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Re:Scientists have detected a major change to the Earth’s oc... by EGreg on Sunday February 19, 2017 @10:30AM (#13680130)
For all the climate change deniers and skeptics that point out WaPo is a "liberal" outlet as a way to skip even reading the data: How about the scientific journal Nature ?

http://www.nature.com/articles/doi:10.1038/nature21399

While I'm at it, please explain why science has become so politicized by the political right.

I have literally heard my conservative friends say they think "science is leftist" and Obama paid off scientists around the world to blow up a global warming hoax.

Tell me, why would an American political party engage in an elaborate hoax with scientists around the world, and somehow "pay them all off", just so they would... what, raise your gas prices? Subsidize clean energy?

For that matter why would scientists around the world spend years studying complicated subjects, and then decades doing research, and NEARLY ALL accept a bribe from the leftists of YOUR country to sabotage their own sensors and models and data?

Finally - and here is the kicker - what are you afraid of if we transition away from fossi fuels? Electric cars open up electricity to be generated in a variety of ways. Wind farms have just powered OVER HALF of the central USA. Investment in solar has just overtaken fossil fuels. There are plenty of jobs to be made.

Why are the "conservatives" so keen on subsidizing the fossil fuel industry so the government can pick winners and losers? If fossil fuels become too expensive, that means more innovation and investment in clean energy generation!

Where is the economic loss from this? I am always amazed just how much "Stockholm Syndrome" the conservatives have when it comes to big corporations. Whatever they do - big bonuses to CEOs, pollution, etc. it is always rabidly defended by a mob angry that any criticism of their destructive activities, whether by scientists or by people who lost their jobs, is "socialism" and "libtards".

Do you really think preventing the rise of sea levels, deforestation and loss of millions of species through overfishing, factory farms, colony collapse disorder etc. is going to tank your economy? Isn't this the height of idiocy?

Re:Scientists have detected a major change to the Earth’s oc... by HalfwayToDice on Sunday February 19, 2017 @11:32AM (#13680449)
"While I'm at it, please explain why science has become so politicized by the political right."

I hope I can answer this from a neutral perspective.

The left gave up on implementing global socialism; it was rejecting by the populations of almost every country in the world, when given a democratic choice.

Then climate change came along and with it solid scientific evidence. The left jumped on it as a reason to implement a global anti-capitalist societal change towards the left. Therefore green issues were hijacked by the left, and the right responded by being anti-green.

And that's how we ended up in the absurd situation we are in now.

Re:Scientists have detected a major change to the Earth’s oc... by nikdaheratik on Sunday February 19, 2017 @07:12PM (#13683122)
I don't think you can blame this on "the left" whatever that means, any more than you can stick all of this on a single issue on "the right". And your points about ideology are just wrong. These are complex coalitions of politicians with many different reasons behind why they act the way they do, but this entire "left vs. right" ideology is just post facto reasoning for the most part.

If you look at "the right" you have:

1. Religious Conservatives that genuinely believe the Earth is 6000 years old and Evolution is a complete fabrication. These people have always been anti-Science. Antivaxxers and climate change denialists are a just the latest round of this.

2. People who are employed or supported by the fossil fuel industry. This is the same unreasonable skepticism that you hear from the Tobacco industry, the Patent trolls, or any other group with alot of money and few scruples. They found allies in "the Right" who could use their campaign dollars and didn't care much about this issue so they just go along with it as it allowed them to get backing for issues they do care about.

3. People who just don't like "the left" and believe that if people they don't like are saying it, it must be false. This is probably the largest bloc. They don't care about climate change (much) and just follow the lead on this issue because the people who are saying "climate change isn't happening" also agree with them on a number of other issues that they do care about.

Re:Scientists have detected a major change to the Earth’s oc... by SmirkingRevenge on Sunday February 19, 2017 @01:10PM (#13680990)
I agree. Ideological policies have been coupled too tightly to the scientific facts of the matter, so much so that its an easy sell as a political conspiracy theory.

I'm not sure how we go about fixing it. Its very frustrating.

Re:Scientists have detected a major change to the Earth’s oc... by nickbauman on Sunday February 19, 2017 @11:06AM (#13680298)
The answer to your question as I understand it is that conservatives (and libertarians) are never going to be OK with the idea that they need to participate in collective action of any kind.

Conservatives and their fellow-travelers have an obsession with this idea that humans are and should always be completely discreet entities with the fewest inter-connecting responsibilities as possible. It's the ultimate narcissistic ideology. It doesn't help that when people believe that their best interests are when they're divided, they're most easily preyed upon by those who REALLY hold the reins of power. The conservative ideology is Condorcet's Secret writ large.

As you've probably deduced, heading off the worst effects of Climate Change is probably the biggest collective action problem humankind has yet encountered.

Re:Scientists have detected a major change to the Earth’s oc... by droopybuns on Sunday February 19, 2017 @11:35AM (#13680462)
Since you are the most scientific person here, could you talk about the oxygenation levels during interglacial periods? Also, what did humans do then to reduce CO2 emissions?

Edit: Science doesn't win when you downvote inconvenient questions.

Re:Scientists have detected a major change to the Earth’s oc... by nickbauman on Monday February 20, 2017 @04:02PM (#13690865)
Yeah, yeah. It turns out that it's unlikely that sea level was glacioeustatically higher than present by more than a few meters during any interglacial of the past 2.5 million years as a result of accounting for oxygenation levels during interglacial periods. A few meters affects billions. Are you liking those odds?

There are a number of theories on what starts and stops ice ages, none of them having to do with human intervention, sure. Does that mean that the rise of CO2, especially if it comes from human activity, shouldn't be reduced now? I think not.

Re:Scientists have detected a major change to the Earth’s oc... by droopybuns on Tuesday February 21, 2017 @10:10PM (#13702664)
2.5 million years far exceeds my expectation for human survival. You aren't comparing apples to apples when we are talking about date ranges that large. What are humans going to do that will prevent the dike from bursting when we are dealing with geologicial change? We might as well pretend we can stop earthquakes.
Re:Scientists have detected a major change to the Earth’s oc... by mirimir on Sunday February 19, 2017 @12:48PM (#13680834)
Humans don't need to do anything about CO2 emissions. We'll do whatever we do, they'll do what that leads to, and other stuff will go down accordingly. Humanity may go digital, so ecosystem disruption won't matter so much, except perhaps esthetically. But whatever happens, I suspect that the ride will get bumpy for a while.

Edit: I'm not arguing against reducing CO2 emissions. I'm just saying that it probably won't happen. That shit will happen. And that, over the long term, natural selection will deal with it all.

Re:Scientists have detected a major change to the Earth’s oc... by droopybuns on Sunday February 19, 2017 @06:58PM (#13683046)
I completely agree with you. Unfortunately some truths are too offensive for science tourists.
Re:Scientists have detected a major change to the Earth’s oc... by rukittenme on Sunday February 19, 2017 @04:57PM (#13682262)
> While I'm at it, please explain why science has become so politicized by the political right.

Please select your desired counter-point.

- "At least I vaccinate my children."

- "I'm having a dinner party, GMOs and gluten okay?"

- "I'm sure homeopathic hemp water will cure cancer someday."

- "Sorry these responses are so rude. I'm a Sagittarius."

- "I'm not sure what I'm more scared of: chem-trails or nuclear power."

- "After this conversation, my aura will be radiating 'pro-science'."

If you stopped and said to yourself, "I don't believe any of those!" Congratulations, use your new found empathy to find common ground with conservatives who do accept climate change.

It may come as a shock but some people want to help the environment and don't want socialism. Go figure!

Re:Scientists have detected a major change to the Earth’s oc... by hsdistefa on Sunday February 19, 2017 @03:40PM (#13681846)
I too resent that climate science has become politicized, however large groups of people refusing to engage in any discussion is not the only issue here. Those that label anyone who question any facet of climate science as skeptics or deniers are just as much a part of the issue.

As someone who has worked in science for several years, questioning is central to understanding any scientific inquiry--especially with regard to such an incredibly complex and nuanced field as climatology. If these questions are continuously suppressed our understanding will ultimately be skewed.

I only hope that we can continue this discourse on such an important subject without resorting to immediate emotional responses in order to come to the most accurate picture that we possibly can.

Re:Scientists have detected a major change to the Earth’s oc... by nikdaheratik on Sunday February 19, 2017 @07:18PM (#13683151)
I think that's a great talking point, but the fact is most people don't know what they don't know about this issue. You can't have a meaningful discussion with someone who doesn't know enough about it to figure out why "Methane triggered runaway climate change" may be a reasonable point of debate, but "CO2 reflection of infrared light causes increased warming" is not.

And for the most part, people don't want to educate themselves on this issue because you end up being either completely worried about what is happening and discouraged about the future, or you end up having to start examine critically many other points of Conservative ideology which can turn into alot of introspection and work that most people don't want to do.

Re:Scientists have detected a major change to the Earth’s oc... by gotchange on Sunday February 19, 2017 @10:58AM (#13680253)
This is just an orchestrated and sophisticated astro-turfing campaign launched by the oil and gas industry and in light of the hyper-polarized political landscape in the US, the Right had to pick the polar opposite of the Left's stance on the environment and climate change to prepare for another showdown with the Left and when you take into account that some are driven and motivated solely by their disdain for their opponent and not by the issue in question, it makes perfect sense that they feel so strong about this issue and fight environmental initiatives that would address the root causes of climate change.
Re:Scientists have detected a major change to the Earth’s oc... by ratboy666 on Sunday February 19, 2017 @11:30AM (#13680442)
I will (for argument sake) concede every point you made. Every point.

Two questions to ponder -

Is climate change "good" or "bad"? What causes climate change?

I suspect that the largest driver is solar activity.

Anyway, please keep "left" vs "right" out of this.

Re:Scientists have detected a major change to the Earth’s oc... by jjawssd on Sunday February 19, 2017 @10:36AM (#13680164)
Create more jobs in renewables and the problem solves itself. I have a solar installation out of necessity in one particular application, and in another I purchase wind power from the grid by choice because it offers competitive rates in my electrical market. I voted with my wallet and you should be able to as well.
Re:Scientists have detected a major change to the Earth’s oc... by EGreg on Sunday February 19, 2017 @10:58AM (#13680256)
Not if the federal government keeps subsidizing fossil fuels to keep them competitive.
Re:Scientists have detected a major change to the Earth’s oc... by mistermann on Sunday February 19, 2017 @11:37AM (#13680471)
What are the major forms of fossil fuel subsidization, and are there no subsidies for renewables?

Just interested in the magnitude of what's really happening.

Re:Scientists have detected a major change to the Earth’s oc... by EGreg on Sunday February 19, 2017 @12:16PM (#13680694)
How about these

https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.theguardian.com/environment...

https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.theguardian.com/environment...

And the USA isn't alone

https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.theguardian.com/environment...

When the government stops subsidizing fossil fuels 10x more than renewables, look what happens:

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.pbs.org/newshour/amp/rundow...

But Trump and the Republicans might reverse that again.

Re:Scientists have detected a major change to the Earth’s oc... by mistermann on Sunday February 19, 2017 @12:41PM (#13680802)
> https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.theguardian.com/environment...

"The vast sum is largely due to polluters not paying the costs imposed on governments by the burning of coal, oil and gas. These include the harm caused to local populations by air pollution as well as to people across the globe affected by the floods, droughts and storms being driven by climate change."

It's not that there isn't something important to be discussed there, but if that's the type of subsidy you're referring to when you say "oil is subsidized", it's going to be a messy, inconclusive argument, at least in part because your argument is based on (necessarily) made up numbers.

> When the government stops subsidizing fossil fuels 10x more than renewables, look what happens

No, that's what happens when renewables technology becomes economically competitive, this has nothing at all to do with the subsidy noted above.

Re:Scientists have detected a major change to the Earth’s oc... by EGreg on Sunday February 19, 2017 @02:53PM (#13681615)
I think you may have missed the second and third link.
Re:Scientists have detected a major change to the Earth’s oc... by mistermann on Sunday February 19, 2017 @05:12PM (#13682373)
Well, the 2nd link states:

"In contrast, estimates from the International Energy Agency (IEA) released in June showed that $557bn was spent by governments during 2008 to subsidise the fossil fuel industry."

...citing a document behind a paywall. So once again, I have no idea what the nature of these "subsidies" are.

From the 3rd:

"But over the course of the parliament, the department has given financial support worth just £3.6m to green energy projects around the world, data released to the Guardian under freedom of information rules shows.

By comparison, UKEF allocated £1.13bn to help fossil fuel energy operations in the same period, 314 times more. The support was in the form of loans, loan guarantees and other export credit support."

Referencing the cited link, one example is: "A US$367 million loan provided to JSC Gazprom to finance an export contract won by Rolls-Royce Power Engineering for the supply and installation of natural gas pumping units for the completion of a new compressor station near Vyborg, Northwestern Russia".

So unless I am mistaken, the entire value of a loan is claimed to be a subsidy. That is beyond intellectually dishonest, and that is just one example of why I do not trust the left, environmentalists, etc - very often, advocates on that side simply do not have a background for critical thought, mathematics, etc; they simply do not have the skills to properly assess the actual nature of many if not most of the things they are criticizing, and in my experience they are most definitely not interested in discussion in order to come to some agreement of what the truth is.

Re:Scientists have detected a major change to the Earth’s oc... by dude01 on Sunday February 19, 2017 @11:52AM (#13680544)
I've never seen good solid numbers that I liked. However, I'd say more than $100B/yr by US government, to protect our global supply chain of oil distribution. For instance, I'd say the entire cost of being in Iraq was an oil subsidy.
Re:Scientists have detected a major change to the Earth’s oc... by mistermann on Sunday February 19, 2017 @12:46PM (#13680824)
Well it certainly could, when the renewables industry has a plausible plan for complete replacement of conventional energy, I'm happy to support it with my tax dollars, or even before. And when that infrastructure is in place, I will happily remove my support for protecting this supply chain.

But until then, calling this a "subsidy" of the oil industry is a bit of a mischaracterization. (But not complete, as these costs should most definitely be included in a comprehensive analysis when setting policy.)

Re:Scientists have detected a major change to the Earth’s oc... by nikdaheratik on Sunday February 19, 2017 @07:23PM (#13683188)
Extraction itself, especially of oil, is directly subsidized by the Federal government in terms of tax breaks to the tune of billions of dollars. There is also permits to extract oil and coal on public lands, including some national parks. There's the entire military industrial complex set up to defend trade in these resources. Finally, there's an entire political party devoted to fighting any effort to put in place a carbon tax or other measure which would account for the emissions of CO2 as a pollutant that is an external cost of burning oil, coal, and gas.
Re:Scientists have detected a major change to the Earth’s oc... by jjawssd on Sunday February 19, 2017 @11:06AM (#13680296)
What's the case for subsidies?
Re:Scientists have detected a major change to the Earth’s oc... by nikdaheratik on Sunday February 19, 2017 @07:25PM (#13683195)
1. Oil security from something like the oil crisis of the 70s.

2. Domestic jobs, especially in places like North Dakota or Louisiana which wouldn't have nearly the tax base they do without coal and oil jobs.

Re:Scientists have detected a major change to the Earth’s oc... by EGreg on Sunday February 19, 2017 @11:16AM (#13680348)
Well you know, OPEC drops prices and that causes us to abort all future investment in fossil fuels. Can't have that. So let's subsidize them.
Re:Scientists have detected a major change to the Earth’s oc... by specialist on Sunday February 19, 2017 @12:00PM (#13680600)
Sovereignty.
Re:Scientists have detected a major change to the Earth’s oc... by arca_vorago on Sunday February 19, 2017 @12:16PM (#13680693)
First of all, I doubt you are going to find many deniers or skeptics of climate change on hn, but I would like to point out that there is a vast difference between being a skeptic of the science and being a skeptic of the political/business agenda being pushed along with the science. Just because you may agree with it, for the group you are addressing in large, the "political right", it is a major issue (although not just with them).

There are some legitimate criticisms of science to be had, but before I get to those, I would like to talk about the less concrete issues surrounding the problem.

1) The American education system is failing to adequetly inculcate a scientific mindset in the populous.

2) Media filter-bubbles abuse this lack of scientific education to push agendas of one type or another.

3) The poorer population in general and the political right specifically have a social history of distrust, often rightful, of the intelligensia, academia, and the business and political elite.

4) None of these issues are purely tied to any political party, and are much more about social class and social mobility issues rather than left/right false paradigms.

5) Lack of monetary power and what is essentially wage slavery for a vast majority of the populace reduces the amount of time available for people to engage in intellectual pursuit of self-improvement. (combined with the relatively new requirement of both man and woman to work to sustain what formerly a man could sustain, further impacting childrens education)

So that's how you get a group of politically far right people denying climate change in general without any understanding of the issue specifically: first, they haven't done any reading of their own, (due to 1 and 5), the little information they do get is through a corporate/government infiltrated filter bubble (2), and this manifests itself via (3) in the form of complete dismissal of arguments.

Now, on to some more specific scientific criticisms.

A) Scientific quality is not nearly as good as you think. Papers themselves are used to further careers, and less and less are peer-reviewed (or peer-reviewable due to high specialization and/or costs). Journals often have a monetary interest in publishing and do at best lackluster job of editorial filtering, and often the actual science for the general public is behind a paywall despite the fact most of it is publicly funded. That's not even getting into the vast glut of just plain bad science being published, even in good journals. I held science up on a pedestal until as a sysadmin at a genetics company I started actually reading them as a job requirement... bad science abounds and is rarely called out.

B) Scientific claims are often highly exaggerated or misinterpreted by the political and business class for self-interested pursuits. We have all seen this in action, where a paper says something relatively benign but it is taken completely out of context to support some initiative or another.

So that's just a start to answer your many politically charged questions, and I would like to say I do highly protest the divisive and polarizing manner in which you verbalized them. Part of the key probem in this country is this hegellian labeling of the other, whether it is on the right or the left or anywhere in between. Personally, I think the real war is between the up and down factions (eg, the uber-rich and the middle-class and the poor), but your dismissive manner is unlikely to be anything but abrasive to anybody but the most intellectual of the conservatives.

To illustrate a small example of the kind of distrust of intellectuals, allow me to tell a small story: My grandfather was a logger in the rocky mountain forests in the 70's, working with native americans, and I grew up in the national forest. I remember throughout my childhood, him advocating to the forest service along with other old-timer loggers that they needed to allow them to thin-out the forests by selective logging (not clearcutting) or else there would be major issues down the road. All the PHD environmentalists the forest service hired though dismissed all their sage advice and thought they knew better, reduced controlled burn actions to almost nill and thought everything was going swimmingly... until the pine beetle infestation took hold, and then within a 10 year period we had two forest fires that burned 538,049 acres and 468,638 acres respectively. When they happened I remember my grandfathers words, which I had dismissed as crazy old timer talk being dismissive of the scientists awesome knowledge, and realized he was right. That's a good example of the kind of intellectual bubble the scientists can create that fosters mistrust in the lower classes and in the right in particular.

Re:Scientists have detected a major change to the Earth’s oc... by jamesblonde on Sunday February 19, 2017 @01:55PM (#13681230)
This is a uniquely American problem that is affecting the world. For the world's sake, please educate the lunatic right.
Re:Scientists have detected a major change to the Earth’s oc... by e40 on Sunday February 19, 2017 @11:22AM (#13680385)
While I'm at it, please explain why science has become so politicized by the political right.

A question I've pondered many, many times. I believe it's because they are angry that businesses have to lose any profits dealing with the effects of producing less pollution.

The rest of your rant sounds like thoughts I've had going on in my mind. In a loop. It drives me crazy some days.

Re:Scientists have detected a major change to the Earth’s oc... by zouhair on Sunday February 19, 2017 @11:42AM (#13680501)
Please stop calling them skeptics, that's not what skeptics means, they call themselves skeptics to give themselves a badge of honor.

We should call them what they are: Deniers.

Re:Scientists have detected a major change to the Earth’s oc... by ars on Sunday February 19, 2017 @02:46PM (#13681549)
Turning climate issues into a religious problem doesn't help anyone.

Science doesn't have believers and deniers.

Re:Scientists have detected a major change to the Earth’s oc... by zouhair on Sunday February 19, 2017 @09:42PM (#13683840)
What religion has to do with my comment? They are denying science facts, they are deniers not skeptics. Where the hell did you read religion in my comment?
Re:Scientists have detected a major change to the Earth’s oc... by John23832 on Sunday February 19, 2017 @02:52PM (#13681606)
Science does have believers and deniers...

If you deny that science is real, that is being a science denier. If you believe that it is real, that is being a science believer.

Re:Scientists have detected a major change to the Earth’s oc... by zouhair on Sunday February 19, 2017 @09:43PM (#13683850)
Was my comment so ambiguous?
Re:Scientists have detected a major change to the Earth’s oc... by John23832 on Monday February 27, 2017 @12:54AM (#13742191)
I guess it was.
Re:Scientists have detected a major change to the Earth’s oc... by adekok on Sunday February 19, 2017 @11:32AM (#13680448)
> why would scientists around the world spend years studying complicated subjects, and then decades doing research, and NEARLY ALL accept a bribe from the leftists of YOUR country to sabotage their own sensors and models and data?

Because the human mind is extremely susceptible to delusion. Delusions which are more important to the holder than reality.

It's hard to admit that you might very well be wrong. That your well-intentioned actions may very well be causing damage not only to the world, but to you yourself. It's much easier to deny that, and claim (evidence to the contrary) that your intentions are well and good.

Otherwise intelligent and functional people can hold dear the most ludicrous delusions. Because they're emotionally important.

And in the end, emotion over-rules reason for most cases.

Edit No, I don't mean the scientists are delusional. I mean the climate change deniers are. Pay attention, people.