I'd rather people get paid to do nothing than people getting paid to do pointless tasks. I've seen some amazing things people made in their spare time, but I can't imagine anyone making something worthwhile digging and re-filling holes.
The usefulness we'd get out of the creative top 1-5% of the population is far outweighed by the chaos that'd be caused by the bottom/criminal 10% of the population.
Don't see how criminality would increase with basic income, if anything I'd expect a decrease (fewer people in hopeless situations = less crime).
There's nothing in your mouse anecdote which justifes this conclusion. Humans are, as I'm sure you're well aware, quite different from mice.
Of course, anecdotal.
So much blind optimism in this thread. I really need to get out, I'm clearly older and more jaded than you kiddoes
(I'm 43. 'Kiddo' is slightly insulting and, dare I say, condescending.)
Yup, all those bored teens and violent criminals are going to be playing crossword puzzles and composing symphonies all day now that their rent is paid and bellies are full.
I gotta get out of this thread. I may be bitter and pessimistic about humans, but you people are beyond delusional if you think free money solves more social problems than it creates.
Edit: Don't forget that all those bored inner-city teens, who no longer have a reason to go to school (they're gonna get a lifetime of free money and free stuff, after all), now have zero education. We can't keep half of them in school today, what's going to make them stop in the free money future? And they're going to breed even dumber kids. A few generations of this and you have caused devolution and lost everything human civilization has worked to achieve. Bad, bad, bad. Collapse-worthy bad.
People are still going to want money for buying gadgets, going out, a better living space, cars, clothes, vacations, impressing girls, buying toys for their kids, etc.
Also I'd bet that a significant percentage of trust-fund babies work, and their trust funds generally provide them much more than a UBI would.
YES. That's exactly the point. Look at the welfare class currently collecting disability in American states like WV. They aren't doing anything productive!!! Maybe more drugs, though... sounds great for society. Let's expand that.
Will Everyone drop out of the workforce? Of course not. But a substantial portion that will become an ever-increasing, ever-breeding strain on society? I'm absolutely positive of it.
We're ok with those who are born rich not having to work. Why should it be different for poor people? And if society can function perfectly fine without these people working, why does it matter if they don't work?
Also, in that experiment isn't there a complete excess of resources? We certainly don't have that, opulence would still be expensive and out of reach of a BI.
You seen the obesity rates in America?
The people who truly enjoy "Exploration", "Cultural enrichment", and "Scientific endeavor" are not those that I'm worried about in this world. Most of the world does not operate like that, nor do they use (or even understand!) such phrases.
Obesity to me is about lack of resources for better nutrition (though companies push junk pretty hard), lack of education, and lack of will power.
FWIW I'm substantially overweight despite being poor enough to need to miss meals in the past couple of years.
So give people BI and they'll just get blazed/drunk all the time, and make other mischief, is that your assessment?
Not everyone, but the noisy few will far outweigh those that are "culturally enriching" themselves with "art" and "scientific exploration".
Just look at what's happening in the western welfare class already. How does this not become an extension of that?
I'm so absolutely unconvinced by this thread. I fear for the future of this species. I have a feeling this is why guys like Elon Musk are in such a hurry too... they see it happening too.
Also, it's one experiment, that I haven't seen replicated, done in an age when you had to show up those darn commies, that Capitalism is the best.
Umm yeah, that's exactly what they gave to the mice.
The fact that it hasn't been replicated is extremely concerning, and makes me wonder why.
Yes, without any opportunity to get involved in anything more than that.
"Here, live in this box forever, you get all the food pellets and water you want, but you can never leave and don't get anything entertaining to do" would drive any animal insane. Take a look at animals behaving pathologically in boring zoo enclosures, for example.
A study actually analogous to basic income would have, for example, unlimited generic mouse food and a comfortable home environment, but also have a large exterior environment available to explore, wheels and toys, and a steady supply of puzzles/mazes/etc fitted with tastier treats that the mice could engage with or avoid as they wish.
This is why I feel any democracy is eventually doomed to fail. People will vote themselves more and more free stuff, but "free stuff" ultimately defeats the will of the human spirit.
It's worth researching more, but everybody just seems to focus on the economic impact and not the social one. If you think this will end crime, then I have a bridge to sell to you.
In order for it to have resulted in a "complete end of civilization", you'd have to have first actually created a mouse civilization. Which would, actually, have been a more interesting result.
And in order for it to say anything about UBI, it would have to actually be in some way analogous to what UBI provides. Which, it isn't. Even aside from the fact that mice are not humans (they are occasionally good models for humans biochemically, but basically never good models when it comes to politico-economic behavior.)
> If you think this will end crime, then I have a bridge to sell to you.
I don't think it will end crime. I don't think it needs to end crime to be a good thing. (OTOH, it can substantially increase the expected marginal disutility of defection from social norms that results in incarceration -- especially when the perpetrator is relatively poor -- which should reduce the rate of economically-motivated crimes committed by relative sane people, which is a significant chunk of crime, but very far from all of it.)
All I'm saying is this: Before we start throwing free money around everywhere, maybe we should do some legitimate research on the human condition. I'm obviously confident that you won't like what you find, but at least you'll find out before it's too late.
You mentioned it and it's still inaccurate. The study gave mice everything they could ever want, in excess. This was food, space, and mates. The needs of mice are not complex. Basic income is just enough to let you sleep indoors and eat. If you were to create a utopia for people it would be fine food, entertainment, extravagant living arrangements, a complex and fulfilling social scene, opportunities for academic engagement, etc. Free food and rent is not a utopia for people by a long shot.
See socialism. Chavez made all these same promises for free stuff, etc. It didn't work. It never works. Venezuela is now beyond doomed and are weeks if not days from total devastation.
Reproducing the 1972 study in a field environment on humans would take too long, but I'm confident that if you had a similar utopian tribe of 60 men and 60 women, the experiment would have to be terminated in less than a year due to whatever mularkey broke out. Scale that up and you have pure Venezuelan chaos on your hands.
We've had societies that had infinite food and water provided to them in a limited space?
>pure Venezuelan chaos
Pure hyperbolic nonsense.
Accepting for the sake of argument that this is true (which, a single, non-replicated experiment on mice is far from sufficient to establish), it has nothing to do with Unconditional Basic Income, which does not provide unlimited quantities of anything, or otherwise make it so that humans don't have "something to live and work for".
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0Z760XNy4VM
What happened next is absolutely astonishing. When the mice had nothing to do and nothing to work for, their society collapsed upon itself. Females stopped caring for their young. Betas began guarding the elite females, despite them not breeding with anyone. Fights broke out for no reason whatsoever. Mice stopped eating.
Their population peaked at 2200, and then died off extremely quickly.
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC1644264/
It was a big, fat, giant mess. And it's exactly what will happen to us if we don't have something to work and live for. Hell, it's already happening.
I don't think humanity survives with basic income as planned. We fall apart when we have nothing to do. We're no better than mice - we are still just animals with a larger hierarchy.
I'd rather see unproductive humans digging and re-filling holes in the ground than getting paid to do nothing. Or something like the biking experiment in Black Mirror.
Yet we need to do something as automation grows. Society is in for some serious decisions, and no country currently has the leadership to be able to tackle them.