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A comment on How (not) to forecast an election: Analysis via a hierarchical Bayesian model. Parent comment

Re:How (not) to forecast an election: Analysis via a hierarc... by Clubber on Sunday November 27, 2016 @12:05PM (#13050131)
Fear sells better than anything. You would think the liberal papers would get more clicks talking about how Trump was winning. Also, if Hillary voters think the election is in the bag, more would stay home versus if they thought it was close.

Perhaps polling is just more or less accurate because fewer people take part in polls.

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Re:How (not) to forecast an election: Analysis via a hierarc... by icebraining on Sunday November 27, 2016 @01:53PM (#13050673)
Perhaps polling is just more or less accurate because fewer people take part in polls.

Or the opposite - a voting abstentionist might be more likely to take a position when polled.

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