Re:Show HN: Euro 2016 predictions using Bayesian inference
by lum on Thursday June 09, 2016 @11:03AM
(#11869827)
We did some preliminary experiments in this direction. Basically, we tried to do a regression on the score difference instead of using only binary outcomes. In our experiments it didn't improve the predictive accuracy - but there are many more things to try. It does feel a bit wasteful not to take score data into account.
Nice that you had some similar ideas :-)