaling it up, I think the opposite is probably true - it would be crazy loud.
Re:Boeing’s Flying Car Has Taken Off by 83 on Wednesday January 23, 2019 @02:30PM (#18981790)
Consumer drones aren't really aiming for quiet though. My racing drones are very buzzy since the small 3-5in props are fast spinning to have quick reaction time. My heavy lift photography drone with its slow 12in props (aiming for efficiency) is way larger and much quieter.
Re:Boeing’s Flying Car Has Taken Off by kevin_thibedeau on Wednesday January 23, 2019 @01:18PM (#18980900)
Few consumer level drones make any effort at noise reduction. Blade and shroud design can significantly impact noise production.
Re:Boeing’s Flying Car Has Taken Off by stcredzero on Wednesday January 23, 2019 @03:47PM (#18982735)
Re:Boeing’s Flying Car Has Taken Off by BurningFrog on Wednesday January 23, 2019 @11:09AM (#18979436)
That's where Elon's tunnels are undeniably the better 3D alternative.
Re:Boeing’s Flying Car Has Taken Off by gamblor956 on Wednesday January 23, 2019 @12:30PM (#18980335)
Elon's tunnels are the worst 3D alternative. The hourly capacity of a single city bus exceeds the daily capacity of an Elontunnel.

For example: Elon has proposed a tunnel to Dodger stadium. However, the existing Union Station-Stadium shuttles can (and do) handle 10x the proposed Elontunnel's max daily capacity in about an hour or two depending on traffic.

Re:Boeing’s Flying Car Has Taken Off by njarboe on Wednesday January 23, 2019 @02:16PM (#18981609)
Couldn't one put buses in these tunnels? One could even mix buses and cars when the buses aren't taking up all the space.

I don't quite get the hate for Elon's tunnels. Let him and his team try and build them and see if they work. Super cheap tunneling would be great for so many things. That is, unless you think that humans have too much power and think we should regress back to some more primitive lifestyle. "Try to help make a future that you would like to live in." Traffic congestion sucks. It would be great to get rid of it. Cheap tunnels could be one way to help. Why stop people from trying?

He did start and still runs a company that makes reusable rockets. You have to try to do something before you know what is possible.

Re:Boeing’s Flying Car Has Taken Off by bobthepanda on Wednesday January 23, 2019 @05:02PM (#18983557)
As a cynical person, I've seen many US discussions of "why invest in public transport when Hyperloop and the Boring Company have the solution coming up in a few years?"

Transport investment is like planting a tree. The best time to build it is twenty years ago, and the second best time to do it is now. Elon has basically given cover to NIMBYs to hide behind a supposedly new amazing future solution that may never come.

Re:Boeing’s Flying Car Has Taken Off by njarboe on Thursday January 24, 2019 @12:04PM (#18990484)
There is plenty of capital in the world right now that there is no reason not to build all different kinds of new transportation schemes. Elon's first tunnel got NIMBYed. One main feature of tunnels is that you can, hopefully, put them lots of places where surface building is impossible. What people put in them will be up to the builders.

Construction costs has not come down in price over time like many other things have. I think he hopes that the Boring Company can list a price/mile for tunneling that is much lower than current costs and let people actually budget them. Maybe sell these better machines to other construction companies at some point. He broke the cost-plus pricing for satellite launches. Just think what something like that for tunneling could do for transportation systems. Billion dollar overruns are on the digger not the public. That would be great.

Re:Boeing’s Flying Car Has Taken Off by bobthepanda on Thursday January 24, 2019 @04:07PM (#18992974)
If you actually look into construction projects, including extremely expensive American ones, tunnel boring is not a significant cost.

The actual cost comes in station digging; stations need to be high throughput and extremely reliable, which favors complexes with a large footprint and thus more required property taking, usually in dense urban areas that require complicated engineering. For highway tunnels the similar cost factor are onramps and offramps; if you want a ramp to be safe and efficient at high speed you need a lot of space.

Hyperloop “solves” this problem by proposing elevators. Very few metro stations are elevator only because they are low throughput and are prone to mechanical failure, as opposed to staircases that are not.

An interesting writeup on the case study of the Second Avenue Subway: https://pedestrianobservations.com/2018/01/27/construction-c...

Re:Boeing’s Flying Car Has Taken Off by njarboe on Friday January 25, 2019 @03:11PM (#19002030)
Yes. With cheap tunnels one could hope to plan for many exits and a large network that goes everywhere. Like a road system, but underground. Imagine an early city where all the roads are really just paths in the dirt that are completely rutted and almost impassible when it rains. Someone proposes to pave the main road with cobblestones. This is really expensive and wont help people travel on all of the other paths that still won't be paved.

Ok. Give up I guess; bad idea.

No. Let's start with this one, fix the various problems that arise, discover how to make a good paved road with the least amount of labor and resources, and continue to expand the paved network to reach everywhere in the city.

This is what happened. Would you want to go back to unpaved roads in a city? Traffic congestion is killing American society. I like American society. Many people don't like to live all packed together but still want to work with other people and have the amenities that cities enable. Cars and interstate roads allowed that for a few decades but now we need a new system to continue expansion of the free flow and interaction of people. Underground roads could replace interstates and we could turn them into grand boulevards for pedestrians, bikes, and other slow vehicles. Wouldn't that be great? Almost all car traffic is underground. Would you support such an idea?

Re:Boeing’s Flying Car Has Taken Off by stcredzero on Wednesday January 23, 2019 @03:52PM (#18982798)
Elon's tunnels are the worst 3D alternative. The hourly capacity of a single city bus exceeds the daily capacity of an Elontunnel.

For example: Elon has proposed a tunnel to Dodger stadium.

Fixed wing airplanes are the worst flight alternative. The passenger capacity of a single hot air balloon far exceeds the passenger capacity of an airplane. For example: A Wright Flyer.

Sorry, but this is a bit strawmannish. You do realize it's a proof of concept project, right? It's not like the Falcon 1 disproves the capacity of all SpaceX rockets, ever.

Re:Boeing’s Flying Car Has Taken Off by Retric on Wednesday January 23, 2019 @12:42PM (#18980467)
That’s wildly inaccurate. First busses reduce the ability of a road to transit cars \ trucks. So actual gain is significantly less than nominal gain.

Second even with a single passenger vehicle, a tunnel can move people over it’s full distance at the same time. Consider a bus moving people on a 5 minute trip vs 50 minute trip on the second case it’s got 1/10 the capacity.

Sure, a 3.5 mile tunnel adds little on it’s own. But, then again it’s also short.

Re:Boeing’s Flying Car Has Taken Off by eropple on Wednesday January 23, 2019 @01:22PM (#18980945)
It's not inaccurate at all. A tunnel is strictly bound on surface traffic--because traffic has to enter and exit it--when it doesn't involve slow, failure-prone, low-capacity access points at either end.

While we're at it, optimizing for number of vehicles rather than number of passengers is a very...how do I put it...rich way of thinking about things. Which jibes very well with Elon Musk's whole thing: "mass transit is great so long as I don't have to see the poors."

Re:Boeing’s Flying Car Has Taken Off by joshe on Wednesday January 23, 2019 @02:57PM (#18982107)
If you watch the talk, the plan is for autonomous pods that holds passengers with their bikes. Little buses basically. And also cars. You can’t just read the media reports, they are always about max outrage.
Re:Boeing’s Flying Car Has Taken Off by stcredzero on Wednesday January 23, 2019 @03:54PM (#18982822)
I miss the days when I could mostly read news that played on awesome, not outrage.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rE3j_RHkqJc

Re:Boeing’s Flying Car Has Taken Off by jandrese on Wednesday January 23, 2019 @01:04PM (#18980726)
Is this assuming a single car at a time in the tunnel? Otherwise I don't see how it could possibly be true. That's absurdly low volume. Like a regular road would beat it easily.
Re:Boeing’s Flying Car Has Taken Off by eropple on Wednesday January 23, 2019 @01:27PM (#18981017)
Not a single car, but a lot fewer than Elon wants you to believe. We already know that the baseline technology being proposed works. Guided buses have been in use for a long time now. But there's a reason it's used with buses, not individual cars. And it's for a pretty simple reason: the loading process into the tunnels can't be fast. Much hay is being made about minimal surface disruption, but elevators are slow. As is driving into a guide tray that moves the car along.

donoteat01 does pretty fantastic video work about a number of urban planning topics and he's shot this one full of holes already. You should watch it if you're curious. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4dn6ZVpJLxs

Re:Boeing’s Flying Car Has Taken Off by njarboe on Wednesday January 23, 2019 @02:31PM (#18981810)
"the loading process into the tunnels can't be fast"

Why is that the case and can it be fixed? I would say that this problem would be easier to solve than the problem of getting a orbital class rocket booster to go into space, launch the second stage, and then return to the launch pad and land.

Musk likes to work from first principles to try and understand what is possible. What is the physics behind why you can't have a very full, steady stream of vehicles going through a tunnel? Nothing really. The vehicles just have to be very well controlled. With a good auto-vehicle you should be able to pack them in and have them enter and exit into the stream of traffic. Like a real road, only better. Why would you not want someone of Musk's caliber to not try to do this? My dad would rather have him working more on getting the automatic car working so he can continue commuting to work. I can understand that objection, but he says the Boring Company is only about 2-5% of his time. If you want something to happen you try and decide if it is possible, and then try and do it. Not spend you time figuring out how not to do it.

Re:Boeing’s Flying Car Has Taken Off by jandrese on Wednesday January 23, 2019 @02:39PM (#18981897)
From what I can tell the bottleneck is a single slow freight elevator. It doesn't seem like a fundamental problem with the underlying technology, just an implementation detail.
Re:Boeing’s Flying Car Has Taken Off by eropple on Wednesday January 23, 2019 @02:36PM (#18981868)
It can't be fast because the constraints he's laid out don't allow them to. Elevators don't work that way. Neither does braking safety. (Run the numbers yourself, or go watch that donoteat01 video. It's farcical on its face.)

The rest of your post is weird heroification and I'd have to bleach myself after interacting with it, so I won't.

Re:Boeing’s Flying Car Has Taken Off by BurningFrog on Wednesday January 23, 2019 @11:31PM (#18985987)
> the loading process into the tunnels can't be fast

True, but a loading/unloading time of 30-60 seconds only means the tunnels are less feasible for short trips.

Re:Boeing’s Flying Car Has Taken Off by eropple on Sunday January 27, 2019 @05:23PM (#19014116)
This is true--but then a top speed of 140mph, as asserted by Elon and company, is unlikely to be feasible because the cars involved won't have time to accelerate to that speed before needing to decelerate at a human-comfortable speed for arrival (which then causes knock-on effects on everybody else in that tunnel system, and I hope their braking systems all work perfectly forever).

And we haven't even gotten into how a top speed of 140mph will burn the hell out of street tires.

It's just...dumb. It's not thought out. It's aggressively reality-averse. It's thought-leadery as hell.

Re:Boeing’s Flying Car Has Taken Off by joshe on Wednesday January 23, 2019 @03:57PM (#18982864)
Absolutely.

People are super confused about this. The reporting wasn't very good and you have to look beyond it. The original idea is

- little 16 person passenger pods with bikes, wheelchairs, and luggage. $1 fare.

- possibly sleds for cars

- you can stack tunnels (think of them as car lanes in 3D), so you can have 20, 50 or 100 lane highways

- you make lane changes autonomously, so the subway pods can have different destinations

- it's all electric so there isn't poisonous engine exhaust

This is just people boarding a bus, the throughput is super high.

Even sled loading can be pretty fast, imagine replacing 20 street parking spots with sled elevators. Then accelerated to 100 mph, that too is a lot of throughput.

Here's the pod part of the Boring company talk. It's worth watching to see what they are proposing. https://youtu.be/AwX9G38vdCE?t=1372

Elon and company got excited that they built a tunnel, which is a real achievement. So they drove a Tesla through it. The media knows what you want, which is max outrage, so they reported that the 1% will get tunnels with their Teslas. You will be stuck in gridlock behind a diesel truck.

They should not have driven a Tesla through it, it was a PR blunder.

Here is a Heathrow pod experiment: http://www.bbc.com/autos/story/20140910-hands-off-with-heath...

Re:Boeing’s Flying Car Has Taken Off by bobthepanda on Wednesday January 23, 2019 @04:59PM (#18983533)
These are just small trains. If it was built today you could automate the Boston Green Line too - the technology already exists.

The main issue with building tunnels is cost. Tunnels aren't cheap and are hard to scale because soil conditions are extremely local and you have to tailor boring machines to ground conditions. Egress points are expensive, especially in dense urban areas where property values are sky high. You could use elevators instead of stairs, but the problem is that elevators are low-throughput and unusable in the event of unreliability.

Even considering all that, Elon did build a tunnel, but the tunnel was quite short and also quite small. There's not really room for emergency ventilation, or egress walkways with exits or safety points every 300m, or really anything that modern fire codes would require. Once you add all that in the tunnel is not really narrower than a subway train, at which point you might as well build a subway train. And why not? The New York subway has a capacity of 60,000 people per hour per direction using signals from the 1930s. A highway lane only carries about 2,000 people per hour. And all of that's assuming your low-capacity elevator entry can handle all of that.

PRT just combines the inefficiency of the automobile with the cost of actually building transit. There is a reason that PRT experiments have never been replicated elsewhere at large scale.

Re:Boeing’s Flying Car Has Taken Off by eropple on Wednesday January 23, 2019 @11:41AM (#18979804)
Sure--insofar as eventually, once they fail, the tunnels are already the correct size for a standard subway car for actual mass transit that can actually help people. 'Cause the on-street traffic jams they would--not "might", check out donoteat01's stuff for a full breakdown--create are not exactly a better situation.