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Re:Paris Eyes Luring 20K Bankers from London Amid Brexit Rup... by adventured on Wednesday January 04, 2017 @02:23AM (#13316348)
Zero chance Paris pulls a large percentage of these bankers. They do have a lot of bad labor laws and quite high taxes, both of which have contributed to France having a very stagnant economy (both in terms of innovation and growth) for decades. In real terms their economy hasn't expanded in nearly 25 years. The centers of power in Europe are still by far in Germany and the UK. French voters have noticed the problem, which is why their Socialist leader recently had a 4% approval rating and the far-right is making big gains. The same disastrous policies that have left them with a broken economy, will keep the London bankers away. There are half a dozen other major cities that will get a look before Paris.

Not to mention, France is increasingly an outlier in Europe with a punishing corporate income tax rate (33%). Most of their European competitors have been slashing that rate the past decade plus: Netherlands 25%, Spain 25%, Austria 25%, Sweden 22%, Denmark 22%, Portugal 21%, Finland 20%, UK 20%, Iceland 20%, Czech 19%, Poland 19%, Switzerland 17.9%, Ireland 12.5%. The average across Europe is about 20%. Why would an international bank want to be there, except for local French business purposes?

Re:Paris Eyes Luring 20K Bankers from London Amid Brexit Rup... by vidarh on Wednesday January 04, 2017 @02:58AM (#13316517)
France has a large percentage of EU bankers already.

Only Frankfurt and London are at a similar level as Paris in the EU for banking today, and if London ceases to be a viable alternative (due to passporting etc. post brexit), then Paris will end up taking a lot of that business for the simple reason labour laws and taxes are not the only things the banks need to care about, but also where their employees are willing to live and work.

My ex works in HR at executive level at a major investment bank. French labour laws etc. never comes up when they consider where to staff up/down (and they do continuously). As for corporate taxes, no investment bank has a problem finding schemes to shift profits around.

> They do have a lot of bad labor laws and quite high taxes, both of which have contributed to France having a very stagnant economy (both in terms of innovation and growth) for decades.

Their GDP per capita is largely moving in lockstep with the UK and Germany, despite far fewer hours worked per year for the average French worker. As it turns out there's very little evidence that these "bad labour laws and quit high taxes" have much impact on growth.

> Not to mention, France is increasingly an outlier in Europe with a punishing corporate income tax rate (33%).

In line with Germany.

> The average across Europe is about 20%. Why would an international bank want to be there, except for local French business purposes?

They are already there for purposes other than "local French business purposes". Many international banks have similar numbers of staff in Paris as in London.

Re:Paris Eyes Luring 20K Bankers from London Amid Brexit Rup... by JPLeRouzic on Wednesday January 04, 2017 @05:08AM (#13316993)
>> Not to mention, France is increasingly an outlier in Europe with a punishing corporate income tax rate (33%).

> In line with Germany.

The problem in France is not corporate income tax, as some huge companies do not pay that tax with creative but perfectly legal accounting. The problems are with the "taxe professionelle" which is not based on revenues and the taxes on labour. If some employee receives 2000 euros, usually the company has to provision 3000 to 4000 euros. Most of those labor taxes go to the social security organism which has a budget as large as the state budget. (Edited for grammar and clarity)

Re:Paris Eyes Luring 20K Bankers from London Amid Brexit Rup... by vidarh on Thursday January 05, 2017 @02:22PM (#13330456)
> If some employee receives 2000 euros, usually the company has to provision 3000 to 4000 euros. Most of those labor taxes go to the social security organism which has a budget as large as the state budget. (Edited for grammar and clarity)

This is similar in the UK with employers national insurance contributions.

Total tax wedge in France is higher than the UK and higher than the OECD average, but still in line with Germany according to the OECD [1], just as I stated. Note that the OECD tax wedge data covers total cost paid by both employees and employers.

[1] https://data.oecd.org/tax/tax-wedge.htm#indicator-chart

Re:Paris Eyes Luring 20K Bankers from London Amid Brexit Rup... by Totoradio on Wednesday January 04, 2017 @06:48AM (#13317457)
> The problems are with the "taxe professionelle" which is not based on revenues and the taxes on labour.

The "Taxe professionnelle" was abandoned in 2010/2011.

Re:Paris Eyes Luring 20K Bankers from London Amid Brexit Rup... by JPLeRouzic on Wednesday January 04, 2017 @08:44AM (#13318147)
True, it was abandoned, and replaced by "Contribution économique territoriale" which is more or less the same thing.

https://fr.wikipedia.org/wiki/Contribution_%C3%A9conomique_t...

Re:Paris Eyes Luring 20K Bankers from London Amid Brexit Rup... by maelito on Wednesday January 04, 2017 @08:10AM (#13317926)
You're talking about "Cotisations sociales", and maybe about "Taxe sur les salaires" which I think concerns banks.
Re:Paris Eyes Luring 20K Bankers from London Amid Brexit Rup... by JPLeRouzic on Wednesday January 04, 2017 @08:48AM (#13318174)
Yes about "Cotisations sociales", and thanks for adding "Taxe sur les salaires", I did not know this one which seems to apply to specific businesses.
Re:Paris Eyes Luring 20K Bankers from London Amid Brexit Rup... by daneyh on Wednesday January 04, 2017 @06:46AM (#13317444)
> Many international banks have similar numbers of staff in Paris as in London.

Wrong. With the exception of the French banks Natixis, BNP Parbias and Societe Generale...Investment banks have far greater staff in London vs Paris.

Re:Paris Eyes Luring 20K Bankers from London Amid Brexit Rup... by gaius on Wednesday January 04, 2017 @03:20AM (#13316588)
France has a large percentage of EU bankers already.

Hilarious. Did you know that London is the 7th largest French city? Those people are not here for the weather. And Frexit is not off the cards either.

Re:Paris Eyes Luring 20K Bankers from London Amid Brexit Rup... by achamayou on Wednesday January 04, 2017 @03:32AM (#13316635)
This has been debunked before: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/magazine-26823489

The French consulate publishes inflated estimates without evidence for obvious self-serving reasons, but verifiable data from the ONS is singnificantly lower than that.

Re:Paris Eyes Luring 20K Bankers from London Amid Brexit Rup... by user5994461 on Wednesday January 04, 2017 @03:33PM (#13321794)
The article is confirming his point. It's about this order of magnitude.
Re:Paris Eyes Luring 20K Bankers from London Amid Brexit Rup... by achamayou on Wednesday January 04, 2017 @05:01PM (#13322492)
It really doesn't at all, please take the time to read it. UK stats (census and ONS numbers) put the number of French nationals between 66000 and 86000, which would make it the 44th biggest French city at best (taking the largest figure).

Le Monde's estimate, also given in the article and based on a comparable INSEE data would make it 23rd.

Repeating ad nauseam the unsubstantiated claim that it's the 7th largest French city when all evidence suggests it doesn't even make the top 20 is not a worthwhile contribution to this discussion.

Re:Paris Eyes Luring 20K Bankers from London Amid Brexit Rup... by vidarh on Wednesday January 04, 2017 @03:29AM (#13316620)
Factual.

The bank my ex works at has as many traders in Paris as in London, for example, and that's fairly common.

I don't doubt there are many French traders in London - these banks shifts staff and roles around as if they're commodities. But that doesn't change the fact that Paris has a large proportion of the EU financial industry. Not as large as London, but substantial enough for Paris to be a major financial centre.

Re:Paris Eyes Luring 20K Bankers from London Amid Brexit Rup... by user5994461 on Wednesday January 04, 2017 @03:37PM (#13321819)
How much is it in percentage?

If London finance is 5 times Paris. It's enough to make it a major financial center yet it's laughable at the same time.

Re:Paris Eyes Luring 20K Bankers from London Amid Brexit Rup... by vidarh on Thursday January 05, 2017 @02:35PM (#13330567)
The competition isn't between London and Paris. It is about which EU cities will take the most business from London due to potential limits on market access.

It's not a question if banks will move some portion of staff out of London, but how many and where they go.

London does have more than Paris, but Paris and Frankfurt are the only two other EU cities that consistently get listed amongst the top global financial centres.

What exactly that means in hard cash depends on what you want to count and how, and so the rankings vary greatly depending on who you ask.

Re:Paris Eyes Luring 20K Bankers from London Amid Brexit Rup... by user5994461 on Friday January 06, 2017 @02:11PM (#13339228)
Well, if the "how many" is < 1%, I'd consider that equivalent to not moving.

Still no sign of movement.

Re:Paris Eyes Luring 20K Bankers from London Amid Brexit Rup... by mamadrood on Wednesday January 04, 2017 @03:34AM (#13316640)
This is simply not true. If you look at the report of the Cour des Comptes regarding the tax rates of the financial sector [1] you will see that France take less taxes on bank than pretty much all OECD countries, the only exceptions being Portugal, Spain, Finland and Austria. There are a lot of methods for banks or big company to lower taxes in France and it works well with both bank and France's interests.

[1] http://www.ccomptes.fr/Publications/Publications/Les-preleve... (in French)

Re:Paris Eyes Luring 20K Bankers from London Amid Brexit Rup... by camus2 on Wednesday January 04, 2017 @02:41AM (#13316440)
This. Nitpick : it is not a left vs right problem, Sarkozy did next to nothing to make France a better country for entrepreneurship and Fillion who is said to be the next french president was prime minister at that time. France isn't a country for young innovative businesses, it's a country where basically a dozen of big corporations control the entire economy and the rest are just sub-contractors. Neither the left nor the right want to change that. French people will continue voting for high unemployment and stagnation.
Re:Paris Eyes Luring 20K Bankers from London Amid Brexit Rup... by eli_gottlieb on Wednesday January 04, 2017 @12:34PM (#13320226)
From the sound of things, what France really needs is to break up its largest companies and implement much stronger competition laws.
Re:Paris Eyes Luring 20K Bankers from London Amid Brexit Rup... by acchow on Wednesday January 04, 2017 @02:57AM (#13316513)
> They do have a lot of bad labor laws and quite high taxes, both of which have contributed to France having a very stagnant economy

Can you elaborate on the bad labor laws?

Re:Paris Eyes Luring 20K Bankers from London Amid Brexit Rup... by throwaway1892 on Wednesday January 04, 2017 @04:11AM (#13316790)
I think he meant the labor laws are protecting more the employee than the employer, notably on the firing part. So, as far as some theories go, if it is hard to fire employees, employers will be more reluctant to hire, reducing worker mobility.

But I only have a small experience of the consequence of our current labor laws (which are very hard to change, the current gov tried last year and got massive protests for their trouble).

Edit: Also the employment taxes (the one paid by employers) are very high in France (half of the salary +/-).