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Re:Chinese exports plunge 25% in February by tim333 on Tuesday March 08, 2016 @10:21PM (#11250673)
Sounds scary but:

"""

According to Julian Evans-Pritchard, an economist at Capital Economics in Singapore, the severe fall in exports largely reflected changes in the timing of the Lunar Year in China this year.

"In 2015, the holiday fell unusually late which meant that more of the pre-holiday rush to meet orders and less of the post holiday disruptions took place in February, causing exports to jump 48.9 percent year-on-year," he said.

"""

Re:Chinese exports plunge 25% in February by electic on Tuesday March 08, 2016 @11:14PM (#11250887)
If anyone is interested the Shanghai Containerized Shipping Index is a great source to monitor exports.[1]

[1] http://www1.chineseshipping.com.cn/en/indices/scfinew.jsp

Re:Chinese exports plunge 25% in February by rrggrr on Wednesday March 09, 2016 @12:31AM (#11251119)
The overall trend is down, consistent with the tenor of the OP article, and consistent with most of the economic news coming out of China.
Re:Chinese exports plunge 25% in February by nutmeg on Wednesday March 09, 2016 @10:21AM (#11253431)
I am not familiar with any of this, but could a lower SCSI be caused by more shipping supply being available as opposed to fewer containers being shipped? Is there an index that tracks the number of containers shipped?
Re:Chinese exports plunge 25% in February by electic on Wednesday March 09, 2016 @02:13PM (#11255044)
These are the number of individual containers exported from a port. Has nothing to do with capacity, ships, etc.
Re:Chinese exports plunge 25% in February by jordanb on Tuesday March 08, 2016 @11:15PM (#11250888)
One holiday puts exports down double digits for two months in a row eh? Must be one crazy party.
Re:Chinese exports plunge 25% in February by fatjokes on Tuesday March 08, 2016 @11:23PM (#11250912)
It's the largest mass human migration on earth, and it happens annually.
Re:Chinese exports plunge 25% in February by discordance on Wednesday March 09, 2016 @12:15AM (#11251065)
There's a good documentary that covers this migration - https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Last_Train_Home_(film)
Re:Chinese exports plunge 25% in February by jzwinck on Wednesday March 09, 2016 @03:58AM (#11251768)
It is indeed. So crazy in fact that I couldn't get a hotel room in a major city with an international airport even three days after the holiday.

In New Zealand.

Re:Chinese exports plunge 25% in February by toomanybeersies on Wednesday March 09, 2016 @08:07AM (#11252712)
Hell, it's so big that they had a big parade in Wellington for it.
Re:Chinese exports plunge 25% in February by norea-armozel on Wednesday March 09, 2016 @10:40AM (#11253545)
I believe many workers will travel home to celebrate the holiday which must be hell compared to Thanksgiving air travel.
Re:Chinese exports plunge 25% in February by wheat74 on Wednesday March 09, 2016 @01:47AM (#11251354)
Perhaps this is a dumb question, but if it fell by 25% and the prediction was it falling by 15%, do they mean to imply those who made that month's prediction weren't aware of the particulars of Lunar New Year?
Re:Chinese exports plunge 25% in February by spangry on Wednesday March 09, 2016 @07:24AM (#11252524)
Not a dumb question at all. Markets often behave irrationally, but they aren't that stupid. Market expectations (-14.5% export growth) definitely factor in seasonality. So it's very bad news.

To make matters worse, import growth (-13.8%) was also lower than market expectations (-12%).

As mentioned below, this suggests contracting overseas demand for Chinese exports AND contracting domestic consumption. Which adds up to lower than expected Chinese economic production.

We'll probably see another Chinese stimulus package soon. Hopefully they manage to deploy it without exacerbating the capital mis-allocation and higher private debt that the previous one caused (mostly poured into residential real-estate construction and speculation).

Re:Chinese exports plunge 25% in February by SixSigma on Wednesday March 09, 2016 @08:03AM (#11252697)
But if you couple that with

"China to cut 1.8m jobs in coal and steel sectors" [1]

it does make one take notice

[1] http://www.theguardian.com/business/2016/feb/29/china-to-cut...

Re:Chinese exports plunge 25% in February by sharetea on Tuesday March 08, 2016 @10:50PM (#11250790)
some other views:

""China will face a more challenging situation in trade this year than 2015. Both imports and exports in February fell more than our expectations."

""China's exports declined the most since May 2009, suggesting that the overly strong CNY exchange rate has become an obstacle for the external sector"

""February's trade data is really poor and that will exert depreciation pressure on the yuan."

http://news.forexlive.com/!/china-export-collapse-in-january...

Re:Chinese exports plunge 25% in February by josefresco on Wednesday March 09, 2016 @10:10AM (#11253372)
Pretty much this - Nothing happens in China during the new year celebration. We've had recent contact with Chinese companies who all warned us that there would be no progress until after the holiday.
Re:Chinese exports plunge 25% in February by pkaye on Wednesday March 09, 2016 @11:20AM (#11253813)
So this was expected because the holidays are preplanned and the drop is in line with the predictions?
Re:Chinese exports plunge 25% in February by maw on Wednesday March 09, 2016 @10:42AM (#11253555)
Yeah, fine, but that's no reason to not act irrational and panicky!