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Re:96-Year-Old Secretary Quietly Amasses Fortune, Then Donat... by chii on Sunday May 06, 2018 @11:31PM (#17010223)
> Not an every year guarantee but over 20-50 years you'll be fine

only in the aggregate. You might hit a particularly bad spell , or some black swan event happens just as you need to liquidate the holdings.

Stock needs management of some kind (even if it's index, you'd still need to decide when to liquidate, and seize the earnings while high rather than keep betting until you require the funds).

Re:96-Year-Old Secretary Quietly Amasses Fortune, Then Donat... by YZF on Monday May 07, 2018 @12:24AM (#17010385)
The whole idea of passive investment is no management and no timing. That's proven to outperform most active management. Yes, you could get unlucky, the world can collapse into chaos, humanity could get destroyed, or various other risks. Definitely owning the US stock market over the last 70 years would have had a pretty good return.
Re:96-Year-Old Secretary Quietly Amasses Fortune, Then Donat... by adrianN on Monday May 07, 2018 @01:37AM (#17010604)
So we just need another world war with the associated period of rebuilding and massive economic growth due to the development of integrated circuits and women joining the workforce.
Re:96-Year-Old Secretary Quietly Amasses Fortune, Then Donat... by exolymph on Monday May 07, 2018 @03:23AM (#17010932)
You don't think the developing world continuing to develop will have a version of that effect?
Re:96-Year-Old Secretary Quietly Amasses Fortune, Then Donat... by adrianN on Monday May 07, 2018 @07:24AM (#17011854)
Maybe. Maybe climate change wrecks the economy. Who knows? Past performance is not a great indicator of future performance.