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Re:Record surge in atmospheric CO2 seen in 2016 by Gustomaximus on Monday October 30, 2017 @11:41AM (#15585827)
At the risk of being overly anecdotal, I find it interesting to see the evolution of people in my life who are anti clean energy movement.

First they denied climate change. Then they moved to saying changes were happening but it was normal global fluctuations. Now they are telling me that increased carbon will stimulate growth and help feed the world.

I find it amazing. I dont truly know if global warming is a thing as I'm not a scientist studying this. I do know the vast majority of scientists are screaming we are heading for trouble. Even if they are wrong, why would we take the chance. I find people fighting a change to improve carbon and other global warming causes dumbfounding. Even if the scientist are likely wrong, the downside/cost of pursuing green tech is reasonably limited and why would you take the chance on something so profound.

Re:Record surge in atmospheric CO2 seen in 2016 by djsumdog on Monday October 30, 2017 @11:57AM (#15585988)
Climate change is sadly, totally irrelevant. There are so many other types of pollution that are completely ignored due to the emphasis on CO2. In China there are factory cities with giant lakes of sludge. They expense is to make our semi-conductors, flash memory and other electrical components. There is a tremendous amount of waste from the batteries (although Li-Ion batteries are cleaner to produce than the previous generations; and Musk is building a plant in the US at least).

The true problem is consumerism and planned obsolescence. Phones should last 10 years. They should have standard components like a PC. There should be one kernel that runs on all of them, like a PC. Old laptops should be re-purposed. We need to actually be able to recycle a Pentium 3 instead of shipping all our e-waste to Africa and China where kids pick through them for inefficient amounts of metals.

We need to stop consuming as much stuff. We need to pay higher prices for components that last longer, have a more complete recycling cycle and companies should actually be praised for not meeting sales targets if it means their old stock is simply lasting longer and no longer needs replacement. You shouldn't buy a new laptop if the old one is "two years old and running slow."

I'm not saying CO2 isn't a problem, but the sole focus on it is saddening because it's not the problem itself. It's a symptom of an extremely consumerist society. You cannot replace every gas vehicle with an electric one over the next 20 years. We simply don't have the resources. There are 4 barrels of oil that go into ever set of tiers, not to mention all the plastic and trim. We are getting more wind turbines and solar to better power those cars, yes .. cars that will simply never be built.

We need to reduce cars, have better train systems in every city, live smaller, consume less and make things last. No amount of CO2 emission reduction will solve the actual problem of increasing mass consumption, not until our population starts to curb.

Unfortunately, I don't think we'll see any real changed in the developed world until the next bubble bursts or the next major collapse.

Re:Record surge in atmospheric CO2 seen in 2016 by gaius on Monday October 30, 2017 @12:25PM (#15586311)
There are so many other types of pollution that are completely ignored due to the emphasis on CO2

This is true. In the UK Gordon Brown was so obsessed with CO2 he enacted policies that actually increased particulate pollution from Diesel engines.

Re:Record surge in atmospheric CO2 seen in 2016 by jbattle on Monday October 30, 2017 @11:56AM (#15585976)
10-20 years from now they will all be saying "of course we wanted to do something at the time but the lefties wouldn't let us address climate change." Something about nuclear power (probably)
Re:Record surge in atmospheric CO2 seen in 2016 by tertius on Monday October 30, 2017 @12:46PM (#15586541)
Many lefties support Nuclear.
Re:Record surge in atmospheric CO2 seen in 2016 by jbattle on Monday October 30, 2017 @05:10PM (#15588937)
I'm not saying it'll be an honest argument ;)
Re:Record surge in atmospheric CO2 seen in 2016 by jackmott on Monday October 30, 2017 @11:46AM (#15585875)
>Even if they are wrong, why would we take the chance

Because the economic consequences of fossil fuel regulation could be massively deadly or at least disruptive as well, that is why people and companies spend millions of dollars lying about it.

The balance of power of nations and corporations would be totally upended.

Re:Record surge in atmospheric CO2 seen in 2016 by epistasis on Monday October 30, 2017 @11:59AM (#15586005)
We’re headed that direction anyway as the tech curves for wind solar and storage mean that fossil fuel energy generation is likely to be more expensive in 15-20 years.

We could have gotten here sooner if we had invested more heavily, sooner in these technologies. As it is we had a few forward thinking states like Germany to thank for where we are, with spot prices of wind and most solar being cheaper than coal, and often cheaper than natural gas.

This totally upends the few existing players that were once thought to have unassailable power. But now that companies that are heavily invested in natural gas are treating coal as their competitor and enemy in the political landscape, things are changing. Those natural gas heavy fossil fuel companies are actually asking for a carbon tax!

As solar and wind become bigger economic forces, we will likely start to see more consolidation and see fewer player with stronger political force to compete with natural gas. The nuclear industry has no power here, they let fossil fuel driven companies control their fate, and they have no industrial savvy to build an industry, and instead spend all their time tilting at windmills of weak political forces, and unable to build and deliver reactors when they do have eager customers.

It will be super interesting to see what happens with Perry’s coal NOPR that’s being evaluated by FERC right now. Has FERC been stacked with enough coal partisans, or will the rest of the energy industry win out?

Re:Record surge in atmospheric CO2 seen in 2016 by tankenmate on Monday October 30, 2017 @11:55AM (#15585975)
Some nations however are looking ahead, look at Morocco and Saudi Arabia. Morocco in the past hasn't been a major source of fuel, however they are now creating huge solar farms and planning to export power to Spain (and the rest of Europe). And Saudi Arabia are pumping huge amounts of money in to solar farms and are home to some of the cheapest solar farms in the world, subsidy floor prices are low as 1.79 US cents per kWh according to offers for tender this month. [0]

[0] https://www.thenational.ae/business/energy/world-s-cheapest-...

Re:Record surge in atmospheric CO2 seen in 2016 by duozerk on Monday October 30, 2017 @11:54AM (#15585956)
Exactly. And the very act of stopping most fossil fuel use may result in a very fast increase of warming because of the diminution of global dimming - although how much (and wether or not it's significant) is highly debatable - could be nothing, could be a straight up +1C in a few weeks.

And as you said, stopping the fossil fuel use worldwide would upend our entire modern civilization, result in massive food shortages and an economic crisis, and likely significant conflicts as well. Damned if we do, damned if we don't.

Re:Record surge in atmospheric CO2 seen in 2016 by Brakenshire on Monday October 30, 2017 @11:52AM (#15585936)
> The balance of power of nations and corporations would be totally upended.

Most of these "skeptics" (accepting a very loose meaning of the word) are in the US, and given the US's massive geographical resources, of desert, planes and coastline, and its expertise in technology development, I can't see why it as a nation would object, in terms of a zero sum transfer of power between nations. The really dramatic shift would be away from the Middle East, in particular Saudi Arabia, Iraq and Iran, and I struggle to see why the US should do anything except cheer that.

Re:Record surge in atmospheric CO2 seen in 2016 by lisper on Monday October 30, 2017 @11:52AM (#15585943)
> I dont truly know if global warming is a thing

There is no question that global warming is happening [1]. Even denialists will concede this. They only question the severity of the problem and whether it's man-made or natural.

High temperature records are broken nearly every year nowadays. The last time we had a record low temperature was 100 years ago (though I can't find the reference at the moment).

[1] http://www.climatesignals.org/data/record-high-temps-vs-reco...

Re:Record surge in atmospheric CO2 seen in 2016 by mikeash on Monday October 30, 2017 @12:14PM (#15586171)
Unfortunately, there are plenty of people out there who think it's not actually happening at all. Look for people talking about 1998 as the warmest year on record, the "global warming pause," the little ice age, cherry-picking temperature measurements, and crying foul over the techniques used to transform raw measurements into a global temperature anomaly number.
Re:Record surge in atmospheric CO2 seen in 2016 by lisper on Monday October 30, 2017 @12:36PM (#15586428)
Yeah, should have said "even some denialists will concede this."
Re:Record surge in atmospheric CO2 seen in 2016 by darethas on Monday October 30, 2017 @11:47AM (#15585880)
You perfectly described the 2009 USA Today comic on the Copenhagen Climate Change conference.
Re:Record surge in atmospheric CO2 seen in 2016 by toomuchtodo on Monday October 30, 2017 @11:50AM (#15585917)
Comic for reference: https://i.imgur.com/qbtnwmA.jpg
Re:Record surge in atmospheric CO2 seen in 2016 by mikeash on Monday October 30, 2017 @12:12PM (#15586143)
I've seen people jump between those different arguments in the same conversation. Many deniers/skeptics/whateveryoucallthem tend to go for the strongest claim they think they can get away with, but will retreat to whatever they think might work in a given discussion. In addition to the different arguments you mention, there's also: it's manmade and harmful but not worth the cost of fighting.
Re:Record surge in atmospheric CO2 seen in 2016 by Symmetry on Monday October 30, 2017 @12:02PM (#15586045)
If you look at the effects on carbon dioxide on plant life in isolation from everything else they're right. On the other hand higher temperatures will slow down growth leading to a small net positive or negative depending on which staple crop we're talking about. And on the gripping hand shifting patterns of rainfall are liable to totally screw everything up in a way that could be totally disastrous but which is very hard to predict.

But a reluctance to admit that you're wrong is a big part of human politics. Maybe we can find some way to reframe the issue so that it doesn't seem like a retreat to them?

Re:Record surge in atmospheric CO2 seen in 2016 by goatlover on Monday October 30, 2017 @12:05PM (#15586080)
And if the Amazon dried up considerably, we'd probably be looking at a big net loss.
Re:Record surge in atmospheric CO2 seen in 2016 by Symmetry on Monday October 30, 2017 @05:45PM (#15589192)
Or the Gulf Stream shutting down and Europe freezing. Or any of a dozen other things. And the Sahara greening wouldn't make up for it because nobody lives there to farm it.