Re:My Life After a Heart Attack at 38
by arcticfox on Sunday January 20, 2019 @09:00PM
(#18956995)
In my experience doctors are terrible at this, although it's supposed to be basically their entire job. I really think they should get more training in it, or some type of Bayes-esque tool to make what they're thinking explicit.
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> really think they should get more training in it, or some type of Bayes-esque tool
They have those online. If you're in your 30s and have a reasonably healthy lifestyle and don't smoke, then your risk of dying from a cardiac event over a ten year period is likely somewhere between 0.25% and 0.5%, depending on how much you exercise and genetic factors.
If anything, Bayesian logic is what leads doctors to ignore signs of heart attacks in young people in the first place.