Although it's not quite the same thing, I'd observe that British Airways has even cut back on its business class-only flights from London to New York. There just aren't that many people willing to pay thousands of dollars to either save a few hours or to travel in more comfort for a few hours.
https://www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/06/21/air-conditioning-m...
Perhaps in the near term it only makes sense for business jets, but it is a step forward. It isn’t money down the drain and the research will pay future dividends.
What does that have to do with the discussion at hand? I am struggling to see the relevance.
Do you think this is some kind of luxury? Have you got any idea how hot it gets in an operations room tent in Afghanistan? And some of those tents are hospitals.
I was only trying to show how little the research costs in the big scheme of things.
The thought of making a colander out of our ozone and ionosphere sends shudders down my spine.
But yeah, it probably isn't ideal for the atmosphere.
Although I suspect that long-term, if you're synthesizing your fuel, you're better off using hydrogen instead of methane. Structural mass is generally higher if you use hydrogen, but there is a performance boost especially at higher velocities. And you avoid the inevitable energy loss from the Sabatier Reaction. And generally better for the climate than methane, particularly if you're running fuel-rich.
It may be tough to have a reusable hydrolox rocket that's efficient from a total cost of ownership perspective.
The total size of the launch market today is infinitesimal (~100 launches per year and vast majority less than a tenth the payload capacity of BFR). But BFR is being built to change that by orders of magnitude. Long-haul point-to-point transport of people means potentially hundreds of thousands to millions of flights per year. Long road to get there, though, and the primary obstacle may just be the incredible airline safety record (to make it close, you probably need to include lifetime saved by making the trips shorter).
But, like I said, premature and superfluous, even though we should still do our accounting carefully, and not rely on "OMG methane!" as the guiding principle of our thinking.
http://www.businessinsider.com/earthquakes-fracking-oklahoma...
Unfortunately, in a hamfisted effort to study the impact of sonic booms, the air force created so many over Oklahoma City that the government lost a very large lawsuit over the damage done to nearby buildings. Regulations ensued, and that effectively stunted any efforts to minimise the sonic boom in commercial applications.
I'm hopeful this can kickstart a new effort to renew SST and scale it to where it was more cost effective than the Concorde tried to be.