Re:Why is everyone so busy? (2014)
by ryanwaggoner on Saturday April 07, 2018 @12:37PM
(#16781459)
Both rents and tuition are included in the CPI:
https://www.bls.gov/cpi/factsheets/owners-equivalent-rent-an...
This looks suspicious. There is not a single mention of square footage in the rents document.
So let's say everyone moves to a smaller house because housing costs are so high, that's not a sign of inflation?!
The BLS corrects for those factors using hedonic adjustments.
"Hedonic adjustments" sounds like a term for "the number is whatever we want it to be but we want it to sound official so people don't question it."
If you mix "hedonic adjustments" into every number then there is zero value in the numbers. There is no meaningful way to quantify a "hedonic adjustment". Is a smartphone a positive or negative "hedonic adjustment" relative to a landline? Lots of people would say it's positive. Lots would say it's negative. Nobody knows the actual answer because smartphones have only existed for a few years.
Add to this the fact that deflating currency makes loans hard to service and biases the lending market toward default. This further decreases the incentive for those with a lot of currency to lend it since the probability of losing it to default becomes higher.
The ideal is probably a little bit of inflation. I think it's possible that we have too much, and that we are misinformed about that because we are measuring the wrong things. I'm not positive but I seem to remember that the CPI does not include things like rent and college tuition, which if true is utterly insane and makes it a bogus statistic.