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Re:Catalan parliament declares independence from Spain by 6t6t6t6 on Friday October 27, 2017 @10:09AM (#15568406)
> it seems can either turn into a civil war

When only one of the sides have weapons, there can not be a civil war, only a genocide. I am convinced that there is a limit on the violations of Human Rights that Europe will be able to tolerate from a state member.

Re:Catalan parliament declares independence from Spain by simias on Friday October 27, 2017 @10:24AM (#15568585)
"civil war", "genocide". Come on people, don't throw these words willy-nilly, leave that to bad news outlets.

Yes, the spanish government was quite brutal in its attempt to stymie the referendum (probably unnecessarily so) but we're not on the verge of a catalan genocide in any way, shape or form. If you keep abusing words they end up losing their meaning.

Re:Catalan parliament declares independence from Spain by tomjen3 on Friday October 27, 2017 @02:10PM (#15570827)
Is it genocide to shoot at protesters if they are primarily a particular ethnicity?

Because that may be what Spain has to do to force Catalonia to comply.

Re:Catalan parliament declares independence from Spain by TheAdamAndChe on Saturday October 28, 2017 @09:44AM (#15575114)
I think they'll be shooting less because they're a particular ethnicity and more because they're rioting, protesting the decision, or directly fighting the government. Ethnic differences would be coincidental in such an occurrence.
Re:Catalan parliament declares independence from Spain by AnimalMuppet on Friday October 27, 2017 @04:05PM (#15571758)
"Quite brutal" by the standards of the ordinary course of civil society, yes. "Quite brutal" by the standards of governments facing an insurrection? Not so much.
Re:Catalan parliament declares independence from Spain by narag on Friday October 27, 2017 @10:30AM (#15568660)
Yes, the spanish government was quite brutal in its attempt to stymie the referendum

That's wrong. There were a handful of injured, don't believe the propaganda. Most international media that were fooled by that lies have acknowledged this much.

Re:Catalan parliament declares independence from Spain by simias on Friday October 27, 2017 @11:38AM (#15569439)
Regardless of the scale and strength of the repression I'm still of the opinion that it was unwarranted. Declare the referendum to be illegal, tell lawful spanish citizens to stay home then disregard the results. Maybe prosecute the people organizing the referendum if the law allows it.

Even though the referendum was illegal it didn't create any imminent danger. Therefore I think the use of force by Madrid was disproportionate. It also effectively backfired by making the independentists look more sympathetic even though their motive is for the most part rather selfish at the core.

Re:Catalan parliament declares independence from Spain by narag on Friday October 27, 2017 @02:33PM (#15571011)
It's true that it was a disaster but not because they tried to prevent it, but because they didn't the obvious thing and sent the police one day earlier. The videos that are in that page are not particularly violent, just what you would expect when people resist the police.
Re:Catalan parliament declares independence from Spain by handelaar on Friday October 27, 2017 @12:51PM (#15570102)
Oh FFS. We know what we saw on TV outside your little PP-controlled broadcast TV bubble. I was watching footage of your police beating the shit out of people all day long.

This particular argument -- "fake news, it didn't happen" -- is outside of Spain the most ridiculous Trumpish nonsense imaginable. "Lies"? I saw it with my own eyes in real time. Looking us right in the eye and insisting that black is white is offensive.

Re:Catalan parliament declares independence from Spain by pvaldes on Friday October 27, 2017 @01:06PM (#15570236)
Are internet, Twitter and Youtube now controlled by PP? I don't think so.
Re:Catalan parliament declares independence from Spain by 6t6t6t6 on Friday October 27, 2017 @10:45AM (#15568838)
I will just leave this here:

https://spanishpolice.github.io/

Re:Catalan parliament declares independence from Spain by microcolonel on Friday October 27, 2017 @12:02PM (#15569668)
It's interesting to see how quickly people will downplay and deny the actions of the Guardia Incivil.

If the referendum is illegitimate, why suppress it? ;- )

Re:Catalan parliament declares independence from Spain by pvaldes on Friday October 27, 2017 @01:02PM (#15570198)
Because they were planning to spend millions of euro in an illegal thing. Money directly stolen from people like you and me.
Re:Catalan parliament declares independence from Spain by roywiggins on Friday October 27, 2017 @01:59PM (#15570725)
Sending the cops in seems like throwing good money after bad. The ballots were already printed, etc.
Re:Catalan parliament declares independence from Spain by microcolonel on Friday October 27, 2017 @02:08PM (#15570819)
The Spanish government regularly wastes Catalonian money, including sending in police to suppress this technically illegitimate vote. Whatever this vote cost to administer, it is a pittance in the grand scheme of things, especially considering the people seem to be willing to bear the economic burden of attempting to gain sovereignty.

If their crime is misappropriating funds for the referendum, then surely the police should be arresting the politicians, not harassing the public at large.

Re:Catalan parliament declares independence from Spain by AnimalMuppet on Friday October 27, 2017 @04:07PM (#15571771)
Because they were planning to spend millions of euro in an illegal thing, and use the results to try to legitimize the illegal thing in the eyes of the world.
Re:Catalan parliament declares independence from Spain by 6t6t6t6 on Friday October 27, 2017 @08:24PM (#15573321)
Having 11.000 Spanish policemen in Catalonia, including the ones in the Lonely Tones ship, costs 33M EUR a day.
Re:Catalan parliament declares independence from Spain by narag on Friday October 27, 2017 @02:35PM (#15571023)
If the referendum is illegitimate, why suppress it? ;- )

If murder is illegitimate, why suppress it? Brilliant.

Re:Catalan parliament declares independence from Spain by microcolonel on Friday October 27, 2017 @03:48PM (#15571620)
If you could save murder victims retroactively by just not recognizing the murder, this analogy might land.
Re:Catalan parliament declares independence from Spain by jcadam on Friday October 27, 2017 @10:15AM (#15568484)
If the alternative is direct military intervention by the other member states, I suspect they're prepared to tolerate quite a bit.
Re:Catalan parliament declares independence from Spain by megous on Friday October 27, 2017 @10:33AM (#15568703)
They may not have much arms now, but they have money. There are certainly states that would not mind selling them arms for profit.

While secession will be troublesome, there are not many attempts at preventing secession that have not turned ugly violent in recent years because of attempts to prevent it.

I lived through a non-violent federation split and certainly hope for this outcome elsewhere. In the case of my country majority of the people didn't want the split either. Despite that it was possible to happen without violence.

Re:Catalan parliament declares independence from Spain by nemo44x on Friday October 27, 2017 @10:28AM (#15568627)
> When only one of the sides have weapons, there can not be a civil war, only a genocide.

Certainly an argument in support of the second amendment of the United States.

Re:Catalan parliament declares independence from Spain by ben_w on Friday October 27, 2017 @10:43AM (#15568813)
I suspect the only reason the US government lets Americans think the second amendment would enable the population to forcibly remove an undesirable government, is because the weapons and strategic/tactical/leadership skills of the population are vastly out-classed by the armed forces.

What good is a semi-automatic against a supersonic jet that just fired an air-to-ground missile in your direction? Plenty of AK-47s in Afghanistan, they don’t even take on subsonic drones effectively.

Re:Catalan parliament declares independence from Spain by microcolonel on Friday October 27, 2017 @12:04PM (#15569690)
In other asymmetric warfare situations, supersonic jets have done very little to end a conflict. No sane person would ever want to start a war with a civil militia containing nearly all able-bodied men in a region; it's bad enough when just a couple per cent are against you, all with small arms. Imagine how bad it would be with 20%, 30%, 40% of the able-bodied against you.
Re:Catalan parliament declares independence from Spain by ryuker16 on Friday October 27, 2017 @01:03PM (#15570211)
But most of those small arms suck.

In Vietnam and Afghanistan they had weapons being sent to them including stuff like artillery and mortars.

A bunch of militia with store bought guns(many pistols or hunting rifles) doesn't really compare to guys supplied with full automatics and RPGs.

Re:Catalan parliament declares independence from Spain by microcolonel on Friday October 27, 2017 @02:14PM (#15570878)
Consider also that there are arms manufacturers and state militias all across the country. If it's California, they have (some of) Northrop Grumman. If it's Virginia, they have General Dynamics Mission Systems.
Re:Catalan parliament declares independence from Spain by coryfklein on Friday October 27, 2017 @02:54PM (#15571162)
Both of which can get magically disappeared in hours with the superior weaponry and numbers in the hands of the federal government.
Re:Catalan parliament declares independence from Spain by microcolonel on Friday October 27, 2017 @03:15PM (#15571338)
Yeah, it'll work out really well when the U.S. military uses their General Dynamics Mission Systems radios to order their General Dynamics Mission Systems drones to fire General Dynamics missiles at General Dynamics. While their General Dynamics M1 Abrams tanks and General Dynamics Stryker AFVs roll through the streets to kill the civilians.

This is not the way things would play out. The federal government would twiddle their thumbs and say that they are very cross with the separatists, and we'd all get on with our lives.

Re:Catalan parliament declares independence from Spain by ben_w on Friday October 27, 2017 @05:11PM (#15572262)
I thought the implication was the tanks rolling up at General Dynamics offices and factories to “protect national security assets from terrorists”, and the General Dynamics CEO welcoming them with the closest one can get to open arms when you’re wearing heavy body armour.

“Disappeared” isn’t just destroying, it’s capturing, too.

Re:Catalan parliament declares independence from Spain by microcolonel on Saturday October 28, 2017 @11:01AM (#15575335)
Gotcha, sounded at first a lot like "attack General Dynamics and Northrop Grumman because lol we can".

> ...the closest one can get to open arms when you’re wearing heavy body armour.

Ironically, heavy body armour (depending on the width of the chest plate near the breast) is likely to force you to have open arms, not the opposite.

Re:Catalan parliament declares independence from Spain by ryuker16 on Friday October 27, 2017 @06:55PM (#15572900)
You really think in a rebellion they would allow them to legally sell guns in mass quantities?
Re:Catalan parliament declares independence from Spain by TheAdamAndChe on Saturday October 28, 2017 @09:45AM (#15575122)
It takes very little for normal people to produce explosives and IEDs.
Re:Catalan parliament declares independence from Spain by ryuker16 on Saturday October 28, 2017 @04:34PM (#15576661)
IEDs are cute compared to artillery or anti-aircraft.
Re:Catalan parliament declares independence from Spain by wmil on Friday October 27, 2017 @01:37PM (#15570523)
When tyranny starts to come in there's a long period where the government can order the police / military to stand down, but doesn't have the power to order them to commit atrocities themselves.

So there's usually a violent group of government supporters who don't have any special arms or training. eg, Hitler's brown shirts.

The second amendment is very affective against them.

Re:Catalan parliament declares independence from Spain by nemo44x on Friday October 27, 2017 @11:33AM (#15569380)
If the alternative is genocide then I'll take my chances. Asymmetric warfare is a real option and with enough turned generals and armed forces you'd have access to the same high powered weapons and the people could form a militia as well.
Re:Catalan parliament declares independence from Spain by ben_w on Friday October 27, 2017 @12:11PM (#15569752)
Genocide isn’t the alternative but rather the escalation in the hypothetical where the 2nd Amendment is relevant. The US does have nukes, after all.
Re:Catalan parliament declares independence from Spain by microcolonel on Friday October 27, 2017 @12:16PM (#15569794)
I don't imagine there would be popular support for the U.S. government nuking Americans in Seattle over a sovereignty dispute.
Re:Catalan parliament declares independence from Spain by coryfklein on Friday October 27, 2017 @02:55PM (#15571180)
It would only come to nukes if the other side escalated to weaponry just below nukes. In that case, it's not "nuking Americans in Seattle", it's "nuking well organized terrorist cells using advanced weaponry, in order to save further loss of life."

The point is that no matter how much "power" the federal government has granted to civilians via the 2nd amendment, the federal government will ALWAYS have more.

Re:Catalan parliament declares independence from Spain by ben_w on Friday October 27, 2017 @12:19PM (#15569817)
Neither do I, but the US doesn’t currently have any serious independence movements and last time it did things went very badly indeed.
Re:Catalan parliament declares independence from Spain by dragonwriter on Friday October 27, 2017 @12:22PM (#15569839)
It would never be “over a sovereignty dispute”, it would be to stop what the rebels were imminently going to do in that sovereignty dispute. Nuking is extreme, but there will always be (at least, in the eyes of the government) a excuse to escalate to the level beyond what is available to the rebels to protect the innocent threatened by them.
Re:Catalan parliament declares independence from Spain by tomjen3 on Friday October 27, 2017 @02:16PM (#15570889)
Those weapons only win if you don't care about civilian losses (that is one way to win a counter insurgency, see Mandatory Palestine) - but by not caring about civilian casualties I mean you have to be willing to commit genocide (again, see the British actions in Mandatory Palestine).

If you do care about civilians (and I assume the US armed forces would be forced to care) a jet is probably not worth much against an AK-47, as long as that AK-47 is in the hands of a guy who is willing to hang out close to a bunch of civilians.

Again you can win a counter insurgency either by winning over the local population or by utterly destroying it (see manda, the Island of Melos).

Re:Catalan parliament declares independence from Spain by ben_w on Sunday October 29, 2017 @04:21AM (#15578498)
Who is a civilian in a civil war in a nation which has a constitutional right to bear arms?
Re:Catalan parliament declares independence from Spain by detaro on Friday October 27, 2017 @12:07PM (#15569712)
I wouldn't cite Afghanistan as an example of how well military high-tech works for suppression. If it did, it wouldn't be and wouldn't have been such a mess.
Re:Catalan parliament declares independence from Spain by StreamBright on Friday October 27, 2017 @02:56PM (#15571188)
On the other side, if I remember correctly a few AK47 and bunch of men was pretty strong against USA army in Vietnam. How come?
Re:Catalan parliament declares independence from Spain by aurelianito on Friday October 27, 2017 @06:28PM (#15572712)
Maybe the jungle had something to do with it. And also in the 60s and 70s USA did not had drones.
Re:Catalan parliament declares independence from Spain by StreamBright on Friday October 27, 2017 @02:55PM (#15571176)
US army is not authorized to operate on US soil. I like how you want to drag this conversation into something totally else.
Re:Catalan parliament declares independence from Spain by ben_w on Friday October 27, 2017 @05:15PM (#15572284)
I’m not American, I didn’t know that, and given this is a hypothetical anyway I don’t really think that restriction matters.
Re:Catalan parliament declares independence from Spain by nemo44x on Friday October 27, 2017 @07:13PM (#15573005)
Then what is the alternative? Wouldn’t you rather die with the honor of defending you and your families liberty than live under an oppressive regime?

The argument that “the government is too strong they’d beat you with your puny guns” is so incredibly short sighted. You’re discounting the power the rifle gives the people not only as a weapon but a symbol of freedom and revolution. An armed society is a deterrent at the very least.

Mozambique’s flag has an AK47 on it for a reason.

Re:Catalan parliament declares independence from Spain by ben_w on Saturday October 28, 2017 @02:47AM (#15574245)
I would flee a country if and when it looked like that country was too far down a bad path.

I am in the process of doing so now, as it happens — leaving the UK because of the Investigatory Powers Act, because the Home Secretary wants to ban unbreakable encryption without understanding it, and because Brexit removes one of the major obligations to follow international human rights laws which would allow me to sue the government to fix that law.

I’d rather pick my battles and live somewhere new, than die an unknown and unnamed victim of a remote death machine.