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Re:Google may shut down its news service in Europe by CaptainZapp on Wednesday November 21, 2018 @05:32AM (#18501559)
We can certainly argue if the "link tax" is a good idea.

Google, however, playing the hurt and wounded entity because they're no more able to leech "free" content to make a killing is, well, not very plausible.

Don't want to provide EU users with Google News?

Well, good bye and good riddance.

Re:Google may shut down its news service in Europe by knorker on Wednesday November 21, 2018 @05:57AM (#18501714)
> leech "free" content

Google News doesn't (in itself) have revenue. No ads.

If you'd said Google Search or Youtube, then that's a completely different thing. Those are multi-billion dollar products, and I suppose your argument is that Google doesn't add any value between site/youtuber and customer?

But Google News? It's one thing to have a service for free. It's another to force someone to pay to run a free service.

"Playing the hurt"? I have seen zero indication of that. All I've seen is "Shrug, if that's the rules you make then a product like this cannot exist. We'll shut it, then".

I don't use Google News, myself.

> Well, good bye and good riddance.

People who like this kind of product (that now cannot exist) and news sites, would disagree. E.g. see what happened in Germany when the link tax was introduced.

You may not like it, but users (clearly… I mean they used it) and news sites do.

And now it's a thing that can't exist in the EU.

Re:Google may shut down its news service in Europe by efdee on Wednesday November 21, 2018 @06:22AM (#18501829)
News sites complain about Google stealing their content, which is why the law came into existance in the first place. Which is, of course, ridiculous, because they profit a lot from the eyeballs sent their way by Google.

It's just plain greed, and I'd rather have Google shut down their news service instead of getting some unholy exemption which would stiffle innovation in the news gathering area.

Re:Google may shut down its news service in Europe by simias on Wednesday November 21, 2018 @07:31AM (#18502167)
Even though I'm not in favor of this law I understand the point of view of the news outlets. Basically it's a team effort: Google aggregates the news which gives users a convenient entry point to access articles that interests them from a variety of websites but of course that wouldn't be possible if journalists didn't write the articles in the first place. Google wins by having more people use their services and log into their Google account, news outlets wins by reaching a larger audience through Google.

But then, from the point of view of the news outlets, the benefits from this arrangement are not split fairly because they're the ones who do the hard and expensive part (writing the articles, investigating etc...) while Google merely links to them while making money from ads and collecting user data. If they're lucky the user may end up clicking on the headline to actually access the website, and then if they don't have an ad blocker they may generate a couple of ad impressions. Basically they're left with the scraps even though they're the one who actually did most of the actual work.

Now I think the link tax is a bad solution to this issue but I also think it's not completely fair to call news agencies "greedy" in a blanket statement. The business model of journalism in the internet era is still very much an open question.

Re:Google may shut down its news service in Europe by knorker on Wednesday November 21, 2018 @09:05AM (#18502725)
I agree with all that except it should be clearer that Google doesn't gain anything (except PR?) from actually running Google News. There are no ads on it.

Google probably does gain from people logging in (though you can use Google News without logging in, it probably does cause people to log in, even if just a little more).

If the newspaper has ads from Google, then Google does take a cut (that's the business logic), and arguably Google News is similar to the newspaper buying ads on Google Search, except they don't have to pay.

People do pay for Google Search ads to drive traffic to their site, and for newspapers that probably gives them ad revenue and signups.

Newspapers get a similar service from Google News for free.

"Should Google (or anyone else) pay newspapers in order to run a news aggregation service" really boils down to "how much $ is a login worth to Google"?

It becomes a formula:

Google News value to google = google_news_users_per_month * fraction_not_logged_in * fraction_who log_in_because_of_google_news * value_of_a_login_to_google

Let's guess some numbers:

1M * 0.7 * 0.2 * $0.01 = $1400 per month

If Google has to pay developers, server infrastructure, AND newspapers more than $1400 then Google loses money on this and SHOULD turn down the product. I say this as a shareholder of GOOG: If it doesn't make financial sense then stop wasting my money.

(but yes, there's also brand value)

PS: Yes, there's one more value to Google, and that's the general: "More Internet use is a benefit to Google because any increase of Internet use will have a fraction on it go to sites that have Google ads on them". But saying that's bad is as if Google were to give free Internet, and people would demand that Google pay to give free Internet to people, because users would browse to sites where many of them would have Google ads on them.

Re:Google may shut down its news service in Europe by simias on Wednesday November 21, 2018 @10:57AM (#18503573)
If Google news holds so little value to Google, why didn't they shut it down at the first sign of controversy? After all they publicly oppose these laws and shutting the service down would remove a big argument of their opponents, wouldn't it?

In particular I'm sure Google benefits from news indirectly by giving them valuable info about their users (you can tell a lot about somebody by what news they're interested in) and also by adding one more potentially useful service to the Google "suite", giving one more reason for users to commit to their ecosystems. That being said I'm incapable of judging of the actual monetary value of either of these things.

>People do pay for Google Search ads to drive traffic to their site, and for newspapers that probably gives them ad revenue and signups.

>Newspapers get a similar service from Google News for free.

That's a bit of mental gymnastics here. That's like saying "people pay to have google ads, but you can also get listed in the organic results for free! Thanks Google!". If I go to Google news then I expect to see news, them only displaying newspapers that agree to pay for it would make the service objectively worse. That would be like having Google search only listing ads and no organic results.

As rational actors it's in the newspaper's best interest to create content that interests people and it's in Google's best interest to promote that content to make their service valuable. Nobody is giving anybody a freebie here.

Re:Google may shut down its news service in Europe by knorker on Wednesday November 21, 2018 @11:44AM (#18503935)
I obviously don't have all the data about why Google is or isn't shutting Google News down.

But given that we are in 2018, not right after 2001-09-11 as when it was created, even if Google News doesn't add anything positive to Google's bottom line or PR (big, BIG "if") there's a huge cost to shutting it down to Google PR, since it's another example of Google shutting a popular product.

If the EU is doing this, it actually gives Google an excuse, in case they wanted to shut it down anyway. And nobody else would make a replacement because it's just not economical.

Yes. I agree that "being logged in while browsing the Internet" has value to Google.

You may disagree on what that value is. I may be way off, but it's a Fermi estimate. I encourage you to plug in the numbers you would estimate, and see what monetary value Google News has to Google, and see if a link tax with amounts that news sites would actually care about makes economic sense.

> That's a bit of mental gymnastics here.

I agree. It's more a counter-point to "obviously Google should pay" than a suggestion for a better model.

> Nobody is giving anybody a freebie here.

On this we agree. Both supply-side parties add value, and all three parties gain value. To say that one of the parties is a "leech" is not accurate.

If the EU forces Google to pay a meaningful fee to news sites, then that may (in my estimate: extremely likely to) completely erase any benefits, and it'd be rational for Google to bug out.

Re:Google may shut down its news service in Europe by CaptainZapp on Wednesday November 21, 2018 @09:20AM (#18502825)
I agree with all that except it should be clearer that Google doesn't gain anything (except PR?) from actually running Google News.

I'm pretty sure they use News as part of their tracking efforts. Being an extremely tight lipped and secretive company this point would be extremely hard to prove.

But given their history of shutting down unprofitable properties I would be surprised if they just provide this service for altruistic reasons.

Re:Google may shut down its news service in Europe by knorker on Wednesday November 21, 2018 @11:36AM (#18503861)
> But given their history of shutting down unprofitable properties I would be surprised if they just provide this service for altruistic reasons.

Google News was ostensibly started for altruistic reasons, because on 2001-09-11 ALL news websites went down under the load.

In 2018 news websites maybe are more behind cloudflare/akamai and would be able to handle load, so less relevant technically.

But to say that altruistic reason would surprise you because of this history is extremely cynical. Even by my standards.

Re:Google may shut down its news service in Europe by efdee on Wednesday November 21, 2018 @08:05AM (#18502348)
But that logic also applies to search in general (in fact, it applies even more there, because Google actually makes money off ads on search but not off news).

I call it greed because news websites have always had the option to exclude themselves from Google if they want to. But they don't, because it's actually a net positive for them. They just want Google's money on top of that.

Re:Google may shut down its news service in Europe by simias on Wednesday November 21, 2018 @11:05AM (#18503626)
I think there are notable differences between search and news. News is more like HN or Reddit. That's a subtle difference though and I can see why you could say that it's effectively equivalent.

>I call it greed because news websites have always had the option to exclude themselves from Google if they want to. But they don't, because it's actually a net positive for them. They just want Google's money on top of that.

I think that the main reason I object to the word "greed" is because it's no secret that most news organizations are struggling to stay afloat these days, so can you really call somebody "greedy" when it's potentially a matter of life or death? Saying that they're doing it in bad faith or that they're barking at the wrong tree would sit better with me I think.

Re:Google may shut down its news service in Europe by np_tedious on Wednesday November 21, 2018 @09:07AM (#18502742)
For plain old linking, I think you're right. But for AMP and the search algo boost that comes with it, this complaint is kind of justified isn't it?
Re:Google may shut down its news service in Europe by endymi0n on Wednesday November 21, 2018 @05:44AM (#18501632)
Google won't lose much from this, the reaction was entirely forseeable.

I'm much more worried about aggregators acting in the EU and having no eternal fountain of revenue like Adsense to withdraw back to.

Now that the regulation would finally be there, a giant swarm of rent seeking publishers will move on to these local players in order to extract at least some revenue from someone, potentially killing a whole industry.

I'm running an aggregator and just the administration effort and legal exposure of being forced to make a deal with every single "content owner" out there (for giving them free traffic in the first place) would make me consider to shut down completely in the EU.

Re:Google may shut down its news service in Europe by mcv on Wednesday November 21, 2018 @05:45AM (#18501637)
What is Google leeching here exactly? They're providing a free service: driving traffic to news sites. If they have to pay for providing that free service, of course they're going to stop doing it. Apparently the EU thinks news sites are sufficiently well known to not need Google for traffic.

Keep in mind that Google News doesn't show ads.

Re:Google may shut down its news service in Europe by emayljames on Wednesday November 21, 2018 @05:45AM (#18501638)
And is hopefully a death knell to their awful amp standard. I see amp as Google's play (pun) to shape how the WWW works, in a lop-sided, selfish manner.
Re:Google may shut down its news service in Europe by comboy on Wednesday November 21, 2018 @05:48AM (#18501657)
I really dislike many things about Google lately. But I still would rather have their services instead of EU regulation.

We had quite a few experiments through out the history where central entity could decide what's best for citizens. Those did not end well.

So how about, if you don't like Google News, just don't use it. You don't need any EU regulation for that.

Re:Google may shut down its news service in Europe by CaptainZapp on Wednesday November 21, 2018 @05:50AM (#18501669)
I rather have democratically elected entites decide how to regulate than tech giants deciding what not to regulate.

The "just don't use it" doesn't cut it. I don't use Facebook (or any of their products). It still very much affects - and has a direct impact on my life.

Edit : Added paragraph 2

Re:Google may shut down its news service in Europe by comboy on Wednesday November 21, 2018 @07:55AM (#18502290)
Can you elaborate on FB having direct impact on your life? I mean BMW has some impact on your life even if you don't drive them, but I'm guessing you have something more specific in mind.
Re:Google may shut down its news service in Europe by CaptainZapp on Wednesday November 21, 2018 @09:17AM (#18502804)
There are so many examples:

Let's begin with shadow profiles of non users. Despite the fact that I didn't sign up they still store my data and track me.

Facebook being abused as a conduit to manipulate elections and as means for nefarious propaganda concerns all of us. You don't need to be a Facebook user to be directly impacted by the toxic effects of populism on society fostered by them

Further, it's a poison to society by allowing hate speech (but not pictures of breast feeding mothers) to be disseminated on a massive scale

As a human being it concerns me when Facebook is used to support genocide and to aid an abet the silencing of critics in countries like Cambodia or The Philippines

As a Jew I feel personally attacked when the highest echelons of the company blow the most vile, antisemtic dog whistles currently available

I believe that all those things (and much more) affects my life a lot more than people driving BMWs.

Re:Google may shut down its news service in Europe by comboy on Wednesday November 21, 2018 @12:37PM (#18504411)
First one is interesting to me. Because if I ask you if you know X, do you think you are breaching his privacy if you told me that you do know X? What if I have a lot of time and ask that a lot of people? It seems to me that in many cases we are punishing entities that operate on publicly available data.

I like security mindset where if something is possible to know about you, you assume that somebody knows it. E.g. you can tell a lot by exact times of HN comments. Or by collecting and analysing data from multiple sources.

I don't like that thanks to street cameras or GPS your car can be very accurately tracked, but in my mind we kind of allowed that the moment we put visible unique registration numbers of cars (I know I'm pretty much alone on this one).

I have no idea where you got antisemitism from, but described problems seem to be mostly problems with society and not really specific to this medium. Some problems are difficult. What one considers a hate speech, somebody else can consider a freedom of speech. And vice versa.

Does it matter if it's Facebook or Orkut or VKontakte? Remember that just as you have some opinion about what policies should given company apply there are other people who have some strong opinion about completely different policies that should have been in place.

Personally, I don't care much whether FB allows pictures of breastfeeding mothers or not since I'm not a user. I also wouldn't even know whether it does - I don't like FB, so I ignore it and most news related to it.

Re:Google may shut down its news service in Europe by llampx on Wednesday November 21, 2018 @03:53PM (#18505997)
You are being downvoted but I don't see any arguments against your points. I agree with the first point. With Instagram and WhatsApp, they have a reach much bigger than people who only have Facebook, and it is common knowledge that they build shadow profiles, in addition to other shady tactics such as using phone microphones to listen to conversations while the app is in the background, and keeping the app in the background by force by abusing audio APIs on iPhones.
Re:Google may shut down its news service in Europe by CaptainZapp on Thursday November 22, 2018 @01:52AM (#18508344)
Yeah, I noted that too. I learned that being downvoted based on good faith arguments (aka for an opinion) is actually a badge of honor.

Seems I hit home and somebody really, really doesn't like my reasoning and at least I hope to have made them uncomfortable with my arguments (best case I would have made them think, but I doubt it).

In the end: It's shame on them. In an apparently smart community clearly stated and honest opinions should never be downvoted, but I don't really see how it can be avoided. But in the end it's auto corrective anyway.

Thanks for the heads-up and the encouragement.

Re:Google may shut down its news service in Europe by calgoo on Wednesday November 21, 2018 @05:40AM (#18501608)
As someone living in Spain i have been without the Google News service for several years now and personally i don't mind at all. I just consume less news, and when there is something important its just one search away (or just going directly to one of the local papers website).
Re:Google may shut down its news service in Europe by sharpneli on Wednesday November 21, 2018 @05:45AM (#18501636)
Doesn’t this validate Googles point. You are visiting less thus bringing the news sites less page views and thus less ad income.
Re:Google may shut down its news service in Europe by mike22223333 on Wednesday November 21, 2018 @05:54AM (#18501697)
No. This means less click bait. Ad revenue is a zero sum game mostly. The shit news site are no longer able to clickbait in Google news. More share of money goes to publishers despite less traffic. Clicbaiters lose.
Re:Google may shut down its news service in Europe by dmortin on Wednesday November 21, 2018 @08:47AM (#18502596)
People keep searching for news with Google, the clickbait is still there for google searches.
Re:Google may shut down its news service in Europe by tomp on Wednesday November 21, 2018 @05:56AM (#18501709)
Each individual publisher can choose to not have Google "leech" their content [1]. The EU government forcing this on the market/population isn't very good governance.

[1] https://support.google.com/news/publisher-center/answer/9397...

Re:Google may shut down its news service in Europe by emayljames on Wednesday November 21, 2018 @06:05AM (#18501755)
Then again, it is a bad thing that a megacorp can run a news service that has no creation itself (leeching) and decides who is shown and forcing websites to use their awful amp websites.
Re:Google may shut down its news service in Europe by vetinari on Wednesday November 21, 2018 @05:36AM (#18501589)
As a fellow European I think that Google shutting down it's news service for EU is a good thing, but for entirely different reason that yours.

Many of these news services do not have the audience, they are getting it from Google. It is nonsensical, that you would bring the eyeballs, and have to pay for the privilege. Google should them deny any promotion or traffic, let them stand on their own feet.

Re:Google may shut down its news service in Europe by dbmyh on Wednesday November 21, 2018 @05:48AM (#18501659)
>Many of these news services do not have the audience, they are getting it from Google

I don't understand. Where are they supposed to be getting the audience from? Do you consider clicks from Google to be worthless? Are clicks from Facebook any better?

Re:Google may shut down its news service in Europe by vetinari on Wednesday November 21, 2018 @06:10AM (#18501774)
Exactly opposite. They are getting their traffic from aggregators (does not matter whether Google, Facebook or anyone else), they do not have brands with big enough recognition to stand on their own.

In the eshop part of the web, there are price aggregators and the eshops pay them for the traffic they are getting, i.e. exactly opposite as the news publishers demand. It would be nonsense, if the eshops demanded that the aggregators pay them, because they make use of data of their sortiment or whatever. Even Amazon pays for the referrals, it is not being paid by the referrals for the privilege of being one.

It was always that he, who brings the customers, is getting paid for that. Not vice-versa.

Re:Google may shut down its news service in Europe by Brotkrumen on Wednesday November 21, 2018 @05:52AM (#18501684)
He means that smaller publishers don't have a brand yet where people just browse directly to their site. Those smaller publishers get a disproportionate share of views when one of their article trends on google news.
Re:Google may shut down its news service in Europe by candiodari on Wednesday November 21, 2018 @08:04AM (#18502342)
Look at their financial reports. Unless by "smaller" you mean 99.5% or more of them, you're inaccurate.

The only news services that would survive this regulation are the public/subsidized ones, pretty much. Maybe that's exactly the goal: eliminate independent press.

Re:Google may shut down its news service in Europe by mcv on Wednesday November 21, 2018 @06:36AM (#18501887)
I guess the only solution for news sites now is massive mergers into a handful of news giants that do have the brand name to stand on their own without needing links from aggregators.

Of course it would help a lot if they also dramatically revised the way they offer their content on the internet. Many news sites are rather awful.

Re:Google may shut down its news service in Europe by dingaling on Wednesday November 21, 2018 @06:06AM (#18501757)
There is no 'link tax'. You can paste a target URL anywhere you like along with descriptive words.

What there is: a restriction on quoting from the article.

That will hurt automated aggregators, certainly. But not hand-curated sites or blogs.

Re:Google may shut down its news service in Europe by dghf on Wednesday November 21, 2018 @09:02AM (#18502702)
> There is no 'link tax'. You can paste a target URL anywhere you like along with descriptive words. What there is: a restriction on quoting from the article.

Well, that depends on what is meant by "quoting from the article". The EFF believes that the proposed wording is so vague that some bare URLs might be covered:

> The Directive is extremely vague on what defines a "link" or a "news story" and implies that an "excerpt" consists of more than one single word from a news-story (many URLs contain more than a single word from the headline).

Source: https://www.eff.org/deeplinks/2018/10/eus-link-tax-will-kill...

Re:Google may shut down its news service in Europe by tim333 on Wednesday November 21, 2018 @06:18AM (#18501811)
>good bye and good riddance.

I use it all the time and would miss it. I have no desire for the EU to regulate useful, free, non profit services out of my life.

Re:Google may shut down its news service in Europe by llampx on Wednesday November 21, 2018 @03:55PM (#18506016)
This is not a scrappy startup though, this is Google. They are anything but non profit.
Re:Google may shut down its news service in Europe by Kiro on Wednesday November 21, 2018 @08:19AM (#18502411)
Speak for yourself. For me, Google News shutting down in Europe would be a disaster.
Re:Google may shut down its news service in Europe by dingaling on Wednesday November 21, 2018 @05:58AM (#18501719)
There is no 'link tax'. You can paste a target URL anywhere you like along with descriptive words.

What there is: a restriction on quoting from the article.