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Re:Finland freezes arms export permits to Saudi Arabia and U... by ptaipale on Friday November 23, 2018 @09:55AM (#18516727)
If you look at actual numbers, brexit isn't doing much to the British economy. There's plenty of doomsaying in oral and written communications, but when people and institutions put their actual money in the game, the expectation seems to be that there's going to be life as usual.
Re:Finland freezes arms export permits to Saudi Arabia and U... by lostlogin on Friday November 23, 2018 @12:23PM (#18517714)
Though it hasn’t happened yet, and there is no real plan and total disarray. It’s not a reassuring situation.
Re:Finland freezes arms export permits to Saudi Arabia and U... by ptaipale on Friday November 23, 2018 @12:47PM (#18517870)
I understand why people are distressed, because the press and other media make a lot of noise about imminent disaster. However, markets price in ahead of time any impacts that they foresee, and we can observe that

- Britain's government debt yields, e.g. 2 and 10 year bonds, remain at similar levels to pre Brexit vote, and unlike before 2016, 10-year yields are now lower than US 10-year yields

- in currencies, the GBP has remained fairly stable against EUR and USD.

I have no doubt that there will be some impact. I did not wish Brexit to happen. But I see some positive signs as well (mainly in that this forces EU leaders to sober up).

Re:Finland freezes arms export permits to Saudi Arabia and U... by sys_64738 on Friday November 23, 2018 @09:00PM (#18520002)
The Brit pound devalued by about 20% V the USA dollar. The buoyant export market is propping up the brit pound as it's cheap to export but staples like food imports have risen in price. A recent report indicated that the UK economy would have grown something like 8% more had there been no brexit.

Brexit is a disaster.

Re:Finland freezes arms export permits to Saudi Arabia and U... by ptaipale on Saturday November 24, 2018 @04:05AM (#18521182)
It devalued instantly after the unexpected voting result, but has since then recovered.

Compared to historical shifts over past decades, the impact of Brexit is not very visible on a chart. The falls from 1970 to 1975, or 1980 to 1985, or in 2008, are clearly more dramatic.

https://www.poundsterlinglive.com/bank-of-england-spot/histo...

"Recent reports" are many and contradictory, as usual.

Re:Finland freezes arms export permits to Saudi Arabia and U... by sys_64738 on Saturday November 24, 2018 @10:26AM (#18522397)
Recovered?

Nonsense. The historical trend for the pound is to be worth $1.5 whereas it’s trundled along around $1.2 since. Stop making up excuses for the disaster that is brexit.

No sane nation would leave the EU.