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A comment on Think Bayes: Bayesian Statistics Made Simple (2012). Parent comment

Re:Think Bayes: Bayesian Statistics Made Simple (2012) by wodenokoto on Tuesday November 21, 2017 @08:27AM (#15747695)
> That's not the probability of getting H' heads in a row. It's an estimate of the probability

Well, the true probability is unknown. You might assume a fair coin and do some Bayes rules, but how is that a guarantee of anything?

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Re:Think Bayes: Bayesian Statistics Made Simple (2012) by justinpombrio on Wednesday November 22, 2017 @11:38AM (#15758145)
> You might assume a fair coin and do some Bayes rules

Huh? Read the post, no one is assuming a fair coin.

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