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Re:The Strange Politics of Peter Thiel, Trump’s Most Unlikel... by exstudent2 on Thursday July 21, 2016 @11:56AM (#12137686)
While I don't agree with everything Thiel believes, it's really, really refreshing to get a different take from the upper echelons of the tech industry. If you follow a lot of VCs and CEOs on Twitter you'll find that they have a nearly homogenous political groupthink.

This industry needs more diversity of thought and Thiel stands alone in his strength to go against the grain and stand by his philosophy. Love his ideas or hate them, that's an admirable trait.

Re:The Strange Politics of Peter Thiel, Trump’s Most Unlikel... by kenko on Thursday July 21, 2016 @12:28PM (#12137944)
There's nothing admirable about "going against the grain" in itself. Probably most people in the upper echelons of tech wealth don't think it's a great idea to deport Muslims, and don't support Trump. I see no reason to admire someone for having a different opinion on that matter just because it's different.

There are lots of ways to "go against the grain" in the way you point out. You could be an unthinking dogmatist. Nothing would change the way you feel, not even the censure of your peers. (Is Thiel being censured? Sure, by Pinboard on twitter. By his peers? Not that I can see. His richy-rich pals all still love him, AFAICT.) Is there something admirable about having your head in the ground? Not really---and I don't think that, on the broader social level, we tend to applaud people who still think gay sex is shameful and should be illegal, even though, you know, they really go against the grain.

You could be, say, a modern Cato. But Cato is admirable not just because he fell on his sword but because he fell on his sword out of devotion to an admirable ideal.

I see no reason, incidentally, to believe your claim that "Thiel stands alone in his strength to go against the grain". If other people aren't going against the grain, it might be that they think the grain is largely going in the right direction already, and not that they lack the strength to go against it. And, on the other hand, you have to pay a little attention to threads about diversity of race or gender to find a lot of people with the strength to go against the grain. Guess what: the grain they go against, Thiel goes with.

Re:The Strange Politics of Peter Thiel, Trump’s Most Unlikel... by pm90 on Thursday July 21, 2016 @12:40PM (#12138052)
Beautifully explained. There certainly is a lot of Groupthink in Silicon Valley, but that doesn't extend to everything.

In Thiel's case, it unfortunately seems like he's turned into one of those rich people who is so far away from how most people live that he does not understand the consequences of some of his ideas. A common problem with the elite: although self-made elites usually have their past to reflect on and make better informed decisions (unlike e.g. the Koch brothers)

Re:The Strange Politics of Peter Thiel, Trump’s Most Unlikel... by falsestprophet on Thursday July 21, 2016 @12:57PM (#12138204)
Why do you think he doesn't understand the consequences of his ideas?
Re:The Strange Politics of Peter Thiel, Trump’s Most Unlikel... by pm90 on Thursday July 21, 2016 @01:06PM (#12138293)
Because a pursuit to the extreme of any ideology is a symptom of mind obsessed with perfection and fanatic belief. In the case of Thiel, its his libertarian beliefs.

Now, I don't want to hijack this thread into what is wrong with extreme libertarian thinking (or extreme adherence to any philosophy). You're question was why I thought he doesn't understand the consequences of his ideas: this is why I think that.

Re:The Strange Politics of Peter Thiel, Trump’s Most Unlikel... by nolepointer on Thursday July 21, 2016 @12:49PM (#12138135)
Wanting to halt immigration from countries with radical Islamic ties != deporting Muslims
Re:The Strange Politics of Peter Thiel, Trump’s Most Unlikel... by gallonofmilk on Thursday July 21, 2016 @05:58PM (#12140400)
ssh logic not welcome here... move along
Re:The Strange Politics of Peter Thiel, Trump’s Most Unlikel... by diyorgasms on Thursday July 21, 2016 @09:49PM (#12141244)
I would assume ssh and its underlying logic are welcome here. What I assume is unwelcome is advocating religious tests in a secular state.
Re:The Strange Politics of Peter Thiel, Trump’s Most Unlikel... by gallonofmilk on Friday July 22, 2016 @07:23PM (#12147492)
what if instead of saying "Muslims coming from location X", it were "people coming from location X"?

the issue is the same, we don't know how to properly vet these people, nor do we know if they want to assimilate (big problem if they don't)... personally I think given the world we live in, that is logical. I also don't think it should be permanent and we should encourage those that want to join America and all it has to offer so long as we can do our best to ensure their sincerity...

Re:The Strange Politics of Peter Thiel, Trump’s Most Unlikel... by SixSigma on Thursday July 21, 2016 @12:35PM (#12138000)
> The eccentric investor is not like anyone else in tech. By Kara Swisher @karaswisher

> ... And many of those who like him personally and call him a "dear friend" are even perplexed, going as far as not talking to him of late because of his Trump support. "I’ve tried," sighed one such friend, who described a number of colleagues trying to pull him off the Trump train, including PayPal Mafia family member Reid Hoffman.

http://www.recode.net/2016/7/21/12241648/peter-thiel-trump-s...

Re:The Strange Politics of Peter Thiel, Trump’s Most Unlikel... by exstudent2 on Thursday July 21, 2016 @12:33PM (#12137990)
> There's nothing admirable about "going against the grain" in itself.

There is if you think the grain is a corrupt and unfair system that needs dismantling. The enemy of my enemy is my friend thing.

I would consider myself to have overlapping social thoughts with most liberals but it's really terrifying to me to have an absolute aggregation of media and executive power (in our industry) along one line of thinking (even if I agree with most of it!). Power needs to be distributed, not consolidated.

Re:The Strange Politics of Peter Thiel, Trump’s Most Unlikel... by kenko on Thursday July 21, 2016 @12:42PM (#12138074)
> There is if you think the grain is a corrupt and unfair system that needs dismantling. The enemy of my enemy is my friend thing.

No, there still isn't, because you seem to have missed the "in itself" part. Even in the case you identify, what is admirable is going against a corrupt grain (and presumably, we'd want to actually make it "going against a corrupt grain in a way likely to improve matters"; corruption is multiple and going against corruption in one respect isn't necessarily to go in a less-corrupt-overall direction), not "going against the grain" in itself.

Re:The Strange Politics of Peter Thiel, Trump’s Most Unlikel... by exstudent2 on Thursday July 21, 2016 @12:45PM (#12138104)
I mention it in another comment but the consolidation of power is a problem. It doesn't matter if I agree with those consolidating or not. I don't think Trump has a lot of support from the upper classes in the US. If he were to be elected he would be a weaker form of power than say Clinton being elected. That is a desirable outcome even if his policies are bad since he wouldn't be effective in rolling them out whereas Clinton would be more effective rolling out her possibly slightly less objectionable policies. There would be a greater loss to society in the latter situation.
Re:The Strange Politics of Peter Thiel, Trump’s Most Unlikel... by metheus on Thursday July 21, 2016 @05:30PM (#12140233)
Under what rubric is the more effective rollout of less objectionable policies a greater loss to society than the less effective rollout of more objectionable policies?

This dogma holds consolidation of power to be bad /in and of itself/, rather than because of a consequence, such as "consolidated power leads to suffering." If that's your opinion, fine, but it's no different than any other religion.

Re:The Strange Politics of Peter Thiel, Trump’s Most Unlikel... by exstudent2 on Thursday July 21, 2016 @06:39PM (#12140543)
> Under what rubric is the more effective rollout of less objectionable policies a greater loss to society than the less effective rollout of more objectionable policies?

A small slice of a giant pie is bigger than a large slice of a tiny pie?

Re:The Strange Politics of Peter Thiel, Trump’s Most Unlikel... by metheus on Friday July 22, 2016 @01:08PM (#12144906)
Ok, I understand. You literally mean that both of them will only introduce objectionable policies, not that "less objectionable" might mean, in some cases, "good."

I still don't see the outcome you predict.

TLDR; power consolidation is a risk factor that leads to actual bad policy, not something with actual, palpable negative value in and of itself. E.g. the power of the federal government to end slavery is a win in my book.

* * * *

Let's map "objectionability" onto a number line.

A neutral policy is zero. An objectionable one is on the negative side, a non-objectionable one is on the positive side. The magnitude of the objectionability or virtue yields the magnitude of the number.

I'll go with your presumption that both Clinton and Trump's policies are only found on the negative side of that line. And we'll deal with their policies in aggregate. We'll also assume that current policy is perfectly neutral, at zero:

<---------T-------------C-----0

T = Trump APV (avg policy value)

C = Clinton APV

0 = CPV (current policy value)

Let's map effectiveness to a float between 0 and 1. Simple. If Trump's policies are twice as bad as Clinton's, he has to be half as effective as she for them to equal out. Here's a little table:

APV, Effect, Total value, Who, Worse

-20, .05, -1, Trump, O

-2, .95, -1.9, Clinton, X

-20, .1, -2, Trump, X

-2, .9, -1.8, Clinton, O

-10, .05, -0.5, Trump, O

-2, .95, -1.9, Clinton, X

-10, .2, -2, Trump, X

-2, .8, -1.6, Clinton, O

The problem with that simplification is the assumption that CPV is at neutral, zero. And mapping effectiveness to a scalar factor of APV is also incorrect -- instead, it has to be understood as a normalization factor, attempting to return CPV to APV. The greater the effectiveness, the more quickly CPV achieves APV.

Should any factor bring CPV further negative than Clinton's APV, her effectiveness would become a force that lifts CPV. Meanwhile, Trump's is always attempting to pull CPV further negative towards his abysmal APV.

Re:The Strange Politics of Peter Thiel, Trump’s Most Unlikel... by ceejayoz on Thursday July 21, 2016 @12:52PM (#12138160)
> There is if you think the grain is a corrupt and unfair system that needs dismantling. The enemy of my enemy is my friend thing.

"The system sucks, so let's put ISIS in charge" is an example of "going against the grain" and a truly shitty idea. Some of Thiel's ideas are in this "against the grain and shitty" category.

Re:The Strange Politics of Peter Thiel, Trump’s Most Unlikel... by kenko on Thursday July 21, 2016 @12:30PM (#12137954)
incidentally this is a good paper: https://www.princeton.edu/~tkelly/ftawil.pdf
Re:The Strange Politics of Peter Thiel, Trump’s Most Unlikel... by vixen99 on Thursday July 21, 2016 @12:41PM (#12138063)
Link for Trump statement saying he wants to deport Muslims?
Re:The Strange Politics of Peter Thiel, Trump’s Most Unlikel... by vixen99 on Thursday July 21, 2016 @04:50PM (#12139953)
None forthcoming!!
Re:The Strange Politics of Peter Thiel, Trump’s Most Unlikel... by maxxxxx on Thursday July 21, 2016 @12:22PM (#12137877)
I don't understand how somebody who claims to be fact-driven and rational like Thiel can end up supporting Trump. If anything, he should be disgusted with the whole system and try to change it.
Re:The Strange Politics of Peter Thiel, Trump’s Most Unlikel... by refurb on Thursday July 21, 2016 @12:25PM (#12137902)
This is only my opinion, and could very well be off-base, but politics is all about compromise. You'll never find the perfect candidate to represent your beliefs.

I'm guessing Thiel is thinking Trump is the best candidate to support the kind of changes he's looking for. Of course, you're free to disagree with that sentiment.

Re:The Strange Politics of Peter Thiel, Trump’s Most Unlikel... by colmvp on Thursday July 21, 2016 @01:16PM (#12138384)
Exactly. As a counterpoint, I know many people who are against Hillary's voting records, flip-floppy history, and aggressive foreign policy doctrine, yet are going to vote for her because well... they'd rather have her than Trump.
Re:The Strange Politics of Peter Thiel, Trump’s Most Unlikel... by maxxxxx on Thursday July 21, 2016 @01:15PM (#12138375)
I think Thiel is fine with crony capitalism under the guise of libertarianism. That's where things will probably go with Trump. There is a lot of money to be made.
Re:The Strange Politics of Peter Thiel, Trump’s Most Unlikel... by exstudent2 on Thursday July 21, 2016 @12:28PM (#12137940)
> Thiel can end up supporting Trump

I can't speak for him, but a lot of people see the break up of a homogenous status quo as a goal in and of itself. I don't support Trump because I don't like his policies but that's a hard position for me to take because I _do_ appreciate the utter slap in the face he's giving to traditional politicians who I view as perpetuating an extremely corrupt and damaging system.

Re:The Strange Politics of Peter Thiel, Trump’s Most Unlikel... by pm90 on Thursday July 21, 2016 @12:46PM (#12138108)
If you think the US is extremely corrupt.... you should really take a look at India, Russia etc. Corruption is never elliminated by revolutions btw. It takes time and patience to reform the current system. It is not an overnight fix and thinking that Trump can have an overall positive influence on the US system is a huge error.
Re:The Strange Politics of Peter Thiel, Trump’s Most Unlikel... by 010a on Thursday July 21, 2016 @12:25PM (#12137911)
Isn't that... the entirety of Trump's platform?
Re:The Strange Politics of Peter Thiel, Trump’s Most Unlikel... by davidivadavid on Thursday July 21, 2016 @04:58PM (#12140021)
I can't see what those things have to do with one another.

Thiel can take perfectly rational, fact-driven decisions based on Trump's behavior, regardless of what it is. Indeed, it's completely possible that to achieve his goals, he must leverage Trump's misuse of "facts" and, erm, "creativity" with respect to truth.

Re:The Strange Politics of Peter Thiel, Trump’s Most Unlikel... by DefaultUserHN on Friday July 22, 2016 @11:32AM (#12144143)
Can you clarify on what system you're talking about? And what are the problems with that system? And what should Thiel do to change it? And important, what does Thiel wants? And how does changing the system align with what he wants?

You have to remember that Theil doesn't want the same thing you want. Just because you want something doesn't mean Theil want the same thing, or has the same goal.

Theil knows exactly what he wants, that is why he supports Trump. It seems to be you who does not understand what Theil wants. Because if he wants the same thing you wants, he would have supported what you supported.

Re:The Strange Politics of Peter Thiel, Trump’s Most Unlikel... by toss1941 on Thursday July 21, 2016 @12:25PM (#12137912)
What positions has Trump taken that you feel are against facts and adequate rational?
Re:The Strange Politics of Peter Thiel, Trump’s Most Unlikel... by tstactplsignore on Thursday July 21, 2016 @12:59PM (#12138234)
Have you paid attention at all? Anti-climate change, anti-vaccines, the entire illegal immigration schtick (immigration across the border is net neutral right now), his whole "crime is rising" schtick (it isn't),and the vast majority of [what he says are outright lies](http://www.politifact.com/personalities/donald-trump/). There is no better way to describe the Trump campaign than to say it is inherently against facts- the only coherent strain in his platform is a denial of reality. The mere idea that a billionaire proposing tax cuts for the super wealthy is "fighting the system" is a delusional, inherently contradictory image.
Re:The Strange Politics of Peter Thiel, Trump’s Most Unlikel... by randothrowaway on Thursday July 21, 2016 @01:07PM (#12138304)
>the entire illegal immigration schtick (immigration across >the border is net neutral right now),

Not it is not. Pro illegal immigration advocates try to mislead by saying immigration from Mexican citizens is down to mean illegal immigration isn't happening.

It is now other groups but still coming VIA Mexico.

Re:The Strange Politics of Peter Thiel, Trump’s Most Unlikel... by tstactplsignore on Thursday July 21, 2016 @02:19PM (#12138851)
No, that's just not true. The best estimates of all illegal immigration are that it is close to net zero. (http://www.politifact.com/florida/statements/2012/aug/28/jeb...).
Re:The Strange Politics of Peter Thiel, Trump’s Most Unlikel... by DefaultUserHN on Friday July 22, 2016 @11:36AM (#12144169)
>...a billionaire proposing tax cuts for the super wealthy is "fighting the system" is a delusional....

You act as if Trump is only helping the rich. Trump is helping everyone. Although he cut taxes for the rich, he also cut taxes for the poor.

Under Trump's tax plan, poor people don't even pay tax.

If you're single and you make less than $25,000 per year, you don't pay tax.

If you have a wife and you make less than $50,000 per year, you don't pay tax.

If you have a wife and a kid and you make less than $75,000 per year, you don't pay tax.

Re:The Strange Politics of Peter Thiel, Trump’s Most Unlikel... by maxxxxx on Friday July 22, 2016 @12:27PM (#12144559)
And there will be gigantic deficits that somehow will be compensated by some future economic growth.
Re:The Strange Politics of Peter Thiel, Trump’s Most Unlikel... by DefaultUserHN on Monday July 25, 2016 @07:50PM (#12162408)
>And there will be gigantic deficits that somehow will be compensated by some future economic growth.

It will be compensated by making the country rich and wealthy again. A rich and wealthy country will be able to pay off the deficits and national debt.

How will Trump make the country rich and wealthy again?

By making it more profitable for companies to do businesses in the United States, so companies will start doing businesses in the United States again. Which means jobs. Which means more people have money. And with more people with more money to tax, the government will get more money even though the tax is lower. Because there are more people to tax. Also, with more companies doing business in the United States, although the tax is lower, the government get more money.

When people have more money to spent, they buy more stuff, which means businesses make more money, which means more profits, more jobs, and higher pay. Which means more money for workers. It is an upward cycle. The economy goes up.

And also, make the country rich again, by doing better trade deals where America doesn't actually lose money. Where the United States actually make money, in those deals.

Also, by taxing or stopping remittance money sent to Mexico by illegals in the United States. Every year, illegals (who don't pay federal taxes) send back $28 billion dollar to Mexico. In other word, money is flowing out of the United States into Mexico. Trump wants to tax it to pay for the wall (hence, the saying Mexico will pay for the wall). This again, will create jobs.

Trump will do this and many other things to make America wealthy and rich again. All this information are on his website. It's all part of his plan to Make America Great Again.

Re:The Strange Politics of Peter Thiel, Trump’s Most Unlikel... by maxxxxx on Thursday July 21, 2016 @12:33PM (#12137989)
He makes up a lot of facts on the fly and then claims that he has been misinterpreted. The whole wall to Mexico thing and have Mexico pay for it is ridiculous. Now he questions the NATO treaties.

I haven't heard anything from him that indicates deep thinking about an issue.

Re:The Strange Politics of Peter Thiel, Trump’s Most Unlikel... by toss1941 on Thursday July 21, 2016 @12:40PM (#12138053)
I'll be honest I haven't been following a lot of his positions on things other than what spills over into the tech/security folks I follow on twitter and various other sites. I didn't know about the NATO comments but here's what I learned about him just today [0]:

(edit: talking about whether Trump would defend Turkey if Russia invaded unprovoked): Trump said he would have to think about whether those countries “have fulfilled their obligations to us.” Trump clarified, “If they fulfill their obligations to us, the answer is yes.”

It seems pretty rational to me; he's saying that if a country like Turkey wants to acquire the benefits of a military alliance they need to pay their fair share. On the surface that seems reasonable to me and honestly, from reading here if Erdrogan got attacked by Russia I doubt most of Trump's enemies would shed any tears about his stance on NATO anyway.

[0] http://dailycaller.com/2016/07/21/trump-doesnt-care-about-er...

Re:The Strange Politics of Peter Thiel, Trump’s Most Unlikel... by maxxxxx on Thursday July 21, 2016 @01:13PM (#12138355)
This is not some business deal where you can change terms later on and let the courts decide. Turkey needs to know if NATO will be there for them or not. He can call for larger contributions of course and tell them upfront that NATO won't help them until conditions are met. But he can't decide at the time Russia invades. Then he may as well leave NATO.

Trump was also a "birther". That alone shows to me that he doesn't take politics seriously.

Re:The Strange Politics of Peter Thiel, Trump’s Most Unlikel... by splintercell on Thursday July 21, 2016 @04:50PM (#12139955)
> Turkey needs to know if NATO will be there for them or not. He can call for larger contributions of course and tell them upfront that NATO won't help them until conditions are met.

Question, have you heard or read Trump's foreign policy speech?

https://www.donaldjtrump.com/press-releases/donald-j.-trump-...

He lays out many criticism of our current foreign policy, including that we don't negotiate our deals properly, and this results in us not being reliable among our friends, and respected among our enemies. I recommend reading it.

Re:The Strange Politics of Peter Thiel, Trump’s Most Unlikel... by gallonofmilk on Thursday July 21, 2016 @06:00PM (#12140405)
Maybe this will help https://i.sli.mg/TIAoq1.png
Re:The Strange Politics of Peter Thiel, Trump’s Most Unlikel... by ceejayoz on Thursday July 21, 2016 @12:55PM (#12138188)
Enforcing the obligation means NATO doesn't exist. Only the US and Estonia would be left. Advocating for them to meet the pledge is one thing, but refusing to defend them under the treaty because of it would be catastrophic.

http://www.businessinsider.com/only-us-and-estonia-meeting-n...

Re:The Strange Politics of Peter Thiel, Trump’s Most Unlikel... by DefaultUserHN on Friday July 22, 2016 @11:27AM (#12144109)
But people hate it when the United States police the world. Why should the United States holds its end of the deal and defends those if they don't hold their end of the deal? People want the United States to stop policing the world. Well, under Trump, the United States will stop policing the world. Isn't that what people want?
Re:The Strange Politics of Peter Thiel, Trump’s Most Unlikel... by ceejayoz on Friday July 22, 2016 @03:02PM (#12145894)
People hate it when the US doesn't, too. I don't think a world without NATO is likely to make many in the West all that happy.
Re:The Strange Politics of Peter Thiel, Trump’s Most Unlikel... by dirtyaura on Thursday July 21, 2016 @12:35PM (#12137997)
Are they really that homogenous? I'm not from the USA, but it seems that there are both republicans (Andreessen and Horowitz, for example) and democrats (Eric Schmidt and Jack Dorsey, for example) among VCs and CEOs. Younger generation might have Sanders-style social democrat tendencies, but there are a lot of libertarians like Thiel in startup circles, though most of them don't mix conservative religious stances like Thiel does.
Re:The Strange Politics of Peter Thiel, Trump’s Most Unlikel... by Vaskivo on Thursday July 21, 2016 @12:30PM (#12137960)
I agree.

Quoting Christopher Hitchens (who is quoting John Stuart Mill):

> "Indeed as John Stuart Mill said, if all in society were agreed on the truth and beauty and value of one proposition, all except one person, it would be most important–in fact, it would become even more important–that that one heretic be heard, because we would still benefit from his perhaps outrageous or appalling view"

@maxxxxx I'm not an american, and don't follow closely american politics, but isn't supporting Trump "going against the system"?

Re:The Strange Politics of Peter Thiel, Trump’s Most Unlikel... by smt88 on Thursday July 21, 2016 @12:23PM (#12137889)
> This industry needs more diversity of thought

Sure, I agree. But there are some kinds of diversity that no industry needs. You wouldn't, for example, ever say, "Hey, Silicon Valley is full of non-racists. Let's get some more racists in here!" You'd instead be glad that Silicon Valley had a non-racist groupthink. The same is true of things like climate change, where "diversity" just means someone is dangerously wrong and living in the past.

I don't intimately know Thiel's political views (above were just examples), but it seems that many people are worried that Thiel falls into that category of "diversity we don't need".

Re:The Strange Politics of Peter Thiel, Trump’s Most Unlikel... by exstudent2 on Thursday July 21, 2016 @12:40PM (#12138050)
I think it's more subtle than that. The racist thing is a perfect example. I absolutely 100% think that Trump's opinions are racist. _However_ I also find the "progressives" who attack whites and objectify every other race to be equally racist. But because the latter controls the narrative in our industry and the framing of the message, many can't see the racism there or won't even acknowledge that it may exist.
Re:The Strange Politics of Peter Thiel, Trump’s Most Unlikel... by davesque on Thursday July 21, 2016 @12:31PM (#12137969)
I don't understand how, in the case of tech CEOs, this so called "groupthink" is such a problem. The fact is, as you rely more and more on a system of reason and evidence to make your decisions, your opinions will tend to seem more and more consistent with other people who subscribe to that system. This consistency is just a side-effect of having a good system.
Re:The Strange Politics of Peter Thiel, Trump’s Most Unlikel... by gallonofmilk on Thursday July 21, 2016 @12:17PM (#12137841)
I would have to agree with this.