Re:New NASA X-Plane Construction Begins
by theothermkn on Tuesday April 10, 2018 @11:46AM
(#16802233)
It's not a stronger greenhouse gas than CO2 when it's sitting in a tank, and it's not a stronger greenhouse gas when it's emitted as hot, reactive exhaust into the atmosphere, where it is immediately reduced to CO2, CO, H2, H, H2O, HO, and so on.
But, like I said, premature and superfluous, even though we should still do our accounting carefully, and not rely on "OMG methane!" as the guiding principle of our thinking.
The total size of the launch market today is infinitesimal (~100 launches per year and vast majority less than a tenth the payload capacity of BFR). But BFR is being built to change that by orders of magnitude. Long-haul point-to-point transport of people means potentially hundreds of thousands to millions of flights per year. Long road to get there, though, and the primary obstacle may just be the incredible airline safety record (to make it close, you probably need to include lifetime saved by making the trips shorter).