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Re:Robots and industrialization in developing countries [pdf] by TheSpiceIsLife on Friday November 18, 2016 @11:49PM (#12992134)
Reminds me of this quote, or some version of it, attributed to various people by various source...

Democracy cannot exist as a permanent form of government. It can only exist until the majority discovers it can vote itself largess out of the public treasury. After that, the majority always votes for the candidate promising the most benefits with the result the democracy collapses because of the loose fiscal policy ensuing, always to be followed by a dictatorship, then a monarchy.

Re:Robots and industrialization in developing countries [pdf] by kilroy123 on Saturday November 19, 2016 @12:40AM (#12992263)
You're describing: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anacyclosis

A very old idea from the ancient greeks. I completely agree with this theory. Sadly, I'm often treated like a conspiracy theorist when I tell people about it.

The idea is simple, there are seven stages of governance for people.

1. Monarchy, 2. Kingship, 3. Tyranny, 4. Aristocracy, 5. Oligarchy, 6. Democracy, and 7. Ochlocracy

The cycle just endlessly repeats itself through time.

Re:Robots and industrialization in developing countries [pdf] by ethbro on Saturday November 19, 2016 @12:12AM (#12992196)
Curious about the largess comment in light of US politics. There seems to be a broadly supported movement against government payouts.
Re:Robots and industrialization in developing countries [pdf] by Qworg on Saturday November 19, 2016 @02:25AM (#12992459)
The barely middle class was turned against the poor. The former is the movement against payouts, even though they're one bad incident away from being part of the latter group.
Re:Robots and industrialization in developing countries [pdf] by ethbro on Saturday November 19, 2016 @02:58AM (#12992523)
If you look at the red/blue voting patterns, I don't think you can justify calling most of rural America "barely middle class." Census would put a lot of those people in the lower class bracket.
Re:Robots and industrialization in developing countries [pdf] by Qworg on Saturday November 19, 2016 @01:29PM (#12994798)
Reasonable. Maybe a perception that they're lower, not middle class? Much of the rhetoric from Trump voters in this election revolves around how poor they feel/hard they work.
Re:Robots and industrialization in developing countries [pdf] by ethbro on Sunday November 20, 2016 @05:49AM (#12998226)
I think it's definitely more nuanced in the US than "poor vote for welfare, rich vote against." Unfortunately, I'm not sure what a more fitting summary would be.

I think you're absolutely right that Trump supporters' motivation seems to be "I work my ass off and don't have anything to show for it" (born out of wage stagnation in real terms). But the question would still be "Then why didn't they simply support a candidate that promised welfare increases?"

Part of the answer is that Clinton didn't lean on redistribution as her narrative to the degree Sanders did, probably to prevent Republican attacks. The optimist in me also likes to think that there is something in the American zeitgeist about work earning rewards. Which I think is confounded by two modern trends: free trade / automomation depressing or eliminating low and middle wage jobs, and a growing realization of wealth disparity and work effort disparity (e.g. myself making many multiples more than someone breaking their back building infrastructure).

End result being someone comparing their work effort to what he or she sees on TV, then comparing their rewards to what he or she sees on TV. And feeling depressed and angry as a result.

Re:Robots and industrialization in developing countries [pdf] by Bombthecat on Saturday November 19, 2016 @03:11AM (#12992554)
Sounds like Germany right now.

Next year we will spent around 25% on refugees. I wonder when the point of an emergency budget arrives.

Re:Robots and industrialization in developing countries [pdf] by chopin on Saturday November 19, 2016 @05:49AM (#12992863)
25% of what? Do you have a source?
Re:Robots and industrialization in developing countries [pdf] by Bombthecat on Saturday November 19, 2016 @07:07AM (#12993117)
http://www.bundesfinanzministerium.de/Content/EN/Standardart...

http://www.spiegel.de/international/germany/budget-battle-be...

http://www.reuters.com/article/us-europe-migrants-germany-co...

http://www.zeit.de/wirtschaft/2016-02/fluechtlinge-haushalt-...

interestingly, German sources like Zeit estimates / writes about 50 billion for 2017, while all English sources low ball here. (or don´t cite the source) Zeit is a pretty well known source.

As we both know, projects and estimations are are hard! Very hard! So I guess it will be around 60 billion :)

Tax revenue plans around 230 to 300 billion. Hence the 25% and my guess that they will announce soon or later an emergency budget to cut costs (we have a law, basically saying: we must go to our black 0, at all costs) Cutting costs hits the usual targets (I guess):

https://www.iwkoeln.de/en/iw-news/beitrag/german-budget-why-...

http://www.dw.com/en/sch%C3%A4uble-clings-to-black-zero-feti...

Social services Infrastructure School and education

etc.

Interesting times are ahead :)

Re:Robots and industrialization in developing countries [pdf] by ethbro on Sunday November 20, 2016 @05:37AM (#12998201)
I thought one of the reasons Germany was accepting refugees more so than other countries was because they had a demographic / labor problem that refugees would help fix?
Re:Robots and industrialization in developing countries [pdf] by Bombthecat on Sunday November 20, 2016 @06:30AM (#12998313)
No labor problem. What is missing are highly educated or experienced IT people.

What a problem is that germans arw too expensive. Back when germany invited the turkish people they at least admitted they wanted cheap labor.

Now they are just lying. Or completely ignoring that in ten or twenty years those people will be useless and sit at home because a ton of those jobs will be automated.

Re:Robots and industrialization in developing countries [pdf] by ethbro on Sunday November 20, 2016 @09:10AM (#12998904)
When you've got a negative population trend, it's hard to argue against migration under any circumstances. Maybe capital and automation take the place of younger workers, but that's a pretty serious bet to gamble social welfare program solvency on.

http://www.latimes.com/world/europe/la-fg-germany-refugees-d...

https://www.theguardian.com/news/datablog/2016/jan/06/refuge...