As long as the work truck daily cycle can be done in 1 charge then there isn't a problem at all. Top it off every night.

For long trips, ie 18 wheelers, yeah it is kind of a no go without quick-swap batteries.

Which isn't that huge of an obstacle imho.

But, all that said, no of course fossil fuel cars aren't going away in 8 years

This is something I think a lot of people fail to understand. For daily use, EV charging is a convenience, not an inconvenience. It only takes me five seconds to plug in my car in the evening. It may take several hours to charge, but that happens while I'm eating dinner or sleeping or whatever.

When you drive more than the car's range in a single day, then it flips, of course. For me, and I think for most people, this is rare enough that it's still a net win.

It also flips if you can't plug in at home. For a lot of people that's easy, but for many it's tough. Thankfully installing a charger is pretty easy, so it comes down to convincing the powers that be to do it, or at least allow it, which gets easier all the time.

Agree with the conclusion. Eight years?! The average car on American roads today is 11.5 years old. Average. Cars just don't get cycled out that quickly.

> It also flips if you can't plug in at home. For a lot of people that's easy, but for many it's tough.

You mean like if you live in an apartment, and you get one covered parking space (if you're lucky)? And if you're married (or have a roommate), and you both have cars, well, your apartment complex might put in chargers for the covered parking, but they probably aren't putting chargers on the uncovered parking, so only one of you can charge per night.

Why the emphasis on covered spaces? The difficulty and expense is the same whether it's covered or not.

My perception is that the apartments consider the non-covered parking to be for visitors. It therefore seems to me less likely that they will install chargers for those spaces. (There is also perhaps the issue of the electrical chargers being out in the rain, but that wasn't part of my reasoning.)

Disclaimer: I don't own any apartments, and I'm only guessing about how apartment owners think.

The current grid is in most cases perfectly capable to deliver the required energy to charge cars if we all were to switch to EV's.

The maximum output of the grid has seldomly been a problem, it scaling the production of electricity up/down to match the demand which is difficult.

Some argue that adding thousands of EV's to the grid (each with 60-100kWh capacity) will actually help 'balance' the grid demand and make it more efficient.

If nothing were to change, then sure. But what about wireless charging at stop lights? Or the batter tech on HN last week that has longer range and only takes 5min to fully charge?