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Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by warcher on Tuesday February 07, 2017 @02:29PM (#13591916)
In the united states we can't successfully implement negotiation on drug prices for MediCare. They literally can't negotiate with their suppliers. By law.

Anybody thinking software is going to solve that is way in a bubble.

http://healthaffairs.org/blog/2016/09/19/the-politics-of-med...

Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by refurb on Tuesday February 07, 2017 @02:42PM (#13592032)
That's a vast over simplification of the issue and ignores issues around implementation.

First off, Medicare Part D plans are run by private insurers and they certainly do negotiate on price. In fact, they tend to get better prices than commercial plans. Those savings are used to compete for Medicare dollars to cover those patients (i.e. savings are passed on to Medicare).

Second, physician administered drugs are paid for at a rate that is the average of what private payers pay. So no negotiation, rather a piggybacking on discounts to private insurers.

Finally, if you roll in the 340B discount (23% minimum), Medicare is getting a pretty good deal on drugs.

I would argue that unless Medicare threatens to NOT cover some drugs, it won't reduce costs one bit. Currently there are a number of protected classes where Medicare HAS to cover those drugs. That needs to be fixed first.

If you don't believe me, look at the CBO estimate of savings if Medicare is allowed to negotiate. Their findings were "minimal savings".[1]

CBO estimates that enacting S. 3 would have a negligible effect on direct spending and would result in spending from appropriated funds of $2 million in 2008 and less than $500,000 annually in subsequent years. Enacting S. 3 would have no effect on revenues.

[1]https://www.cbo.gov/sites/default/files/110th-congress-2007-...

Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by sbierwagen on Tuesday February 07, 2017 @03:58PM (#13592742)

  Medicare Part D plans are run by private insurers and 
  they certainly do negotiate on price.
Why is a third party negotiating for Medicare, rather than Medicare negotiating directly? Because they're smaller, and have less leverage.

  physician administered drugs are paid for at a rate 
  that is the average of what private payers pay.
Why is a third party negotiating for Medicare, rather than Medicare negotiating directly? Because they're smaller, and have less leverage.

From http://www.cnn.com/2015/09/28/health/us-pays-more-for-drugs/

-- Gleevec (a cancer treatment): $6,214 (per month/per customer) in the United States, compared to $1,141 in Canada and $2,697 in England.

-- Humira (for rheumatoid arthritis): $2,246 in the United States, compared to $881 in Switzerland and $1,102 in England.

-- Cymbalta (for depression): $194 in the United States, compared to $46 in England and $52 in the Netherlands. In fact, there is also a generic version of Cymbalta so these prices reflect having a cheaper alternative.

Some molecule. Different price.

Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by refurb on Tuesday February 07, 2017 @05:30PM (#13593549)
Why is a third party negotiating for Medicare

Look back at the last paragraph in my response above. Medicare is required to cover a number of classes of drugs. they can't say "no, we're not paying for it."

As a result, Medicare has no negotiating power. Unless you can walk away from the table, why would drug companies budge?

And if Medicare did have the power to say "no", how would that work politically? I'm guessing the AARP would be up in arms if Medicare said "no, we're not paying for that drug, find an alternative."

And the price you quote are comparing list prices in the US to net prices (that's usually what's published in the EU and Canada).

Humira is significantly discounted in the US. 40 to 50% discounts are not unusual for large payers.

A great example are the HCV drugs. When a 2nd class of products entered the market, the drug manufacturers rushed to discount their products to maintain market share. As a result, the US price is lower than the prices in Europe.[1]

[1]http://www.forbes.com/sites/johnlamattina/2015/12/04/for-hep...

Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by finnh on Tuesday February 07, 2017 @06:19PM (#13593960)
> Medicare is required to cover a number of classes of drugs. they can't say "no, we're not paying for it." > As a result, Medicare has no negotiating power. Unless you can walk away from the table, why would drug companies budge?

Those statements are only true for drugs with no alternatives - which doesn't apply to all (most?) drugs. And, even for those, couldn't the government say "we're not going to pay $(RANSOMPRICE) for drug X. If you insist that we do, we will not buy any other drugs from you but will instead source from your competitors at all times."

Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by refurb on Tuesday February 07, 2017 @11:04PM (#13595646)
we will not buy any other drugs from you

Private payers are free to do that, but don't. The reason why they don't is because they have customers and telling someone "no you can't have this drug" makes people really upset.

I'm not sure Medicare would have much more success in that area. I could imagine politicians phones ringing off the hook with call from retirees stating "why won't you pay for my drug"?

Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by KaiserPro on Wednesday February 08, 2017 @04:41AM (#13597043)
Because most patients are not competent to source alternatives.

Lets be honest, apart from generics, are you able to dive through source material to find older, equally effective, but with different side effect drugs?

Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by beambot on Tuesday February 07, 2017 @04:21PM (#13592930)
What is preventing legislation that simply opens borders / trade for filling prescriptions?
Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by JacobJans on Tuesday February 07, 2017 @04:35PM (#13593046)
This ammendment almost made it to the floor:

https://www.congress.gov/amendment/115th-congress/senate-ame...

You can see who voted for / against it: https://www.congress.gov/amendment/115th-congress/senate-ame...

Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by icantdrive55 on Tuesday February 07, 2017 @05:09PM (#13593366)
40 Rebublicans said No

12 Democrats said No

Feinstein (D), Sessions (R) refused to vote.

(Roughly)

Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by edblarney on Tuesday February 07, 2017 @04:42PM (#13593106)
"What is preventing legislation that simply opens borders / trade for filling prescriptions?"

US suppliers sell to Canada at a different price than they sell in the US.

If 'borders were open' - the price in US would go down, the price in Canada would go up, roughly to the same price.

I understand that it seems odd, but I reject the idea that it's 'corrupt' to sell to one country at a different price than another.

Drugs are essentially IP, so it would be like the US selling Canada the 'Superbowl' and then Canada selling and broadcasting it to the rest of the world at a discount.

I think something should be done about that - but drugs are not like most goods. And of course, many goods have different controls and regimes.

Another aspect: it's not really 'free trade' when a government entirely regulates the economy for a good. So when gov of Canada 'sets prices' for a good, it kind of flies in the face of regular trade rules and potentially gives one side or another advantages, so it really doesn't fit well under things like WTO or NAFTA.

Surely we could have some new thinking about this though ...

Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by rayiner on Tuesday February 07, 2017 @06:25PM (#13594017)
A complex tango between drug companies that want to maintain their margins, and European governments that want to drive drug prices artificially low to force American payers to make up the difference.
Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by chimeracoder on Tuesday February 07, 2017 @10:58PM (#13595604)
You're getting downvoted, but you're right. Currently, the US is implicitly subsidizing other countries in this regard. If we removed the trade barriers for prescription drugs, US prices would fall and other countries would end up paying more.
Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by spangry on Wednesday February 08, 2017 @03:50AM (#13596840)
An alternative scenario might be that drugs would get cheaper in the US, European drug prices stay the same and pharmaceutical companies somehow scrape by with lower (but still positive) profit levels.

Seriously, if drug companies were making a net loss in European and other countries, they'd just stop supplying in those countries and subsequently enjoy higher profits. Unless you're suggesting companies like Pfizer and Merck & Co do it anyway out of the goodness of their hearts. And prices the US pay are in no way related to what other countries pay: it's simply a function of market power and being in a much weaker bargaining position.

Most of these countries have 'single buyers': essentially a panel of medical practitioners and economists who negotiate prices on the basis of cost-benefit ratio on behalf of the entire country. So the lower drug prices in European countries (and other single buyer/universal insurance countries like Britain, Australia, Canada etc.) is simply drug companies supplying the market at the price it will bear. They are price takers in such countries, because those countries are monoponsy markets.

I realise Pfizer (net income: $7.74 billion) and Merck & Co (net income: $4.44 billion) are really doing it tough, but I think they'll be OK if Americans realise it's insane to pay close to double (>15%) the OECD average (7-8%, medical spending as a % of GDP). Although I hear US medical treatment is top notch if you're rich, otherwise statistically (and conservatively) 25% of the time it will send you bankrupt, assuming you make it out of the waiting room alive (compared to, say, the UK where medical costs account for %5 of households that report 'financial difficulty'). [0]

It truly baffles me when I hear Americans talk about this issue, as they always argue it's actually really a good thing that they're getting rogered by most of the private medical industry in their country (hey, they're nice people, we cuddle afterwards). There's some crazy mental gymnastics going on if you truly believe that paying double the 'rich country club' average on health care costs for basically the same outcomes (apart from the much higher bankruptcy rate) is in some way a good thing.

It's almost like some weird form of buyers' remorse: 'Yeah, but we treat cancer better that anyone. USA #1!'

[0] http://www.snopes.com/643000-bankruptcies-in-the-u-s-every-y...

Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by rayiner on Wednesday February 08, 2017 @12:01PM (#13599823)
> An alternative scenario might be that drugs would get cheaper in the US, European drug prices stay the same and pharmaceutical companies somehow scrape by with lower (but still positive) profit levels.

You're treating this as if it's a question of "fairness" to the drug companies, and it's not about that at all. If you could drive drug company profits to $0 with no collateral effects, it'd be unambiguously the right thing to do.

The question is, though, what does that do to the market? If you're an investor that has a billion dollars lying around, do you put it into drug development or social media? Both are highly risky, but the former is burdened by a regulatory regime that thinks companies in that sector should just "scrape by," while the latter has unlimited upside.

You're basically sending a signal to the market that the more valuable your business is to society, the less money you're going to make from engaging in it. That's ass backwards.

> Seriously, if drug companies were making a net loss in European and other countries, they'd just stop supplying in those countries and subsequently enjoy higher profits

They continue to sell in European countries because they don't make a marginal loss there. But if their revenue levels in the U.S. were at the level they are in Europe, they absolutely could not justify their enormous fixed costs.

> And prices the US pay are in no way related to what other countries pay: it's simply a function of market power and being in a much weaker bargaining position.

It's true that drug companies are in a much weaker bargaining position in European countries, but only because European governments exercise seller-side market power to artificially drive prices below what they would be in a market with many buyers and many sellers.

> I realise Pfizer (net income: $7.74 billion) and Merck & Co (net income: $4.44 billion)

Fun fact: Facebook's net income is about 30% higher than Pfizer's even though its total revenue is only about half. Obviously Facebook's product is much more valuable to the world and should be incentivized accordingly.

Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by premium-concern on Wednesday February 08, 2017 @06:47PM (#13603330)
> But if their revenue levels in the U.S. were at the level they are in Europe, they absolutely could not justify their enormous fixed costs.

Maybe the public could help them substantially lower the costs by not allowing to advertise prescription drugs to laypeople?

Agree with the GP. There is some massive Stockholm syndrome going on here.

Some countries have well-functioning health care systems since the 18XX, not just since the feel-good story of "Murica is subsidizing other countries because we are such a great nation" became a thing.

Working health care is not rocket science, but it looks like everything that doesn't fit the American narrative of exceptionalism is conveniently ignored these days.

Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by rayiner on Wednesday February 08, 2017 @11:05PM (#13604600)
> Maybe the public could help them substantially lower the costs by not allowing to advertise prescription drugs to laypeople?

That argument, though oft-repeated, is mathematically non-sensical. Unless companies are currently operating irrationally, one less dollar spent on advertising will result in more than one dollar lost in revenue.

Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by premium-concern on Thursday February 09, 2017 @07:37PM (#13612371)
Every dollar earned by advertising prescription drugs to the general population is a dollar that shouldn't have been earned in the first place.

See the Opioid epidemic that is still taking lives in the US for more than 20 years. Imagine what an economic benefit it would be for the populace if all those average middle-class Jane and John Does wouldn't have had their life shattered by addiction and instead would be holding down a steady job paying taxes.

Or imagine how much cheaper it would be if the US' reckless abuse of antibiotics in both humans and livestock wouldn't cause such a rise of multi-resistant strains of diseases.

Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by harryh on Wednesday February 08, 2017 @06:57AM (#13597592)
You aren't taking into account the very high fixed costs but very low marginal costs for developing drugs.
Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by refurb on Tuesday February 07, 2017 @05:33PM (#13593584)
Why would drug companies allow it? When a lot of Americans were filling their prescriptions in Canada, the drug companies simply applied quotas to their shipments to Canada. They know how big the markets are, so why would they ship 500% of estimated demand to Canada knowing it would flow back into the US?

As a result, a lot of pharmacies (and some gov'ts) restricted sales to out-of-country patients to prevent shortages in their own countries.

Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by Retric on Tuesday February 07, 2017 @04:29PM (#13592996)
Corruption. However, the line is generally described as: If companies can't discount per country then all countries end up paying high prices without discounts. However, if they can discount prices in some countries then that maximizes profits which increasing the customer base.
Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by Thriptic on Tuesday February 07, 2017 @04:59PM (#13593274)
It's much more complicated than that. Sales in the US where they can charge more are what actually offer pharma companies good ROI. Effectively the US is subsidizing R&D for the rest of the world.
Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by irln on Tuesday February 07, 2017 @05:49PM (#13593708)
Agreed. Pharma is managing their expenses and profitability based upon the ability to charge much higher prices in the US. Take that away and suddenly everyone outside the US will have to pay more -or- Pharma will have to rethink their business model. The more this connection is obfuscated the easier it is to confuse decision makers.
Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by Retric on Tuesday February 07, 2017 @05:51PM (#13593732)
Pharmaceutical companies do a lot more than just R&D making said subsides horribly inefficient and thus a lie. But, yes that's the line used.
Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by shanusmagnus on Wednesday February 08, 2017 @10:21AM (#13598885)
The implication of the 'subsidy' argument is that there's a certain level of profit required to drive a certain amount of product development and innovation. In other words, to get the current level of drug discovery / development / etc., pharma requires the current level of return.

The question for me is how how inelastic this relationship is. The pharma companies would have you believe that if some kind of price controls of some kind were put in place, and the total amount of profit to be had was reduced, then the inexorable result would be a scaling down of the whole process: a sinking tide lowering all ships. Is that a realistic model? I don't know. Is there way to know? I don't know that either.

It's easy to make religious claims from either side, but it would be nice to have a better sense of the system dynamics here.

Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by athenot on Wednesday February 08, 2017 @11:06AM (#13599285)
Not for European drug companies (and there are quite a few of them) who must negociate price in Europe, yet still cover all their R&D.

Those same comapnies then sell the same drug with pure profit (minus marketing & regulatory cost) in the US, for 4x the price because they have a monopily on it.

Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by bjshepard on Wednesday February 08, 2017 @04:00AM (#13596875)
This is a lie.
Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by kybernetikos on Wednesday February 08, 2017 @08:51AM (#13598131)
Saying it's a lie makes it sound like you think it's deliberately mendacious. In fact, it seems more likely that the poster believes it. It might be more constructive and interesting to say something like 'this is incorrect because/as this reference shows...'
Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by Arnt on Tuesday February 07, 2017 @04:08PM (#13592822)
Switzerland, England, Canada, the Netherlands... which negotiator in any of those countries is not smaller than Medicare?
Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by spangry on Tuesday February 07, 2017 @07:52PM (#13594632)
England has a single-payer (the NHS) and a population of 53m people. So I guess the answer is England?
Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by refurb on Tuesday February 07, 2017 @11:05PM (#13595655)
Nope. Medicare has 55.3M beneficiaries.[1]

[1]http://www.ncpssm.org/Medicare/MedicareFastFacts

Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by dragonwriter on Tuesday February 07, 2017 @11:14PM (#13595695)
57 million, but that oncludes 17.6 million that are in third-party at-risk plans where Medicare is just paying a portion of the premiums (Medicare Advantage), not traditional "single payer" Medicare, so don't count in Medicare's negotiating power. So there's just under 40 million in traditional Medicare.

http://kff.org/medicare/fact-sheet/medicare-advantage/

Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by refurb on Wednesday February 08, 2017 @08:31AM (#13598016)
You need to be careful with that definition. For prescription drugs, Medicare just pays premiums to private insurers under Part D. Following your logic, Medicare has zero negotiating power for those drugs.
Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by foldr on Wednesday February 08, 2017 @12:49PM (#13600331)
The NHS is for the whole of the UK, which is 64 million people.
Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by foldr on Wednesday February 08, 2017 @12:48PM (#13600326)
The NHS is for the whole of the UK, which has a population of 64 million.
Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by desas on Wednesday February 08, 2017 @07:03PM (#13603432)
Technically there are four different NHS', one for each nation in Britain. Wales, Scotland and NI each report to their government rather than Westminster.
Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by chimeracoder on Tuesday February 07, 2017 @11:02PM (#13595628)
> England has a single-payer (the NHS) and a population of 53m people. So I guess the answer is England?

GP was being rhetorical, but if you really want to know, Medicare has 55 million beneficiaries in the US.

Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by thereisnospork on Tuesday February 07, 2017 @04:16PM (#13592884)
well none of them, since Medicare isn't a negotiator?
Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by Godel_unicode on Tuesday February 07, 2017 @05:34PM (#13593596)
To extend GPs point, there are negotiators in the US who are bigger and therefore seemingly have more leverage than several of those countries. Therefore, perhaps it's not just a size/leverage thing.
Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by Sanddancer on Tuesday February 07, 2017 @06:53PM (#13594266)
I would argue that having Part D coverage handled directly by medicare, with the power to negotiate prices, would have a positive effect on prices for Part B medication as well. By having Medicare only provide certain medications, it makes it more difficult to bring proper purchasing power. It would also make it a lot easier on people who are on disability to manage their health. I'm on disability, and when I have a problem with a prescription, it's an absolute mess trying to figure out if I need to contact Medicare, or if I need to contact my Part D provider. To make things more complicated, there are times I need to contact Medi-Cal, because I have a certain amount of my coverage handled under Medicaid.
Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by will_brown on Tuesday February 07, 2017 @04:05PM (#13592801)
I think in many respects Medicare is a prime example of how easily the US might/can jumble up a single payer system.

Medicare is socialized medicine, and should be single payer, yet insurance still manages to get in the middle and increase costs while reducing patient outcomes.

Specific example that almost no one talks about: Medicare Insurers come to town and start buying up primary care practices, then, then the Insurer cancels contracts to the remaining providers and those who don't sell. This means patients lose their doctors of years and are stuck going to the primary cares the Insurance companies own, and then provide waterdowned care to patients (e.g. RX that is cheaper for the insurance company even when the Med is proven less effective, less refferals to specialists than the market average, etc...).

There have been some lawsuits against Medicare insurers for this specific behavior, but to my knowledge those have resolved in settlements where the insurers temporarily agree to allow existing patients to continue seeing their doctors, but unfortunately the reality of those cases are the doctors aren't fighting for their patients but seeking their own buyout from the insurers.

Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by chimeracoder on Tuesday February 07, 2017 @05:07PM (#13593352)
> Medicare is socialized medicine, and should be single payer, yet insurance still manages to get in the middle and increase costs while reducing patient outcomes.

Wait, what? Medicare Advantage (the portion of Medicare that is privatized) consistently beats Original Medicare on cost, medical outcomes, and patient satisfaction scores.

Amusingly, when people talk about the high patient satisfaction of Medicare, they're talking about the high patient satisfaction of privately-insured Medicare patients, because even the very lowest satisfaction score of all the major injurers who provide Medicare plans is still higher than Original Medicare's satisfaction rates.

http://thehill.com/policy/healthcare/237492-poll-seniors-mor...

Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by will_brown on Tuesday February 07, 2017 @08:49PM (#13594969)
Patients like Medicare Part D because millions of patients couldn't afford their drugs and now they can, not because of insurance companies or the market is privatized.

Ironically it was GW Bush who got Medicare Part D done (which is the antithesis of fiscal conservatism, and many might remember Bush losing a lot of support from his own party, though many say it was just politicians in the pockets of insurers). Alternatively, Obama originally wanted to do away with Part D because of the cost/waste (forcing millions into situations where again they would lose drug coverage would have been the antithesis of social liberalism, for this reason it was controversial within the party). Luckily there was compromise and instead of dismantling Part D Obama tried to flush out the waste using tools like Star Ratings and mandates to insurers to provide services like Medication Therapy Management to Advantage Chronic Care Patients, which alone has had substantial positive impact on patient outcomes, costs, and the competitive nature of the insurance markets (now insurers are rated based on quality metrics, insurers lose contracts with Medicare due to poor outcomes and only those with the best metrics and ratings can serve the market year round). Still its an inefficient system because of these middlemen, in fact it is arguable many of the "quality metrics" that give insurers better ratings are actually the things leading to bad behavior like buying up medical practices and cancelling contracts with other primary cares in the area to drive down the cost of care.

Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by chimeracoder on Tuesday February 07, 2017 @09:58PM (#13595288)
> Patients like Medicare Part D

I'm talking about Medicare Advantage, not Medicare Part D. Most Medicare Advantage plans do include a Part D plan, but not all do.

> not because of insurance companies or the market is privatized.

People like Medicare Advantage because they are actually able to book appointments without horrendous wait times, and they're able to see a better selection of higher-quality doctors. And the outcomes back this up - Medicare Advantage consistently outperforms Original Medicare on medical outcomes, not just on patient satisfaction.

Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by will_brown on Wednesday February 08, 2017 @12:41AM (#13596095)
>I'm talking about Medicare Advantage, not Medicare Part D. Most Medicare Advantage plans do include a Part D plan, but not all do.

I would have thought 9 out of 10 advantage plans have part D drug coverage but its actually 82% at an average cost of $40/month.

>Medicare Advantage consistently outperforms Original Medicare on medical outcomes, not just on patient satisfaction.

Outcomes is a buzz word, if you want to talk Star Ratings and Quality Metrics, then we can begin to discuss what "outcomes" really mean.

Just one example where a quality metric has both positive and negative patient effects simultaneously: say I'm Blue Cross Blue Shield, thru MTM I somehow manage to get all my Medicare Advantage Part D Chronic Care Patients to switch an average of 10 Rx/patient from 30 day to 90 day fills.

Its these little things inherent in the Star Rating/Quality Measure system that people regularly refer to as patient "outcomes". In my example, the Blue Cross Blue Star Star Rating might even go to 5 allowing me to sell insurance year round. Why? It starts with medication related incidents costing billions/year and resulting in millions of hospitalizations and that being some of the lowest hanging fruit to correct, so "medication adherence" is heavily weighted in Star Ratings, and somewhere there is a study concluding 90 day fill improve medication adherence by x% over 30 day fill (i.e. improved outcome). It all sounds great until you peel back the layers and find a doctor who refuses to change the script because morally the doctor wants to see that patient every 30 or 60 days (again these are all Chronic Care Patients so diabetes, blood pressure, cholesterol, etc...) before writing a refill. When these objections regularly occur from doctors, insurance has deemed them to expensive and drops them from the network, and as I stated in my initial post those patients will regularly be redirected to a practice owned by the insurer themselves.

Now in all fairness we all know there are doctors who do in fact milk the system with unnecessary patient visits but it is undeniable from the court cases by groups of doctors who have been dropped against the insurers and the reactions of patients losing a doctor they know and trust, there is very unsavory behavior by insurers.

Here is my final diatribe on my bone to pick with "outcomes", naturally one way to drive down costs care (thus improve Star Ratings and outcomes) is switching from name brand to generic. However, even when doctors feel a generic may be fine they may not want to change a therapy in instance when the patient has been on a continuous therapy successfully managing their chronic care condition just to save a few dollars, improve the insurers Star Rating, and claim better patient outcome. Though this debatable issue becomes a clear problem when insurers start pushing the doctor (and even the patient thru cold calling) to change the Rx to a generic that is clinically proven to be harmful to patients to save money (which may actually be happening with the diabetes Statin therapy).

Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by chimeracoder on Wednesday February 08, 2017 @08:28AM (#13597999)
> Outcomes is a buzz word, if you want to talk Star Ratings and Quality Metrics, then we can begin to discuss what "outcomes" really mean

If you want to talk about how metrics are imperfect, fine, but you can't claim that Original Medicare is somehow better unless you actually propose some concrete metrics on which it actually does outperform Medicare Advantage. As it stands, Medicare Advantage consistently beats Original Medicare on pretty much every metric you can conceive of.

Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by will_brown on Wednesday February 08, 2017 @11:44AM (#13599664)
Every single Advantage patient is enrolled in "oringinal medicare" parts A and B, the only difference is those parts are administered by private insurance...and all the additional benefits and cost savings by law on these plans. That is to say the benefits and cost savings of advantage aren't there because the private market they are mandated.

Take my 1 example MTM, Medicare Advantage patients don't get that benefit because the private market is driving competition and better care, it's because by law the Avantage plans have to provide MTM under penalty of losing their Medicare contacts.

I'm not denying Avantage is better than original Medicare, but to claim the reason Advantage may be better is insurance companies and not the legally mandated benefits and costs of Advantage plans isn't good faith, especially when you already minimized >80% of the patients get mandated drug coverage. Yes it's good but is has nothing to do with insurance creating the market conditions that created the drug coverage, its law and subsidies. Though it will become clearer as the insurance continues to consolidate and Medicare patients will only be able to go to doctors, hospitals and pharmacies owned by the insurer, because that's where it's going for Medicare Avantage patients, costs will go down but I'll be damned if I call that a "good outcome".

Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by chimeracoder on Wednesday February 08, 2017 @12:15PM (#13599999)
> Every single Advantage patient is enrolled in "oringinal medicare" parts A and B, the only difference is those parts are administered by private insurance

Again, it seems you're confused about what Medicare Advantage is. Medicare Advantage essentially replaces all Medicare coverage - parts A, B, and (usually) D. So no, Part C patients are not enrolled in Original Medicare in any sense. They are enrolled in Medicare, but not Original Medicare.

> Yes it's good but is has nothing to do with insurance creating the market conditions that created the drug coverage,

I'm not talking about drug coverage. Medicare Advantage provides a superior (in every measurable sense) way to obtain Part A and B benefits than Original Medicare does. That has nothing to do with drug coverage.

> its law and subsidies.

It's not a matter of "subsidies". Medicare Advantage is not subsidized by the government. The government pays private insurers a fixed amount that corresponds to what Original Medicare would "receive" for each patient, but that's not a subsidy. And when we say that Medicare Advantage outperforms Original Medicare on cost, we're saying that Medicare Advantage is able to achieve better outcomes for the same amount of money.

If you think that's just a fluke, then look at Medicaid. The same pattern holds with Medicaid, where privately managed plans again consistently outperform the government plans, even though the array of requirements differs widely.

> especially when you already minimized >80% of the patients get mandated drug coverage.

The drug coverage isn't "mandated" for Medicare Advantage patients, any more than it is "mandated" for Original Medicare patients who enroll in a Part D plan or a Medigap plan. Medicare Advantage patients who don't receive prescription coverage can get a Part D plan just like Original Medicare patients can.

Maybe you're trying to say that there's a beneficial selection occurring, but that's also wrong. Part D is well-segemented

That argument would basically boil down to "Medicare Advantage is only better than Original Medicare because most Medicare Advantage patients receive drug coverage", which makes no sense because (a) the same companies provide Medicare Advantage and Part D benefits (and oftentimes using same plans), and (b) Medicare Advantage provides superior coverage and quality (and at a lower price) when compared to Part D enrollees with the same prescription coverage.

Honestly, the existence of Part D is, if anything, proof positive of this effect, because it makes it so easy to tease out the difference between receiving Part A/B coverage through Original Medicare and receiving equivalent coverage through Medicare Advantage.

> Though it will become clearer as the insurance continues to consolidate and Medicare patients will only be able to go to doctors, hospitals and pharmacies owned by the insurer, because that's where it's going for Medicare Avantage patients

That's the way the entire industry is headed as a direct result of the ACA. But even that's still a lot better than Original Medicare where patients struggle to get appointments at all.

Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by will_brown on Wednesday February 08, 2017 @01:38PM (#13600768)
>The government pays private insurers a fixed amount that corresponds to what Original Medicare would "receive" for each patient, but that's not a subsidy.

Define it however you want, it leads to watered down care. Naturally, the Insurers have incentive to identify the primary care physicians who don't see their patients (especially chronic care) or don't order referrals to specialists. Have you followed a single lawsuit against the Medicare Advantage plans by physicians and physician groups? Insurers identify these practices (the ones that have minimized costs through watered down care) buy them/cancel other physicians out of the networks/funnel remaining patients to the doctor.

Let me ask you, how do you think an Advantage patient can set an appointment so easily when the networks have narrowed (less physicians, less patient choice) and the overall patients/doctor in network increases? Its because systematically the complicated chronic care patients are seeing the doctor less and less and the network doctors have more time to spread around and set appointments in 24-48 hours (you say improved outcome, I say yes for many but also watered down care for many). I will admit, patients like seeing their doctor in 24-48 hours and like seeing them 1-2 a year instead of 4-6, its convenient and cost them less (in co-pays if nothing else), but its still watered down care, especially to the chronic care Medicare Advantage patients.

I will predict this as well...the next step in all this is for Pharmacists to be labeled providers (can bill CMS under Parts A, B, C) and they will begin replacing physicians as the providers for Medicare Advantage chronic care patients. Again outcomes will go up because the patients are actually being seen and the Chronic Care CPT code will be billed/reflected on their EHR, but the care will be watered down (patients now forced to see pharmacists instead of doctors for chronic care management), but hey costs will go down right? Even the patients will be happy because they can just walk in to a pharmacy anytime without an appointment and see a pharmacist, plus the copay will probably be cheaper, again you/Insurers/even patients can say "improved outcomes", I'll maintain less choice and watered down care.

Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by chimeracoder on Wednesday February 08, 2017 @02:19PM (#13601141)
> Define it however you want, it leads to watered down care

I can't even follow what you're trying to say anymore, because you're conflating unrelated topics. And again, you're still not really actually defining the metrics that you care about, so it's hard to respond because you're not offering any concrete and systematic method for evaluating effectiveness. I've mentioned a few metrics (which happen to be the industry-standard, first-order metrics). You don't have to agree with them, but if you're going to dismiss them, then you need to propose something else or it's impossible to engage with what amounts to a flurry of anecdotal problems. (Anecdotal doesn't mean that they're not real or important, but it does mean that there isn't a framework for discussing them).

> Its because systematically the complicated chronic care patients are seeing the doctor less and less and the network doctors have more time to spread around and set appointments in 24-48 hours (you say improved outcome, I say yes for many but also watered down care for many). I will admit, patients like seeing their doctor in 24-48 hours and like seeing them 1-2 a year instead of 4-6, its convenient and cost them less (in co-pays if nothing else), but its still watered down care, especially to the chronic care Medicare Advantage patients.

This is completely and utterly wrong. I founded a heath-tech company aimed at coordinating care for this exact space. That statement is completely off-base.

Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by will_brown on Wednesday February 08, 2017 @04:00PM (#13602053)
>I've mentioned a few metrics (which happen to be the industry-standard, first-order metrics).

What metrics have you mentioned at all? You claim original Medicare patients can't get appointments and Advantage can, fine I'll chalk that up as a metric/outcome impacting insurance star ratings, but you ignore the fact people like advantage 8 out of 10 because they get drug coverage, that is not unrelated. Tell you what take away Part D drug coverage from 8 of 10 Advantage plans do you think the patients will still be happy with Advantage over Original Medicare (see my links below before you answer that the links below belie your statments appoint access/appointments between Advantage and Original)?

Moreover, Advanatage and Original Medicare patients report similar experience in getting primary care appointments, and in fact Original Medicare out does Advantage in getting Specialty appointments (only by 2% but still) [1] and the chart [2].

You completely ignored the metrics about I mention about: [1] 30 to 90 Rx transfers; or [2] Rx transfer to generics (including Statin which for Medicare Advantage Diabetes patients which is clinically proven fatal in a few cases out of every million).

[1] http://kff.org/medicare/issue-brief/medicare-patients-access...

[2] http://kaiserfamilyfoundation.files.wordpress.com/2013/12/85...

>This is completely and utterly wrong.

Please show me the data supporting any notion that on average Medicare Advantage patients have larger doctor networks than Original.

Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by chimeracoder on Wednesday February 08, 2017 @05:59PM (#13603017)
Alright, I can't continue this, because it's too dizzying to try and follow what you're saying, as it changes with every comment.

You were the one who brought up costs and patient outcomes:

> get in the middle and increase costs while reducing patient outcomes.

So I responded to that claim by talking about Medicare Advantage (Part C), at which point you bring up Part D, confusing it for Part C:

> Patients like Medicare Part D because millions of patients couldn't afford their drugs and now they can, not because of insurance companies or the market is privatized.

After I explain that, no, I'm talking about Part C (which provides Part A/B benefits) as opposed to Part D, and that the advantages to Part C are lower wait times and higher-quality doctors, which both lead to better outcomes, you go back and say that outcomes (which you initially talked about) aren't necessarily good, illustrated with an anecode:

> Outcomes is a buzz word... Just one example where a quality metric has both positive and negative patient effects simultaneously...

but don't actually propose any alternative metric to measure instead. I asked you to do that, and you demur, talking about costs but again dismissing outcomes, along with some other factual inaccuracies about Medicare

> Every single Advantage patient is enrolled in "oringinal medicare" parts A and B... additional benefits and cost savings by law.... but I'll be damned if I call that a "good outcome".

I correct those factual inaccuracies, and then you bring up insurance networks (which are related, but not the same as quality of care), and also go back to talking about wait times. You also say that this is "watered-down care", but don't actually define what that means (the only thing that's clear is that you don't mean "medical outcomes"):

> Define it however you want, it leads to watered down care.... you say improved outcome, I say yes for many but also watered down care for many

I say that no, your statement about wait times is wrong, and remind you that you still haven't defined the metrics that you're actually using to measure quality or effectiveness of medical outcomes. You respond by complaining that I haven't addressed your example of a bad metric:

> You completely ignored the metrics about I mention about: [1] 30 to 90 Rx transfers; or [2] Rx transfer to generics (including Statin which for Medicare Advantage Diabetes patients which is clinically proven fatal in a few cases out of every million).

...except that I'm actually willing to engage your point that some metrics are flawed - my whole question for you is what you're using to define medical quality if you're not using the industry-standard measures?

And to top it all off, you respond to my comment about wait times by saying:

> Please show me the data supporting any notion that on average Medicare Advantage patients have larger doctor networks than Original.

Except that I never said anything about larger doctor networks. Nor, for that matter, did you! I was responding to your claim about wait times, which is not the same thing as the size of the network.

I don't mind correcting misunderstandings about the fundamental structure of Medicare, because I understand that it's rather esoteric and most people here don't have any experience with it. But doing that while also trying to chase your goalposts in circles is immensely frustrating, and I don't have the time for that. Sorry.

Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by will_brown on Wednesday February 08, 2017 @08:28PM (#13603847)
It's sad because I am frustrated as well, and I believe we likely could have had a more civil and informative conversation, maybe in person or another medium. I'll leave it at this myself:

>So I responded to that claim by talking about Medicare Advantage (Part C), at which point you bring up Part D, confusing it for Part C:

You used Advantage and I did respond using Part D, but its not for any misunderstanding. Literally there is no Part D without Advantage/Part C, and Part D is included in 82% of all Advantage/Part C Plans. Moreover, the rule is that Advantage Plans include Part D, it is the exception for Advantage to not have Part D. The truth is this point doesn't even matter, It just keeps getting in the way of proper discourse, it makes me believe you are minimizing the importance of drug coverage in Advantage Plans and it makes you think I don't understand the structure of Medicare.

>And to top it all off, you respond to my comment about wait times by saying:

I also responded to your comment about wait times with CMS patient data that shows Advantage/Original patients are equally satisfied for primary care wait times and Original are more satisfied with specialty wait times.

Its clear you know a good deal about Medicare, but I question your intimate knowledge of how the following and is gamed in the interest of claiming better medical/patient outcomes: Star Ratings, Quality Measures, MACRA, MTM, Managed Care, ACO, CPT codes, etc...

>my whole question for you is what you're using to define medical quality if you're not using the industry-standard measures?

I think that is a very fair question, because I didn't expressly state a new or better set of measures/metrics/outcomes, mostly because I don't believe in a one size fits all solution to care, it must be individualized (i.e. its not always an improved outcome to switch a Chronic Care Advantage patient to a Statin; or even though 90 day Rx may improve medication adherence of patients on average it also shows patients show up to the doctor less so in the case of Chronic Care patients the 90 day Rx should be a quality measure/improved outcome). However, in a one size fits all approach I would say it is a bad patient outcome when Insurers shrink their networks, patients lose their doctor(s), and patients are funneled to Insurance owned practices (I think you issue is that those measures/outcomes are unrelated to "quality of care" as you put it, but neither are many of the current measures most of which are based on costs or medication adherence, though I would argue the quality of care has gone down when a patient loses their doctor of years).

Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by warcher on Tuesday February 07, 2017 @02:38PM (#13591998)
I just realized that my last two posts are poo-pooing Silicon Valley's recent unwillingness to stay in its lane. I'm not trying to be negative here, it's just... man, it's a big old world and software isn't eating everything.

I like a nice website as much as anybody. I think YC has done real well with their websites. If they wanna move fast and break things, I'm gonna wish them godspeed. I still think they're crazy, but that's the point, right?

Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by rayiner on Tuesday February 07, 2017 @06:23PM (#13593997)
You're trivializing what is actually a very complicated economic issue. Medicare negotiating drug prices raises a serious buyer-side market power concern: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monopsony. You can't have a "real market" where something like Medicare exists. So you design the rules to try to mitigate various exercises of market power. That's really hard to do.

Of course, you can say "who cares if Medicare drives prices too low, the drug companies will just have to deal with it." But in the long term, that's bad for the customer. All around the country you can see regulated rates that are too low and drive out investment. A great example is water utilities. Almost everywhere, water rates are far lower than they should be, and as a result water infrastructure is crumbling, customers are drinking water through lead pipes that haven't been replaced in a century, etc.

Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by warcher on Wednesday February 08, 2017 @02:15PM (#13601108)
My point, more specifically, is that the US healthcare system is in a state of regulatory capture due to various market failures in our implementation of employer-based health insurance. I would go further and say that employer-based health insurance is intrinsically unsound, and the only thing propping up our failed system is massive government subsidy.

This is literally our system:

When you're healthy, you get for-profit health care through your job. If you become infirm and cannot work, usually through age, but for whatever reason, you get expensive health care through the state after you have bankrupted yourself.

The entire premise of health insurance is having healthy people pay for the sick people to spread out the risk. But our system is "private insurance takes all the profits and the government takes all the costs".

And people wonder why things aren't working out.

Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by davidgay on Tuesday February 07, 2017 @11:05PM (#13595651)
> All around the country you can see regulated rates that are too low and drive out investment. A great example is water utilities. Almost everywhere, water rates are far lower than they should be, and as a result water infrastructure is crumbling, customers are drinking water through lead pipes that haven't been replaced in a century, etc.

It's too simplistic to blame this on government regulation. The rest of the world also regulates utilities, and far from all of it has the crumbling water infrastructure problem.

Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by rayiner on Wednesday February 08, 2017 @12:14PM (#13599980)
> It's too simplistic to blame this on government regulation. The rest of the world also regulates utilities, and far from all of it has the crumbling water infrastructure problem.

I'm not blaming the fact that government regulates utilities. I'm pointing out that using government regulation to simply drive prices lower is bad in the long term. Government regulation can work when prices are set at levels that balance investor incentives and consumer welfare. Doing that is really hard.

When the U.K. privatized British Telecom, it created a regulated monopoly (now BT Openreach) that owned the wires into peoples' houses. They spent a lot of time and intellectual energy into determining how to set BT Openreach's rates. As a result, that monopoly is more profitable than say AT&T (even including AT&T's lucrative wireless division). Unsurprisingly, BT Openreach has aggressively built out FTTN in the U.K. whereas U.S. telephone providers have been trying to limit investment in their networks.

Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by anigbrowl on Tuesday February 07, 2017 @03:43PM (#13592582)
Agreed. US healthcare is a horribly corrupt system designed to redistribute wealth from the most vulnerable into as few hands as possible. It is one of the few industries where I think expropriation and corporate dissolution is entirely justifiable.
Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by SilasX on Tuesday February 07, 2017 @03:15PM (#13592330)
If you think that policy is pure benefit for consumers and the only costs are to greedy mustache-twirling men, then there may be another bubble going on.

It would mean that the US uses its leverage to push drug prices down to marginal costs, which would almost be the last domino in payers willing to pay for something like the value of new drugs. But drug development doesn't make sense if you can only charge marginal costs.

The downsides of such a policy are going to be felt long-term; nothing is as simple as "we pay less and they get less".

Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by Sanddancer on Tuesday February 07, 2017 @06:58PM (#13594299)
Or we could start funding medical research through our system of universities and the like. We have immense public and non-profit institutions that can take over. Maybe we'll even be able to see more benefit in treatment of rare and neglected diseases that way.

It also means that a large number of people could actually afford medication, doctors, etc. I have friends who can't afford going to the doctor, can't afford medication, so go without. Their quality of life would greatly improve by them being able to get into the system.

Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by SilasX on Tuesday February 07, 2017 @07:13PM (#13594378)
Yes, it is definitely a possibility, that we could refactor the whole system and eliminate patents and set up a completely new model for drug development to work. That would affect a lot of stakeholders and be complicated politically, but yes, it's one route to take.

I was only trying to establish that it's not a matter of "here's a single, obviously bad policy that can be clipped out and which only has downsides for greedy capitalists".

Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by surfmike on Tuesday February 07, 2017 @07:31PM (#13594482)
Indeed, there are not enough incentives for pharma companies to target third world or not-so-common disease, but instead to push things like Viagra. That's one of the things Gates Foundation is helping address but ideally we do it at the government level. Research through grants to universities and labs already fuels a lot of great R&D in the US and I feel like we need to have even more of it for medicine.
Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by chimeracoder on Tuesday February 07, 2017 @11:18PM (#13595715)
> Indeed, there are not enough incentives for pharma companies to target third world or not-so-common disease, but instead to push things like Viagra.

Viagra was originally developed as a medication for cardiovascular disorders and hypertension, which are major problems in both the "third world" and in developed nations. It was only later on that they discovered its use for erectile dysfunction.

As for marketing Viagra - why is that a bad thing? Given that they've already done the bulk of the R&D for it, making money off the blockbuster drugs is exactly how pharmaceutical companies can afford to pour research into drugs that are a lot less likely to succeed, or which target poorer populations.

Or, if you don't want to look at Pfizer, look at Gilead. While it's easy to criticize them for charging so much money for Sovaldi (or charging so much for Tenofovir a decade ago) charging the patients who can afford it for the early years is exactly how they recover their costs and justify things like clinical trials for PrEP (which, it's easy to forget today, were a massive risk at the time), or direct market subsidizes of PrEP for people who can't afford it otherwise. I wouldn't be surprised if they did something similar for Sovaldi in the next decade as well.

Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by doggydogs94 on Wednesday February 08, 2017 @12:48AM (#13596116)
Viagra is the only expensive drug that people willingly pay full price for.
Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by prostoalex on Tuesday February 07, 2017 @11:59PM (#13595881)
If the system you're describing is easy to set up and promises similar (or better) results at lower costs, why aren't other countries adopting it?
Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by scarmig on Tuesday February 07, 2017 @03:20PM (#13592373)
Funding research through banning a buyer from negotiating with its suppliers is pretty much the definition of a Rube Goldberg device.

I don't think anyone would dispute that that's a major way that research is currently funded, but it's fundamentally stupid. You've got a bunch of free riders, and it obscures where and why costs are actually incurred.

Allow negotiation, and then figure out clear, rational funding mechanisms.

Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by SilasX on Tuesday February 07, 2017 @03:45PM (#13592611)
>Funding research through banning a buyer from negotiating with its suppliers is pretty much the definition of a Rube Goldberg device.

It's exactly how normal (non-monopsony) markets work in every context, including markets for intellectual works/IP.

Note: in this context, "negotiating" means "turning the national market into a monopsony". It's generally recognized as not-a-pure-good-thing when e.g. Walmart comes close to doing that and forces sellers to nearly take a loss in return for access to Walmart's market.

(And before anyone makes the obvious point, yes, I know "health care ain't a can of beans etc etc etc". But with respect to the dangers of monopsonies, it's close enough.)

Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by pessimizer on Tuesday February 07, 2017 @07:31PM (#13594481)
If the government wants to fund drug development, it can fund it directly by buying research studies and proposals for studies rather than drugs from the drug companies. Something needs to be done to remove the incentives to falsify or exaggerate results and endlessly pursue me-too drugs.
Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by chimeracoder on Tuesday February 07, 2017 @02:40PM (#13592018)
> In the united states we can't successfully implement negotiation on drug prices for MediCare. They literally can't negotiate with their suppliers. By law.

On the flip side, Medicare sets reimbursement rates for services essentially by fiat[0], which can be below the marginal costs of providing service. Most providers cannot legally refuse to treat Medicare patients, so they are forced to accept the rates that Medicare sets (they have no ability to properly negotiate). Medicaid is a whole different system, but in this aspect, it also works the same way.

This turns into a system in which privately insured patients subsidize Medicare patients through their premiums[1] (separately from their tax money, which also goes towards Medicare)[2]. Medicare has no incentive to change this, because it allows them to increase their (effective) operating budget without requiring Congressional approval.

The reason Medicare drug price negotiation was blocked is that people (both pharmaceutical companies and policymakers) were afraid that it would turn out just like Medicare's "negotiated" rates for inpatient and outpatient services.

[0] And private insurers are legally prohibited from reimbursing less than Medicare does

[1] And uninsured patients receive the same (inflated) bills that private insurers receive. (Whether or not they actually pay their bills is a separate matter).

[2] If you've ever wondered why the sticker prices for inpatient services seem so high, this is the underlying reason. Privately insured patients and uninsured patients aren't just paying for their own care (and for the care of others in the same risk pool). They also have to cover the amount of money that providers lose on Medicare and Medicaid patients.

Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by fencepost on Tuesday February 07, 2017 @03:10PM (#13592275)
It's important to realize that what private insurance is billed is the same as what uninsured/self-pay patients are billed, but what private insurance pays is negotiated rates that are often pretty close to what Medicare is paying. There's a certain level of shell game going on in there.
Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by chimeracoder on Tuesday February 07, 2017 @03:21PM (#13592374)
> It's important to realize that what private insurance is billed is the same as what uninsured/self-pay patients are billed, but what private insurance pays is negotiated rates that are often pretty close to what Medicare is paying. There's a certain level of shell game going on in there.

Yes, private insurers don't pay entirely what they're billed. Though they still pay significantly more than Medicare pays. The negotiated agreements between private insurers and hospitals are almost always pegged at multiples of Medicare (e.g. "200% or 350% of Medicare rates for $X service").

Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by khuey on Tuesday February 07, 2017 @02:54PM (#13592151)
> Most providers cannot legally refuse to treat Medicare patients

My understanding is that doctors can choose not to take Medicare patients. Do you have a link or something that explains this?

Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by chimeracoder on Tuesday February 07, 2017 @03:08PM (#13592263)
> My understanding is that doctors can choose not to take Medicare patients.

Sort of. For example, most emergency rooms in which physicians have admitting privileges to an associated hospital are required to take Medicare[0]. And those emergency rooms are prohibited from refusing patients based on insurance status. So right off the bat, that's an enormous source of patients who could be publicly insured (Medicare/Medicaid) or uninsured, and they have no legal way to refuse them. (Once a patient is in the ER, if they need to be admitted, you can't (legally!) refuse to admit them based on their insurance status).

I'm kind of oversimplifying, because there are a lot of tricks that hospitals try to use to stop the bleeding - for example, Bellevue is a public hospital, and it operates an emergency room, but its private counterpart that is literally across the street does not. NYU can do some (perfectly legal) maneuvering to keep most of the patient population of Langone limited to privately-insured patients. As a result, Langone has undeniably better[1] care, despite having access to the same set of medical staff[2] and being associated with the same medical college.

It's true that private practices can refuse Medicare for outpatient services easily. And incidentally, many do. There's a reason that, except in "critical access" areas[3], most of the top physicians who operate purely private practices don't accept Medicare. However, private practices are a dying breed, so that's a moot point in 2017.

[0] Conversely, free-standing emergency rooms are prohibited from accepting Medicare. A rather cynical view of this would be that Medicare does not want to encourage free-standing emergency rooms, because it's much more difficult to use private emergency care to subsidize Medicare care than it is to use private inpatient care to subsidize Medicare care (the orders of magnitude in costs are vastly different).

[1] More expensive, but vastly better

[2] Well, sort of. Staff isn't shared between the hospitals day-to-day (a nurse at Langone will typically only work at Langone unless he or she also has a job at Bellevue), but the allocation draws from the same pool a priori.

[3] Rural hospitals that Medicare pays handsomely, because otherwise those regions would have no medical access at all.

Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by dragonwriter on Tuesday February 07, 2017 @03:12PM (#13592299)
> Staff isn't shared between the hospitals day-to-day

It probably is; it's quite common for fair numbers of hospital staff (e.g., OR staff that are needed only for certain types of procedures), AFAIK, to be provided by third-party contractors that provide service to multiple hospitals in the same area, and the same staff may work at different hospitals on different days based on need.

Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by chimeracoder on Tuesday February 07, 2017 @03:18PM (#13592356)
> It probably is; it's quite common for fair numbers of hospital staff

Sort of, yes - in NYC, nurses are almost all members of 1199SEIU, for example, and the shift-work nature of nursing makes it easy for them to be employed simultaneously by multiple hospitals. Though my point is that this is usually handled on an individual level (by the nurses who choose where to work), rather than the hospitals themselves directly coordinating staff schedules in tandem.

Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by khuey on Tuesday February 07, 2017 @05:30PM (#13593545)
Thank you for the explanation. Has anybody tried to estimate the magnitude of this implicit subsidy to Medicare?
Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by refurb on Tuesday February 07, 2017 @03:08PM (#13592264)
They can refused to treat any Medicare patients, but they can't pick on chose which Medicare patients their serve.
Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by warcher on Tuesday February 07, 2017 @02:57PM (#13592178)
Oh it's absolutely complicated, but hilariously inefficient and corrupt on both a macro and a micro level. On every level you examine the system it's a bugfuck.
Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by tcbawo on Tuesday February 07, 2017 @02:56PM (#13592167)
I see this argument in many places. Who dictates the cost of providing services? Why are these costs so high? My pet theory is the insane costs (money, time, high selectivity) of medical training and office overhead. Medical professionals feel entitled to $$ for their risk. Perhaps older specialists who didn't have these costs are spoiled. I would love to see how tuition amnesty would affect price elasticity.
Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by refurb on Tuesday February 07, 2017 @03:12PM (#13592296)
The costs you typically see quoted are from the chargemaster that hospitals are required to keep. That's not what's actually paid, but rather the starting point for a negotiation (or what you are billed if uninsured).

One reason for the inflated chargemaster prices (e.g. $100 for a tylenol) is that payers (Medicare is a big one) simply negotiate by saying "I'll pay you 50% of your chargemaster". Then when the hospital updates their chargemaster, they tack on another 20% and the payer comes back and says "I'll pay you 25% of your chargemaster".

It's a vicious cycle where the chargemaster prices have no bearing on reality.

Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by tcbawo on Tuesday February 07, 2017 @04:38PM (#13593075)
Perhaps we need to borrow a tactic from countries fighting currency inflation and introduce an alternate 'chargemaster' with more realistic (ideally public) prices.
Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by tclAmockingbird on Tuesday February 07, 2017 @04:05PM (#13592800)
Physician and staff salaries (outside of staff to manage insurance companies) are not what drive increasing medical costs. Most physicians don't make that much money, all things considered.

An insurer last month for a relative's pediatrics practice announced that they were having difficulties with their accounting system and so they would only be making a half payment on their outstanding AR (and naturally, they announced this problem right before the payment was due to be sent). My relative's practice has no practical recourse other than to wait for the full payment to be sent. This is not an uncommon occurrence. My relative's practice is regrettably not able to use the same argument for their bills that are due.

It costs my relative money to administer vaccines in their peds practice, i.e., most insurances pay less than what it costs to purchase and give the vaccine. My relative continues to offer many vaccines at a loss because they believe vaccines are one of medicine's greatest gifts and because they have good success in persuading unsure parents to vaccinate their children. From a pure numbers perspective, it is a mistake.

Insurance companies not paying physicians on time as agreed drives up costs. Insurance (Medicaid included) not paying what it actually costs for a procedure drives up costs. Insurance companies arguing against the best course of treatment for a patient, requiring additional staff to be hired in order to deal with the pushback, drives up costs.

Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by tcbawo on Tuesday February 07, 2017 @04:32PM (#13593022)
When you say insurance isn't paying what it costs for a vaccination, what determines the cost of the procedure? Is it the vaccine itself? Office overhead? Liability insurance? I know pediatricians are generally overworked and underpaid. But, it seems we desperately need innovation on the cost side.

Maybe we need to drop kiosks into pharmacies that can read biometric markers, get doctor approval, and deliver vaccines.

Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by chimeracoder on Tuesday February 07, 2017 @04:46PM (#13593148)
> When you say insurance isn't paying what it costs for a vaccination, what determines the cost of the procedure? Is it the vaccine itself?

The vaccine itself. Medicare and Medicaid are notorious for this, as they have no mandate to cover marginal costs of supplies (and they have the ability to force providers to accept less than that).

So, depending on the practice, those providers could very well be losing money on every Medicare patient they treat before they even have a chance to think about paying for their office space, paying their staff, etc.

Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by tclAmockingbird on Tuesday February 07, 2017 @04:56PM (#13593255)
Yes, in my relative's case (being peds) it is Medicaid.

It's a really frustrating thing, as a physician you want to treat everyone, but accepting Medicare and Medicaid can really hurt the operation of your business.

Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by tcbawo on Tuesday February 07, 2017 @06:27PM (#13594040)
Do you have any idea of the distribution of vacine prices between providers (ie hospital networks vs private practices)? Is there a large discrepancy, or do hospitals use this as a 'loss leader'?
Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by gnopgnip on Tuesday February 07, 2017 @08:56PM (#13595002)
Practicing physicians are the most highly paid workers in America. In what way do they not make that much money?
Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by chimeracoder on Tuesday February 07, 2017 @10:04PM (#13595324)
> Practicing physicians are the most highly paid workers in America. In what way do they not make that much money?

Doctors take home a lot less than people think.

The "salary" numbers you usually see cited aren't comparable to salaries in fields like software engineering, because doctors still have to cover their own business costs (the big one is malpractice insurance, but other expenses like CME, etc. are all on their own dime). And these are almost invariably not tax-deductible, because AMT doesn't allow for deductions for business expenses.

In any case, physicians' earnings account for only about 10% of total medical spending in the country. In other words, even if every doctor decided to work for free and pay for all their business expenses out of their savings... we'd still be spending 90% of what we currently are.

Re:YC Research: Universal Healthcare by dagss on Tuesday February 07, 2017 @04:11PM (#13592839)
Though if you refer to the YC Research OP, it doesn't mention anything about the US. Any number of other countries could be markets.