Re:The Race to 10/7nm
by kurthr on Wednesday May 31, 2017 @03:17PM
(#14455162)
I think the point is that the rate of advancement has already slowed (18mo=>3yr) and is slowing even further (5nm by 2025). The treadmill Moore's law is basically over. There will be significant advancements (AllAroundGate, Wafer Stacking), and we might even see a speed increase again, but the steps are more orthogonal and less all improving. The last thing to keep improving is $/transistor, while MHz and power long since (2005=>2010) stopped getting better with each node. However, if the CFOs ever figure out that the return doesn't meet investment ... that will be the end (at least in the west).
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