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Re:Solar Just Hit a Record Low Price in the U.S by heisenbergs on Wednesday July 11, 2018 @03:58PM (#17509844)
Not only that. Solar energy production follows the sun, which incidentally is what humans also follow and when they are typically active and using most energy. Hence, solar producing energy when it is actually needed and in most demand (peak energy). This is even more so the case in hotter places that need AC.
Re:Solar Just Hit a Record Low Price in the U.S by Max_aaa on Wednesday July 11, 2018 @04:09PM (#17509916)
Typically peak residential energy use is actually early morning and evening. And those tend to be the worst times for solar.

Solar is great for businesses and schools, well basically anything that operates mainly or totally during the day.

Re:Solar Just Hit a Record Low Price in the U.S by mrb on Wednesday July 11, 2018 @06:08PM (#17510661)
Residential-only energy use is irrelevant. What matters is peak grid usage (ie. residential+industrial) and it is actually mid-day—perfect for solar. For example the UK's real time grid monitoring system clearly shows this peak on the weekly chart: https://i.imgur.com/wTIt5tg.png (source: http://www.gridwatch.templar.co.uk/)
Re:Solar Just Hit a Record Low Price in the U.S by opo on Wednesday July 11, 2018 @08:48PM (#17511405)
A weekly chart like that isn’t really granular enough to show that.

This chart is a few years old, but it shows that the peak demand was in the early evening:

https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=830

The peak demand will also vary at different locations and times of year. As the wikipedia article states:

>...It depends on the demography, the economy, the weather, the climate, the season, the day of the week and other factors. For example, in industrialised regions of China or Germany, the peak demands mostly occur in day time, while solar photovoltaic system can help reduce it. However, in more service based economy such as Australia, the daily peak demands often occur in the late afternoon to early evening time (e.g. 4pm to 8pm).

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Peak_demand

Re:Solar Just Hit a Record Low Price in the U.S by mrb on Wednesday July 11, 2018 @09:21PM (#17511539)
Your chart is even less granular than mine (hourly vs half-hourly), and it has a timezone conversion error. The source they use (ISO New England - https://www.iso-ne.com/isoexpress/) shows the peak of a typical October month to be between 3pm-4pm and not 6pm-7pm: https://i.imgur.com/5rWlnVO.png (the 3 hours difference is the timezone offset between east coast and west coast.)

My chart, if you look closely, has a granularity of one half hour. If you want something even more granular, ISO New England data more clearly shows the peak to be between 2pm-3pm for a typical summer month: https://i.imgur.com/rX1JqoJ.png

Re:Solar Just Hit a Record Low Price in the U.S by opo on Thursday July 12, 2018 @02:48AM (#17512682)
>Your chart is even less granular than mine (hourly vs half-hourly),

I think you might have posted the wrong image to imgur. You linked to: https://imgur.com/wTIt5tg

I am not sure how you are getting half hour indications on that weekly chart.

>...ISO New England data more clearly shows the peak to be between 2pm-3pm for a typical summer month:

Yes, that was why wikipedia says:

>...It depends on the demography, the economy, the weather, the climate, the season, the day of the week and other factors. For example, in industrialised regions of China or Germany, the peak demands mostly occur in day time, while solar photovoltaic system can help reduce it. However, in more service based economy such as Australia, the daily peak demands often occur in the late afternoon to early evening time (e.g. 4pm to 8pm).

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Peak_demand

The EIA web site was talking about October, not the summer months when air conditioning would be used.

As another data point, With PG&E pricing, the most expensive hours are noon to six:

https://www.pge.com/en_US/business/rate-plans/rate-plans/tim...

I think my point is that statements like "hat matters is peak grid usage (ie. residential+industrial) and it is actually mid-day—perfect for solar." can over simplify the problem. The amount of demand will vary in different areas at different times of the year and even when it is raining, there will still be demand.

Re:Solar Just Hit a Record Low Price in the U.S by mrb on Thursday July 12, 2018 @03:10PM (#17517665)
«I am not sure how you are getting half hour indications on that weekly chart.»

See https://i.myimg.io/wi9J.png

«The EIA web site was talking about October»

This is why I also showed an October chart, with a peak at 3-4pm.

But, yes, peak can vary with weather, time of year, etc. All I'm saying is that in general—not always—peak PV generation coincide reasonably with peak electricity demand.

Re:Solar Just Hit a Record Low Price in the U.S by opo on Friday July 13, 2018 @01:23AM (#17520696)
>...See https://i.myimg.io/wi9J.png

OK, for many reasons we are just going to have to agree to disagree on that chart. (I just measured https://imgur.com/wTIt5tg and on my machine it definitely is more than 41 pixels between each day but that doesn't mean each pixel is representing exactly x minutes of time, there is no indication on the chart each pixel actually represents 35 minutes or if it is interpolated data, etc. To me it gives a rough showing of energy demand over a week.)

>...This is why I also showed an October chart, with a peak at 3-4pm.

It isn't clear to me why there would be peak demand at 3-4 in the afternoon in an October day. As the EIA site says:

>...During this period, usually in the early evening, operators need more generating capacity–including more costly "peaking" units. Both day-ahead and long-term forecasts account for these peaks to ensure the assignment of adequate capacity.

>...But, yes, peak can vary with weather, time of year, etc. All I'm saying is that in general—not always—peak PV generation coincide reasonably with peak electricity demand.

I think we basically agree on that. Peak PV generation is probably closer to noon, but in general more energy is needed during daylight hours than at night. (And obviously a hot sunny day will spike energy usage for cooling and solar PV is a perfect fit at that time.) The problem to me is when people over simplify this issue. The amount of demand will vary in different areas at different times of the year and even when it is raining, there will still be demand. I've always been a supporter of solar power but there is a lot of handwaving going on when people say we can get 100% of our power from solar and wind without there being some huge advances in energy storage.

Re:Solar Just Hit a Record Low Price in the U.S by derefr on Wednesday July 11, 2018 @04:19PM (#17509983)
Most energy consumption in the world is industrial, right? We wouldn't need to have nearly as many power plants (of any kind) if all those power plants needed to do was to sustain residential usage.

If you think of it as two power grids, then "the big power grid"—the industrial grid—can be fully powered by solar, and the residential grid, i.e. "the small power grid", is kind of trivial to solve in comparison.

Re:Solar Just Hit a Record Low Price in the U.S by crdoconnor on Wednesday July 11, 2018 @04:44PM (#17510132)
Industrial power is often more amenable to demand shifting though. I want my kettle to start boiling now, but aluminum smelters don't really mind if the throughput is highest at 3pm instead of 3am or vice versa, especially if that gets them a cheaper price.

Even for domestic users, electric storage heaters, water heaters and electric car charging are all amenable to demand shifting. Over time, those will probably become the largest users of electricity if prices keep plunging.

I think there's a lot of money to be made out demand shifting tech, especially if people keep erroneously believing that variability is a problem best solved with expensive lithium ion batteries.

Re:Solar Just Hit a Record Low Price in the U.S by prawn on Wednesday July 11, 2018 @05:46PM (#17510530)
Not sure if it falls under "industrial" but commercial use (shopping centres, offices, etc) fits with solar brilliantly, and at least where I live, offices are rushing to get panels on their buildings. We had it quoted for our co-working space, and the pay-off time was 3-5 years, which is amazing.
Re:Solar Just Hit a Record Low Price in the U.S by secabeen on Wednesday July 11, 2018 @04:46PM (#17510147)
Air Conditioners alone use about 6% of all electricity, so non-industrial is a big chunk: https://www.energy.gov/energysaver/home-cooling-systems/air-...
Re:Solar Just Hit a Record Low Price in the U.S by luhn on Wednesday July 11, 2018 @05:20PM (#17510374)
Unfortunately not the case, solar output peaks in the afternoon and load peaks in the evening. It's been termed the duck curve. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Duck_curve
Re:Solar Just Hit a Record Low Price in the U.S by prawn on Wednesday July 11, 2018 @05:47PM (#17510536)
Where it's hot, people come home from work as the sun is setting, and turn on the A/C. It can be 85F overnight in many parts of the world, which makes sleep very difficult.
Re:Solar Just Hit a Record Low Price in the U.S by klipt on Wednesday July 11, 2018 @07:23PM (#17511031)
If you leave your AC running all day on solar energy ($0 marginal cost), do you still need to run it at night?
Re:Solar Just Hit a Record Low Price in the U.S by prawn on Wednesday July 11, 2018 @10:18PM (#17511713)
Yes. Our house in Australia is reasonably well insulated, but if I turn off the A/C, it feels warm again within about 15-30 minutes. During summer, it can remain 30C (86F) overnight, and higher than that well into the evening. Recently in Oman, the overnight minimum didn't drop below 42.6C (108F) overnight.
Re:Solar Just Hit a Record Low Price in the U.S by sjwright on Thursday July 12, 2018 @12:22AM (#17512172)
A "reasonably well" insulated house by Australian standards is still laughably poor compared to modern European standards. We build rubbish houses here, and we can't insulate worth a damn.
Re:Solar Just Hit a Record Low Price in the U.S by manmal on Wednesday July 11, 2018 @04:03PM (#17509883)
For ACs and cooking lunch, yes. For cooking dinner and artificial lighting, no.
Re:Solar Just Hit a Record Low Price in the U.S by ben_w on Wednesday July 11, 2018 @04:54PM (#17510207)
Dinner is relevant. Lights… take a standard lightbulb form factor fill it with batteries and coat the outside with LEDs, and it can last most of the night.
Re:Solar Just Hit a Record Low Price in the U.S by djrogers on Wednesday July 11, 2018 @05:24PM (#17510408)
Now you’re right back where this started - accounting for the cost of batteries.

Oh, and my stomach says dinner is most definitely not irrelevant.

Re:Solar Just Hit a Record Low Price in the U.S by stale2002 on Wednesday July 11, 2018 @09:46PM (#17511623)
It is an irrelevant portion of total electricity usage. It doesnt matter if a very small portion of your electricity usage has high costs.
Re:Solar Just Hit a Record Low Price in the U.S by ben_w on Wednesday July 11, 2018 @07:38PM (#17511098)
Said batteries cost about the same as the LEDs, which — combined — cost less than the electricity they use in their working life.
Re:Solar Just Hit a Record Low Price in the U.S by a3n on Wednesday July 11, 2018 @04:35PM (#17510084)
How long can molten salt make steam after the sun goes down?