Yes, Twitter has challenges in monetizing, and yes, Twitter is weird, and yes, Twitter hasn't made a profit yet. But fundamentally, Twitter is still the preferred platform for following media, celebrities, politicians, internet-famous-people, and quick ad-hoc public communication with those people. And just like how Facebook's success is that all your friends are there, Twitter's success is that every public figure you're interested in is there, even the geeky small nuts-and-bolts types like writers and programmers and artists.
It has become the public plaza of the Internet.
If I want to post pictures of my kids, I'll do it on Facebook. If I want to pick a fight with my city councillor about a decision he made or get in touch with a script-writer of my favourite movie, I'll do it on Twitter.
But the greater indicator of potential for profit here is that Twitter has existed for 10 years and has never turned a profit.
Given this, I think that revenue, users, scale, investor love, patents, staff, infrastructure, etc. have all become disconnected from Twitter's actual profit potential. They haven't made a profit, they aren't going to make a profit. I think that the only logical choice is to dismiss the idea that Twitter has value.
But, as I noted, perceived value can be as profitable as real value for an investor. Just don't be naive and mistake the perceived value for real value--naivety will lose you money.
106.31M
316.93M
664.89M
1.4B
2.22B
That's their revenue over the past 5 years. Their R&D cost last year was over 800M.
I'm not saying they are Google, I'm not saying they are LinkedIn, but there is definitely big money at play here at a scale investors love (hundreds of millions of users, over 300M at last check) so it might be premature to completely dismiss them.