Not really. As an untrained amateur myself hoping to create great solutions. Thing is its the exception, not the rule.

Also with highly complex things (large scale - global problems) often it is possible for an untrained amateur to create a solution that is easy to communicate why it should be good, and it works in the short term. However awhile later, it is found that long term failure occurs

Yes, but the argument is that these untrained amateurs more often make grave errors from ignorance that make existing situations worse, or at best divert resources from more well-considered approaches.

Which produces net better global outcomes I couldn’t say, though I have my own intuitions.

In certain context - empty frontiers vs discovered/cultivated regions

Take the Internet -no one had any models for it. You could come up with new innovations and then disrupt other industries or make entirely new frontiers.

But in denser more studied areas - advances are incremental. People don’t come up with magic hashing functions for example.

Or new engine designs - there’s only so much you can do without breaking emissions norms or fuel efficiency or end up having engines which end up getting damaged.

BUT- the dream is always to find that missing or unthought of idea which changes the world.

It’s just relatively easier with an open frontier.

And quite often, they create toe-curlingly bad ones.