Re:Seagate Announces 16TB HDD
by projectramo on Wednesday December 05, 2018 @03:27PM
(#18612169)
Nothing in the argument I laid out has anything to do with smooth curves. The same arguments apply for lumpy or unsmooth curves.
OP was talking about 10 year lags! Please read the whole thread in context.
NAND prices have dropped considerably over the last 10 years, but not as fast as hard drive prices.
https://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2017/9/24/9577541-15...
Customer demand is not smooth. I will buy precisely 0 SSDs at prices > $125 per 1T drive, and I will suddenly buy 4 as soon as the price drops below there. There are thousands to millions of other customers will scattered plot points around that area, but while you can draw a smoothed graph over them and be reasonably correct, they do not actually represent a mathematical law.
Further - Information is imperfect and markets, for all their elasticity, are only trending towards efficiency.
This all assumes you're arguing in good faith. This in itself is an unreasonable assumption - Your last, mocking line seems to belie it. As does this line.