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Re:Trump’s Next Move on Immigration to Hit Closer to Home fo... by ggame on Monday January 30, 2017 @05:40AM (#13519986)
Why would SV clash with Trump on this? This seems like a sensible solution to the problem and one I've seen posted multiple times here on HN.
Re:Trump’s Next Move on Immigration to Hit Closer to Home fo... by kyrre on Monday January 30, 2017 @05:47AM (#13520018)
Good for software developers. Not so much for large companies that want to drive down salaries through indentured servitude (H1B).
Re:Trump’s Next Move on Immigration to Hit Closer to Home fo... by threeseed on Monday January 30, 2017 @06:36AM (#13520266)
No it's not that good for software developers or anyone really.

Many of those hired on H1B are doing roles for which they simply can't get enough local talent. And so all that is going to happen is that companies are going to shift entire projects offshore or simply not take on as many projects.

There does need to be reform. But frankly given the chaotic manner in which the Trump administration is crafting and implementing policy I don't think their approach to reform will be nuanced enough.

Re:Trump’s Next Move on Immigration to Hit Closer to Home fo... by 0xfeba on Monday January 30, 2017 @10:15AM (#13521791)
> Many of those hired on H1B are doing roles for which they simply can't get enough local talent.

I can only speak to my experience. At my current employer we have about 60-70% H1Bs in my department (development). Even more in QA. And they aren't particularly talented. After reviewing the public information though, they are getting paid 50% of what I am.

So they are living with multiple other visa workers in one apartment, can barely afford repairs to their old cars, etc.

It'd be great if the wages were more equalized. It's really not about talent at anywhere but the big 4. It's about money.

Re:Trump’s Next Move on Immigration to Hit Closer to Home fo... by mavelikara on Monday January 30, 2017 @11:43AM (#13522675)
I am not working at the Big 4, am on H-1B, and am a hiring manager at an SV firm. When I hire an H-1B it is not about the money. Not challenging your experience, but pointing out that there are other possibilities also.
Re:Trump’s Next Move on Immigration to Hit Closer to Home fo... by User23 on Monday January 30, 2017 @02:27PM (#13524210)
The inclination for people to hire those who remind them of themselves is well documented which means if you're not doing it to save money then you're doing it to favor your tribe.
Re:Trump’s Next Move on Immigration to Hit Closer to Home fo... by mavelikara on Monday January 30, 2017 @02:31PM (#13524249)
I hire both people on H-1B visas and those who are not. All I was saying that the immigration status does not positively or negatively affects a candidate's job application, where I work.
Re:Trump’s Next Move on Immigration to Hit Closer to Home fo... by 0xfeba on Monday January 30, 2017 @01:11PM (#13523565)
Well, yes. I mean at the Big 4 (and really, this applies to any large, cutting-edge company: Twitter, Oracle, etc.) they do reach out of the US to find great talent for higher up positions. But they also abuse the visa process for lower wages in lower positions.

Lots of other companies without hype just want lower wage workers. I figure these are the majority.

Re:Trump’s Next Move on Immigration to Hit Closer to Home fo... by serge2k on Monday January 30, 2017 @03:03PM (#13524496)
> But they also abuse the visa process for lower wages in lower positions.

The numbers are public on this and look fine. People keep telling you "I'm on an H-1B and I'm paid reasonably".

Please, offer actual proof or quit spreading this around.

Re:Trump’s Next Move on Immigration to Hit Closer to Home fo... by 0xfeba on Monday January 30, 2017 @05:39PM (#13525766)
People who are in startups and other unicorns are telling me this, sure.

But lots of established SW companies use contracting companies that abuse the visa process. I should have been more clear, it's these contracting companies (usually based out of India) that are abusing the process. US companies that use them are pretty much complicit:

http://www.vocativ.com/money/business/theyll-sponsor-america...

http://www.infoworld.com/article/3004501/h1b/proof-that-h-1b...

http://www.sfchronicle.com/business/article/Chasing-dreams-a...

http://www.epi.org/blog/new-data-infosys-tata-abuse-h-1b-pro...

Re:Trump’s Next Move on Immigration to Hit Closer to Home fo... by Clubber on Monday January 30, 2017 @09:27PM (#13527003)
I remember a fairly recent story about Disney laying off a bunch of IT folks.

http://www.computerworld.com/article/2915904/it-outsourcing/...

Re:Trump’s Next Move on Immigration to Hit Closer to Home fo... by mavelikara on Monday January 30, 2017 @02:30PM (#13524232)
> But they also abuse the visa process for lower wages in lower positions.

No, in lower-level positions also they are paid the same as their colleagues who are citizens. During the hiring process, the immigration status is not get considered as a positive or negative qualifier.

> Lots of other companies without hype just want lower wage workers.

I agree.

> I figure these are the majority.

This is possible, but I am not sure. It is true that many companies who get the most visas don't pay well. But the well-paying firms do not apply for lots of visas, and there are lots of them, leading to a long thin-tailed distribution. Also, many of these H-1B immigrants, once they get their green cards, go on to found successful startups increasing the size of the economic pie for everyone. One such person, Jyoti Bansal, sold his startup for $3.7B last week.

Re:Trump’s Next Move on Immigration to Hit Closer to Home fo... by 0xfeba on Monday January 30, 2017 @05:40PM (#13525773)
> No, in lower-level positions also they are paid the same as their colleagues who are citizens. During the hiring process, the immigration status is not get considered as a positive or negative qualifier.

Not if they are hired through a contracting company:

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=13525766

Re:Trump’s Next Move on Immigration to Hit Closer to Home fo... by MarkMc on Monday January 30, 2017 @06:49AM (#13520360)
> Many of those hired on H1B are doing roles for which they simply can't get local talent

So it's not just a way to get regular software developers at a cheap price? OK let's raise the minimum salary requirement for H1B visas to $120k.

Re:Trump’s Next Move on Immigration to Hit Closer to Home fo... by angry_octet on Monday January 30, 2017 @08:51AM (#13521107)
In France its quite straight forward to get a skilled worker visa -- just earn more than 3100 Euros per month (~1.5 * average earnings in France). Shouldn't be a problem for tech workers.

(They are also introducing a 'tech startup visa' in the near future.)

Re:Trump’s Next Move on Immigration to Hit Closer to Home fo... by flukus on Monday January 30, 2017 @09:11PM (#13526912)
1.5 * average earnings would still be below market for software developers.
Re:Trump’s Next Move on Immigration to Hit Closer to Home fo... by angry_octet on Tuesday January 31, 2017 @05:43AM (#13529413)
True. There has been a significant increase in outsourcing in France in the last 5 years, but I don't know that it involves labour from lower wage countries. Obviously few Indians speak French, but there are many call centres outsourced to Senegal and other former French colonies. I think it is only a matter of time before ICT jobs migrate as well.
Re:Trump’s Next Move on Immigration to Hit Closer to Home fo... by vthallam on Monday January 30, 2017 @10:45AM (#13522063)
Sure. A higher pay base sounds good, but how do you set the price to the location? 120K in SFO != 120K in Dallas(No state tax).
Re:Trump’s Next Move on Immigration to Hit Closer to Home fo... by thomasahle on Monday January 30, 2017 @07:01AM (#13520435)
Or maybe something around the average software engineer pay scale of $80,000? What about student interns?
Re:Trump’s Next Move on Immigration to Hit Closer to Home fo... by kilotaras on Monday January 30, 2017 @07:05AM (#13520454)
Student interns are not on H1B. It's J1 I believe.
Re:Trump’s Next Move on Immigration to Hit Closer to Home fo... by Eyas on Monday January 30, 2017 @07:39AM (#13520667)
Exchange interns are J1, student interns in the US use their current F1 Visa with a CPT (Curricular Practical Training) permit for summer internship, or sometimes an OPT (Optional Practical Training) permit.
Re:Trump’s Next Move on Immigration to Hit Closer to Home fo... by dingdongding on Monday January 30, 2017 @01:04PM (#13523490)
Student interns stay on whatever student visa they were on.
Re:Trump’s Next Move on Immigration to Hit Closer to Home fo... by DougBTX on Monday January 30, 2017 @06:57AM (#13520406)
> simply can't get enough local talent

These things always need to be suffixed with "at price point x".

Re:Trump’s Next Move on Immigration to Hit Closer to Home fo... by threeseed on Monday January 30, 2017 @07:06AM (#13520468)
Sure. It's a nuanced discussion. It's not just about price. It's also about the various experience within the local talent pool. I still remember at Apple looking for WebObjects developers, finding none locally but dozens at Infosys. What exactly are companies supposed to do ?

And companies like Infosys are often playing in specific, less sexy spaces i.e. enterprise J2EE, DBAs, System Administration etc whilst newer generation of developers prefer Go, Rust, Javascript etc.

Re:Trump’s Next Move on Immigration to Hit Closer to Home fo... by cousin_it on Monday January 30, 2017 @08:36AM (#13520984)
> I still remember at Apple looking for WebObjects developers, finding none locally but dozens at Infosys. What exactly are companies supposed to do?

Hire and teach, thus benefitting everyone.

Re:Trump’s Next Move on Immigration to Hit Closer to Home fo... by imron on Monday January 30, 2017 @10:07AM (#13521716)
> What exactly are companies supposed to do ?

Train their staff?

How long really would it take a competent Java developer to get up to speed with WebObjects?

Re:Trump’s Next Move on Immigration to Hit Closer to Home fo... by jack9 on Monday January 30, 2017 @11:27PM (#13527612)
> Sure. It's a nuanced discussion.

Nope.

> It's not just about price. It's also about the various experience within the local talent pool.

Same thing. H1B just made them that way, with both metrics being in favor of the employer (except the vast majority of times the skillset is misrepresented).

The astroturfing by someone who has no experience with how H1B is used, is telling.

Re:Trump’s Next Move on Immigration to Hit Closer to Home fo... by Shivetya on Monday January 30, 2017 @06:49AM (#13520359)
I keep hearing this but personally have seen people passed over for H1B candidates when both were equally qualified. Even seen a few senior developer positions filled this way and in every case it was money.

It feels good to tell ourselves we didn't hire locally because there wasn't enough talent when in many cases its just far easier to accept a recruiters suggestions where multiple recruiters simply undercut each other.

Re:Trump’s Next Move on Immigration to Hit Closer to Home fo... by ConfuciusSay02 on Monday January 30, 2017 @12:50PM (#13523353)
>Many of those hired on H1B are doing roles for which they simply can't get enough local talent

This is the scam they want you to believe, but it's being abused to simply keep wages low.

It's very easy to post fake job ads to make it seem like "you can't find someone" for the job, and there are plenty of lawyers who will help you get around those loopholes: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TCbFEgFajGU

Re:Trump’s Next Move on Immigration to Hit Closer to Home fo... by mrtksn on Monday January 30, 2017 @05:57AM (#13520069)
I have been reading for years how broken the current system is, so I would bet that there is a market for that.

The issue is the motivation behind the change. What if the changes are designed to please an electorate that is not directly impacted but they just really really want to see some heads rolling?

There are some serious credibility issues with the current US govt. Left or right, populists pretend to swing a magic wand and magically fixing problems. Ban immigrants, implement 90% tax for the rich and so on, until these vote generating policies break apart.

Re:Trump’s Next Move on Immigration to Hit Closer to Home fo... by threeseed on Monday January 30, 2017 @06:50AM (#13520364)
Also don't forget that Trump is emotionally immature.

He has a long track record of viciously attacking those whom attack him. Could well be payback for many of the SV companies that criticised him both publicly and privately e.g. Lisa Jackson from Apple meeting with Kushner/Ivanka this week.

Re:Trump’s Next Move on Immigration to Hit Closer to Home fo... by gregshap on Monday January 30, 2017 @10:55AM (#13522164)
It's definitely a program that could use reform. However from what little the article mentions of the 'draft' executive order, I don't see many specific policy changes to the status quo.

If this follows the pattern of 'make a big news splash' and 'leave huge ambiguity regarding actual policy' then it is really not helpful for any kind of business decision.

The rational response right now might be to avoid new H1B hiring completely, lest you spend months on an application that later gets nullified by shifting policy. That's not a win for SV companies that favor H1B hiring.

If they make clear changes that do help create more visas for high skilled workers, I agree that's a win for silicon valley, and a win for US labor. Overall the US does well when other countries send their top brains here.

Re:Trump’s Next Move on Immigration to Hit Closer to Home fo... by gtufano on Monday January 30, 2017 @05:43AM (#13519998)
The changes on L-1, E-2 and B1 visas could seriously affect SV talent recruiting. It is a very significant change, in any case.

edit: I'm mistaken, it seems... sorry.

Re:Trump’s Next Move on Immigration to Hit Closer to Home fo... by smikhanov on Monday January 30, 2017 @06:00AM (#13520081)
No, they won't. B-1 visa holders are not allowed to work, E-2 holders are rare among the SV workforce and don't represent any slice of the job market, L-1 visas are limited to SV companies with foreign presence, of which there are not so many compared to the total amount of startups in SV.

If anything, any potential change to O-1 visas (don't know whether any are planned) will have larger impact than what you're describing.