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Re:Jeff Dean takes over as Google’s AI chief by gaius on Tuesday April 03, 2018 @10:40AM (#16745043)
Such a shame then that that talent is focused on making people click ads
Re:Jeff Dean takes over as Google’s AI chief by pebers on Tuesday April 03, 2018 @10:42AM (#16745061)
Like Bigtable, MapReduce and Tensorflow haven't had any impact outside advertising...
Re:Jeff Dean takes over as Google’s AI chief by jacquesm on Tuesday April 03, 2018 @12:34PM (#16746375)
That's true, but if not for advertising they wouldn't exist.

Advertising is like pornography: lots of technology finds its first application or even invention in either.

Re:Jeff Dean takes over as Google’s AI chief by jonknee on Tuesday April 03, 2018 @11:28AM (#16745575)
It could be worse, a couple generations ago the best minds were used to find new ways to kill people.
Re:Jeff Dean takes over as Google’s AI chief by dmix on Tuesday April 03, 2018 @12:19PM (#16746232)
Not that much different today, a significant portion of high quality talent is still being drawn into the defense industry. But largely to destroy people's privacy and exploiting the weak state of information security instead of killing people.
Re:Jeff Dean takes over as Google’s AI chief by notdonspaulding on Tuesday April 03, 2018 @11:59AM (#16745966)
That seems like an uncharitable reading of history. Even if technically correct, this interpretation of the effects of nuclear weaponry on the number of humans killed in war seems wildly off-base.

https://ourworldindata.org/war-and-peace

In the short-term anyway (by which I mean 1945 to the present day), the advent of nuclear weaponry seems to have decreased the number of humans killed. And that was certainly the most reasonable rationale for the use of nuclear warheads to end WW2.

Re:Jeff Dean takes over as Google’s AI chief by jonknee on Tuesday April 03, 2018 @12:12PM (#16746132)
You're discounting the non-zero chance that nuclear weapons will end the world as we know it. You can't say that about clicking ads.
Re:Jeff Dean takes over as Google’s AI chief by dmix on Tuesday April 03, 2018 @12:30PM (#16746323)
Still, it's ultimately about balancing alternatives.

Whether there is a net-gain in exchange for an extremely rare potential scenario which every party is massively disincentived from ever pursuing even a minor exchange of 'tactical' nukes... let alone the even smaller probability 'world ending' volleys. War was brutal for centuries and was only getting more destructive until nukes.

As much as Oppenheimer may have regretted his involvement it's still has not turned into the total disaster many predicted. We could certainly do more to minimize the threat by reducing stockpiles but from a pure philosophical view of having nukes or not...eh I see a good argument in favour of it.

Likewise people clicking on ads has generated tons of value for society and is a big foundation of the recent technical progress we've all benefited from. This is the tradeoff we've exchange for the relatively minor downside risk of ads making people engage in meaningless consumerist pursuits or unhealthy behaviour or be lied to slightly more efficiently by politicians.

Re:Jeff Dean takes over as Google’s AI chief by sgt101 on Tuesday April 03, 2018 @04:43PM (#16748931)
Your analysis has a number of assumptions. First that anyone contemplating nuclear weapon use is considering net-gains. Second that every party is disincentivized, either in rational calculative terms or in terms of their perception of the incentives. As a counter I give you the modern USA - what is the disincentive for the USA to use 20 or 30 tactical nukes if that achieves one of its strategic aims? Thirdly, what if I told you that the probability of a world ending volley approaches 1.0 ? What is the evidence that it doesn't?

At the height of Watergate a drunken Nixon was quoted as saying "You know what the difference between us is? I'll tell you, I can walk out of this room right now and give an order and a hour later 80 million people are dead". Cuba was nearer the real deal that either side realised, we've had launch orders ignored and lose weapons that were a fail from going off - which almost certainly would have been interpreted as a strike.

And yet people construct everything as ok.

Re:Jeff Dean takes over as Google’s AI chief by dmix on Tuesday April 03, 2018 @05:27PM (#16749464)
> At the height of Watergate a drunken Nixon was quoted as saying "You know what the difference between us is? I'll tell you, I can walk out of this room right now and give an order and a hour later 80 million people are dead".

Sorry, I'm really struggling to take this example seriously, despite the fact it was obviously meant in jest and Nixon was far smarter than most people give him credit for, as it ignores so much context, obvious deterrents, and basic common sense that it hardly changes the equation at all.

Nor does the two potential major known nuclear near-accidents, as I've already conceded that much could be done to minimize the risk. Yet it could still be entirely logical to maintain nuclear weapons as an option going forward and to hold the opinion it was historically ultimately beneficial to society as a whole...

Re:Jeff Dean takes over as Google’s AI chief by gaius on Tuesday April 03, 2018 @12:48PM (#16746537)
Just today on HN there’s a story about another ad-driven company and their role in genocide...
Re:Jeff Dean takes over as Google’s AI chief by kolpa on Tuesday April 03, 2018 @02:56PM (#16747922)
AI and genetic engineering also might end the world as we know it.
Re:Jeff Dean takes over as Google’s AI chief by sgt101 on Tuesday April 03, 2018 @04:46PM (#16748968)
I know nothing about genetic engineering, but I know a lot about AI as it now exists. In an imaginary future it is possible that AI could become a technology that adds significant danger, but now the most dangerous element of AI that exists is definitely the bayesian reasoners that are used in nuclear fuzes, and without the nuclear bit they would not be all that dangerous would they? In terms of AI as a danger you can substitute "12 year old boy" in the loop and get a nastier result every time.

Sadly and wickedly many horrible people all over the world have reached the same conclusion.

Re:Jeff Dean takes over as Google’s AI chief by bitmapbrother on Tuesday April 03, 2018 @02:05PM (#16747385)
>Such a shame then that that talent is focused on making people click ads

Alphabet's Project Loon was providing connectivity to Puerto Rico in the aftermath of Hurricane Maria. What were the other SV companies, that did nothing to help out, working on?

https://arstechnica.com/tech-policy/2017/10/how-google-is-us...

Re:Jeff Dean takes over as Google’s AI chief by sharcerer on Tuesday April 03, 2018 @04:03PM (#16748561)
exactly. no other SV co is as scientific minded as Alphabet. People focus on the fact that they make money from ads, but nobody looks at what they have done with that money. No other company has done so much for education in my opinion indirectly.( Youtube, Google Earth , Google itself). Google Classroom is also there but I am talking about education in general. As a student, if I had to wish which company survived among the top 5 if 4 had to die tomorrow, then most people in their right mind would vote for Alphabet. even haters.
Re:Jeff Dean takes over as Google’s AI chief by antisocial on Tuesday April 03, 2018 @10:43AM (#16745074)
They open source all their excellent work. Rent seeking cable providers are trying to take advantage of the net neutrality repeal to make people click ads.
Re:Jeff Dean takes over as Google’s AI chief by vikascoder on Tuesday April 03, 2018 @01:21PM (#16746909)
Of all the hate that Advertising gets, how will any business survive without Advertising? How does an ad free world look like? You pay for every service as a ad-free subscription model? But how would you come to know such a service exists without Advertising?
Re:Jeff Dean takes over as Google’s AI chief by gaius on Tuesday April 03, 2018 @04:04PM (#16748565)
But how would you come to know such a service exists without Advertising?

If you need a product you will go and look for it. Advertising by definition is to trick you into buying things you don’t need.

Re:Jeff Dean takes over as Google’s AI chief by CydeWeys on Tuesday April 03, 2018 @11:43AM (#16745755)
Aren't you forgetting the vast majority of Google's products that aren't ads, like Search, Maps, Android, Gmail, etc.?
Re:Jeff Dean takes over as Google’s AI chief by pavs on Tuesday April 03, 2018 @12:10PM (#16746105)
I understand what you are trying to say. But all the products you mentioned generates revenue through ads, both directly and indirectly. Google still makes more than 90% of their revenue from ads.

Yes, they are trying to diversify for some time now, maybe they will succeed. but they are not there yet. Most of their current brainshare works on products that make money from ads both directly and indirectly.

Re:Jeff Dean takes over as Google’s AI chief by ddorian43 on Tuesday April 03, 2018 @12:20PM (#16746239)
Is it wrong if a hospital makes money from ads?
Re:Jeff Dean takes over as Google’s AI chief by pavs on Tuesday April 03, 2018 @12:23PM (#16746266)
I would hope so, considering they probably would be sharing patient personal information for relevant ads.
Re:Jeff Dean takes over as Google’s AI chief by CydeWeys on Tuesday April 03, 2018 @12:20PM (#16746241)
We're not talking about where revenue comes from, we're talking about what products engineers are working on. The vast majority of engineering effort at Google is on products like the ones I mentioned, not ads, and it's insulting to Jeff Dean and others to imply that they're not doing anything other than serving up ads. Search, Maps, Android, etc., are all incredibly useful and technically challenging products, and Jeff Dean's code and inventions are used in all of them.
Re:Jeff Dean takes over as Google’s AI chief by pavs on Tuesday April 03, 2018 @12:31PM (#16746336)
I understand what you are saying.

But the issue is not so black or white. Google/Alphabet is not pouring billions of dollars on free products from the goodness of their heart, they are doing so increase their revenue from ADs. As matter of fact, I would think that most of their ad revenue does not come from direct ad products, but indirectly from other products.

Whether ads are ok or not is a different argument (I don't have any problems with Ads as long as they are not too annoying), but the feeling of righteousness is something I can't understand.

Please understand Google is a for-profit public-traded company, with the only objective of making money for their shareholders (nothing wrong with that), but to imply they have all these free products without any hidden revenue agenda (is, mostly Ads), is just ridiculous.

Re:Jeff Dean takes over as Google’s AI chief by rajivm on Tuesday April 03, 2018 @12:59PM (#16746669)
I don't think @CydeWeis was dismissing the revenue motivation, but rather stating that the engineering resources themselves are being poured into other innovative products that users love, not just into AdTech, even if these products are primarily motivated by ad revenue for Google, the company. Individual engineers, like Jeff Dean, may also have different motivations than the publicly traded company for doing the work they do. It's likely the engineers working on Maps, etc. and the underlying tech would not see their work as simply "AdTech."
Re:Jeff Dean takes over as Google’s AI chief by pavs on Tuesday April 03, 2018 @01:13PM (#16746839)
It's absolutely very likely that individual, well-respected developers, and engineers are working on cool things in the company that directly has nothing to do with ads. I have nothing against those individuals or those products or even google for that matter.

But the business model is much more complicated than that.

Their product is their vessel for ad money, you can't mention one without talking about the other.

So when someone says: > vast majority of Google's products that aren't ads, like Search, Maps, Android, Gmail.

It's a very simplistic view of how Google business model works. Because AFAIK, only 3 Google products are directly ads related, but ~90% of their other products exist for the sole purpose of driving business to their ads products.

ie, Machine learning in adsense: https://adsense.googleblog.com/2018/02/introducing-adsense-a...

Re:Jeff Dean takes over as Google’s AI chief by CydeWeys on Tuesday April 03, 2018 @02:08PM (#16747419)
I'm not talking about the business model. I'm talking about the products themselves. We're talking past each other if you can't understand that. The majority of the engineering effort at Google goes into features on the products themselves, unrelated to ads. We're talking about the contributions of individual Google engineers, not the business model of the company as a whole. This isn't "overly simplistic".
Re:Jeff Dean takes over as Google’s AI chief by joshuamorton on Tuesday April 03, 2018 @01:30PM (#16747002)
> but ~90% of their other products exist for the sole purpose of driving business to their ads products.

This is flatly false. While certainly, many of the products are used in ads, yes, very few products exist for the sole purpose of driving ads business. A few examples of things that don't: Drive, Docs, Gmail (GSuite/B2B), GCE (B2B again), ML, TF, etc. (again, B2B offerings, as well as being used for all sorts of internal things that have nothing to do with ads), Youtube (Red, TV), etc.

While many things certainly drive ads revenue, there are very few things that you could argue exist solely, or even mostly, to drive ads revenue.

(Am Googler)

Re:Jeff Dean takes over as Google’s AI chief by pavs on Tuesday April 03, 2018 @02:00PM (#16747339)
But I never said 100% of Google products exist to drive revenue to Ads, I said most do, ie, most free products.

We are not talking about B2B or B2C products for obvious reasons.

Outside of B2B and B2C offering (ie, Gsuite and Youtube RED), both youtube and Gmail makes money from ads. Docs is part of the Drive and Drive with Gmail share same free space limit. Drive is free tier to their B2C offering (pay money for more space). Just like Dropbox has a free tier. Docs is a feature of a drive - which they needed to compete with other similar services.

TF is used as a paid service (along with TPU) for their GCE, also TF is a great marketing tool to hire top-notch machine learning enthusiast to their company. Nothing wrong with that.

According to this (not sure how accurate this is): https://www.statista.com/statistics/266471/distribution-of-g...

Google still accounts close to ~90 of their revenue from ads. The good news is that it looks like their diversification plan is working.

I have nothing against Google or their employees, I think it's an awesome company, I would rather live in a world where Google exists. Regardless of their profit motive, it would be hard to ignore their contribution to make the internet a better place.

Re:Jeff Dean takes over as Google’s AI chief by joshuamorton on Tuesday April 03, 2018 @02:11PM (#16747461)
But "100% of Google products exist to drive revenue to ads" would probably have been more correct than what you originally said, which was

>but ~90% of their other products exist for the sole purpose of driving business to their ads products.

Machine learning at Google, for example, is a product that exists to, among other things, drive revenue to ads. It is not however a product that exists solely to drive revenue to ads.

As soon as you say "we are not talking about B2B or B2C products", you've made a tautological argument. What you're saying is that "all of the Google products which don't make money via other methods make money via ads". Which is trivially true, but also totally uninteresting.

My point was that the original statement you made was a hyperbole: there are not very many Google products which exist, as you stated, "for the sole purpose of driving business to [ads]". Most Google products have other revenue generation methods. That's all.

Re:Jeff Dean takes over as Google’s AI chief by sharcerer on Tuesday April 03, 2018 @03:27PM (#16748228)
One thing which I have adored about Google is X labs ( now part of Alphabet.) very few people are like Larry,Sergey who have the audacity to diversify. They are highly scientific-minded, I see Google/Alphabet both as a tech co and a research , experimentation co. That's what differentiates them from others. Sure, when they fail their success% goes down, but the knowledge acquired by scientific community goes up as a lot of Googlers go on to start their own cos.
Re:Jeff Dean takes over as Google’s AI chief by gaius on Tuesday April 03, 2018 @04:13PM (#16748639)
It's likely the engineers working on Maps, etc. and the underlying tech would not see their work as simply "AdTech."

What’s that Upton Sinclair quote?

Re:Jeff Dean takes over as Google’s AI chief by ori_b on Tuesday April 03, 2018 @11:57AM (#16745938)
Those make Google money almost exclusively through directing eyeballs towards ads.
Re:Jeff Dean takes over as Google’s AI chief by beambot on Tuesday April 03, 2018 @11:59AM (#16745962)
There is a difference between product and business model.