Climate Change is by no means a 'settled' science, one of the most important questions scientists must answer is what the Climate Sensitivity is to CO2. There's a wide range of answers to this question by scientists, depending on which climate model you use, as well as many other factors.
Popular science articles misrepresent the science and ignore the variance/complexity, in the end hurting the cause in the eyes of those who don't agree with the prescribed policies to address it.
You'll be at the mercy of whichever out of 3,000 moderators ends up passing judgment on your post, whether they are liberal or conservative, whether they are having a good day or not, etc.
I don't see this going well for Facebook.
(1) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fairness_Doctrine (2) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Equal-time_rule
So what exactly is this one side that 99% of experts agree upon?
The only disagreements are on extent to which we will be fucked - will we see hundreds of millions of climate refugees, or billions.
This simply isn't true, it's outlandish even, and is part of why moderation is tricky. Why do you believe this?
We are not 'fucked' even at the worst estimates.
In 1990 almost 2 billion people were on less than $2.00 per day.
Were we 'fucked' in 1990?
Are we currently 'fucked' with 700 million people on less than $2.00 per day.
"The concept of global warming was created by and for the Chinese in order to make U.S. manufacturing non-competitive."[0].
There are plenty of misinformed people that will gladly tell you there is no such thing and if there was human activity has no effect. Pretending that there aren't and even if the issue is complex there isn't a set of clearly wrong opinions is disingenuous to the extreme.
[0] https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/26589529219124838...
Are you saying these concepts are equivalent to the aforementioned 99% of scientists and experts?
I'm really not trying to act dense, just figure out what it is people even believe about this topic.
They aren't, though.
It appears this is the wrong place to get an answer to that question.
This is getting off topic, but do you consider asking that to be impolite?
And if that's true, then it's possible there's no grand conspiracy and at the end of the day, either the evidence isn't strong enough or the case isn't being made well enough to get everyone on board. If the debate is being lost before they even start telling people how dramatically their lifestyles will have to change to have a meaningful impact on the issue, what possible hope could they have when those realities are laid out?
But that's probably not true, so don't worry about it. Now are you with us or a denier?
I don't. They will, of course, push a particular agenda. In the worst possible way.
As we've seen with Twitter and other organizations, the ToS don't matter. Or at least, don't matter for the right people. The "bad people" get punished even if they don't violate the ToS. The "good people" don't get punished even if they do violate the ToS.
I'd be OK with even egregious ToS, if they were applied evenly. But as we've seen too often, they're not.
Whatever agenda FB and friends are peddling, it's hidden in the guise of "safety", and "fairness", and "community standards".
It's not automatic who you need to PR for.
There is obviously false, and then there is everything else. I guess the best facebook can do is weed out the obviously false. If they do that, it is a guarantee that they will get attacked for being biased, because with the shifting of the political winds usually one party or the other spreads more misinformation.
Sure, branding real news as fake news is politically motivated, whereas labeling what is the clearly the equivalent of the most absurd supermarket tabloids as "fake news" is accurate and appropriate.
It is curious that many people are somehow oblivious to tabloid headlines when they appear on the internet, whereas nearly everyone discards the supermarket checkout stand "The Pope is a space alien!" stories.
Of course, it doesn't help for outright lies like WMDs in Iraq.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iraq_and_weapons_of_mass_destr...
>President Bush, Vice President Cheney, Condoleezza Rice, Donald Rumsfeld, Colin Powell and George Tenet, to name a few leading figures, built support for the war by telling the world that Saddam Hussein was stockpiling chemical weapons, feverishly developing germ warfare devices and racing to build a nuclear bomb. Some of them, notably Mr. Cheney, the administration's doomsayer in chief, said Iraq had conspired with Al Qaeda that Saddam Hussein was connected to 9/11.
1: http://www.nytimes.com/2005/11/02/opinion/remember-that-mush...
Which is true.
That said, simultaneously the lesser educated can be far more easily led astray by laughable obvious fake propaganda (usually right wing) that an educated person would never fall for. But the thing is, those whose job it is to manipulate public opinion are experts in where weaknesses are in each type - different tactics for different audiences.
Edumucated Folk live in one Universe, and Working Joe on Main St lives in another Universe.
By the time you finish 10 years of secondary education, you think you're smart, but mostly all you've done is chain together countless memorized assumptions about how various model parameters should work to over-fit your mental interpolator of the Map of the World.
You become so educated that you filter our more than you realize. You don't even notice, like a fish never notices the ocean in which it swims.
The Academically credentialed refer to others just like themselves, because Authority only works if you mutually vouch for each other, by adhering to the same rules. Outsiders are Othered, smugly laughed at and ignored like Morlocks.
Look at any big example where The Experts not only were off, but were Not Even Wrong, turning a Moonshot into a Neptune shot, then trying to cover up their mistakes to save face so they won't be de-credentialed and forced to go live in the sewers under Metropolis.
Pick any major World event, and you'll find The Smartest Guys in the Room, who earn more in 1 year than Joe on Main St will in his entire life, and who COMPLETELY BUNGLED what ever they claimed they knew with near absolute certainty, because they are Scientists who use Evidence and Math that nobody can proof read, but trust us buddy, you dudn't get a PhD from MIT like all of us did.
1. Iraq WMD: look how spectacularly wrong were the several thousand Experts from 100's of Professional Fields.
2. 2008 Depression. 20,000 Genius Quants and Nobel Prize Winners and top billionaires and the Gods Upon Mount Olympus all bet their reputations that a 1-in-60 trillion Outlier event could never, ever happen. This Time It's Different. The price of houses will never go down, so it's a AAA double certified bet to use it as collateral to take out huge loans by increasing the multiple by which you are leveraged in your hedged bets.
And it all blew up.
3. Syria. All the idiot Experts yet again assembled to recommend the real solution is covertly arm ISIS to topple Assad, then send in the Marines to whack ISIS and install some new puppet.
All the experts yet again were so blindly certain that their models were the Territory that they stopped looking at the newest changes on the Map.
Oh, now ISIS declared War on the West? Well that fact can't possibly fit into our Narrative that we Experts know is scientifically true, so let's just ignore it.
Oh, what's this, hundreds of thousands of social media accounts are joining ISIS and threating to overthrow us in our own Nations?
Well that's just preposterous, we know with absolute certainty that 99.9999999% of Muslims are Peaceful. Therefore, let's invite 10, then 20, then 100 million of them to cross our borders and live next door, all so we can retain our Cognitive Dissonance that we are The Experts, we can't be wrong because otherwise why should I have a PhD and earn 20x more than you, a mere Uber driver with no credentials?
4. As Programmers, we are the Enlightened Class, we build the future while Joe Blow on Main St just lives in the Minecrafted Utopia which we sculpt for him. We are Urban Liberal Atheist/Pagans with refined intellectual pursuits, we love Truth and Equality and by golly we really are going to CHANGE THE WORLD, hold hands, sing Kumbaya We Are The World around the SpaceX AI Rocket that will take us all to our new life awaiting us on Mars.
Meanwhile, out of 18,000,000 or so code monkeys on Earth, not even a handful have any idea that all of our computer security is fake, the NSA quite literally records and decrypts everything, using 10,000 new 0day per year which they purchase from Respectable Programmers like you who have a bright future and just want to do the right thing by cooperating with the NSA for a well earned comfortable upper-middle-class salary.
Then Snowden appears and pops your Truman Show bubbke like Copernicus deprecated Ptolomy.
All The Experts assemble like Avengers yet again. They all recommend, everything is fine Mr Joe Blow, we paid a vendor millions for a pretty dashboard of Analytics Big Data charts to tell us that everythibg's fine. We're in The Cloud, we're patched, we use 2FA on E2E with Axolotl Rachets stacked to the Moon and we're Lifetime Gold Donors to the EFF and several Houses of Fierce, Intrepid Journalism.
5. Guccifer the Shadowbroker hacked the shit out of everything. You name it, it's compromised. VPN, ssh, every web, email, file, chat, dns, ntp, database, all of it is now known to be hijacked.
Can we still trust the banks, the utilities, the telcoes, the defense contractors, the media conglomerates, the entertainment, the software, the OEMs, etc?
You say Trust Us, we're the Experts.
See how this works? Processions of Expert Pied Pipers lead us off a cliff into the ocean like lemmings.
Is Joe Blow on Main St a dumb racist redneck for taking one look at that ol' Bull you're selling, but instead flipping the Series of Tubes to check out what Alex Jones and /pol/ and UFO chasers and Chentrails kooks and Reptillian Agenda paranoids and monetized Youtubers have to say about The Real News?
From where I'm at, living in a card board box on Main St with no future, I'm going with what Joe says he saw Alex say about the Pizzagate-Soros-Globalists. I may not be an Expert beyond Main St, but I do know the only person who never lied to me was the hacker who leaked all the Expert's shit to Wikileaks. It's not a perfect Map of the World, but it's a helluva lot more accurate than the total disasters we got by listening to The Experts.
I wonder if one can do a kind of "german tank problem" analysis on the likely size of the "cyber arsenal" (LOL) based on the frequency of code words and awesome codenames...
That's the problem. Not the news, which while imperfect, is far and above anything your preferred citationless blog is slinging.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W3HWiydFlJc
It's hard to prove a negative, but I'm open to being proven wrong about the top 5 newspapers. Here they are, please provide an example of an opposition article to the recent Syrian attacks from the day after the attacks.
USA Today, The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, New York Post,
I was listening to a podcast on my commute today, and the person mentioned a book called Think Twice that was about decision making. How we make decisions with these different biases. I think I even remember a great post on HN about all the most popular biases.
I guess what I am getting at is its no at all clear cut how someone's post will be judged given all the baggage each one of us carries with us.
We democrats tend to stick to tech pretty hard, and we buy things. Billy joe bob will post his pro-trump rants on Facebook all day, but will still go to a walk in store to buy things.
Of course I'm generalizing and oversimplifying it, but the leadership at FB is strongly left leaning, and they know how to cater to their audience, keep them happy and make money from them.
The issue is of course branding everything that might help the right "fake news". Sure, there's a lot of it (from both sides really) but the idea that they have the power to shape people's opinions in a political direction, and are willing to do it is dangerous for all of us.
If you want america to be a certain way, that holds even more strongly. How 'murica moves forward will depend heavily on the political parties stances. Being able to move (I'm guessing) the democrats will have a massive effect on politics.
Not being beholden to a share price also really helps.
If I'm not breaking reddit rules, then as long as I've been active any time within the past 6 months, I own the subreddit and can make changes to the direction of the sub and its moderation team as I see fit.
That subreddit was created, by the way, because I disagreed with rules regarding the discussion of Cuban cigar sources which ship to the US in the main cigar subreddit. They're free to administer their subreddit as they see fit, and I'm free to do the same.
Anyone with enough points on SO becomes a mod automatically, and gets to deal with "how dare you close my shitty off topic question, I have every right not to follow the rules and homogenise so into every other discussion forum". Anyone who starts a subreddit becomes the mod of it and can promote other mods at will.
Even if I have own opinions on the subject, I think the whole "fake news" thingy seems to politicaly motivated. Doesn't mean they are wrong by doing this, but it's hard to be claiming they are still somehow neutral.