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Re:Show HN: Euro 2016 predictions using Bayesian inference by lum on Thursday June 09, 2016 @11:03AM (#11869827)
We did some preliminary experiments in this direction. Basically, we tried to do a regression on the score difference instead of using only binary outcomes. In our experiments it didn't improve the predictive accuracy - but there are many more things to try. It does feel a bit wasteful not to take score data into account.

Nice that you had some similar ideas :-)

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