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spadez

>WHO has evaluated that the following vaccines against COVID-19 have met the necessary criteria for safety and efficacy:

I would like to see all the data W.H.O looked at before making the evaluation. Also why is VAERS not mentioned?

> incredibly lax safety procedures.

Or someone having a bad day. Human beings are not robots. In fact they are quite opposite, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demon_core

> all you need is for some people to be near some sick bats.

Seems that there are multiple problems with that..

1. High level of optimisation for Human transmission, without many mutations indicating the possibility that it was pre-optimised somewhere before making the jump.

2. Presense of double `CGG` which is left as a common market to denote lab insertions.

>The insertion sequence of choice is the double CGG. That’s because it is readily available and convenient, and scientists have a great deal of experience inserting it. An additional advantage of the double CGG sequence compared with the other 35 possible choices: It creates a useful beacon that permits the scientists to track the insertion in the laboratory.

https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-science-suggests-a-wuhan-la...

So on the other hand, for lab leak, only these needs to be satisfied.

1. They were doing GoF research on viruses trying optimise for human transmission.

2. Someone had a bad day and didn't follow the strict procedures, and ended up getting infected with a super charged virus.

What makes the above far fetched is only if you take the chinese researcher's word for granted, and accpet that there was no such research being conducted there, and no virus that was close enough was stored in the lab to start the research with. But without that, I think the lab leak is much more probably, and I think most experts will agree as well (They don't because they have a hard time doubting fellow reserchers without evidence).

Couple of them are described here..

https://drmalcolmkendrick.org/2021/01/27/does-lockdown-work-...

Under the heading "The damage inflicted by medical ideas"

Isn't the patent for Ivermectin expired already? So can't anyone produce the pills?

If that is the case, its pretty obvious why they are not supporting it..

125 serious AEFI in 446,380 doses. 1:3571 indeed.

But here too the reporting is open to anyone, and is voluntary. So chances of large under reporting is present here as well. Which is a bit scary..

> The technology is insufficient for the task, and it will never get better.

This is very true. But I don't think it is a problem with technology.

It is just that you cannot really have a valuable insight by putting a 10000 idiots in a room and have them argue it out. In other words, you cannot replace one intelligent man with a 10000 idiots, hence the failure of HN and similar forums.

These things are only good for sharing interesting things, so the best way to use is to just use posted links, and never to engage in discussion.

> obvious lie that was implying the vaccines aren’t low risk.

If the brand new vaccines using a brand new technology are low risk, is really a matter of opinion. Basically it comes down to how much you trust the authorities and the how much you consider any given research or studies to be unbiased. (Particularly when the full data for the said studies remain unpublished)

You can plainly see that both of these are variable between different people, even within similar schools of thoughts.

So because someone does not share your opinion does not make them a liar.

If that is the case any one saying the new vaccines are "safe and effective", should also be an obvious lie, because the long term safety studies are not done, which objectively makes it a lie.

I asked why Covid vaccines are absent from VAERS list of reportable AEFIs

https://vaers.hhs.gov/docs/VAERS_Table_of_Reportable_Events_...

And the person you are responding basically said that the new vaccines are so safe that it didn't have to be on that list.

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=27513984

I don't mean this as a personal attack on that user, but It is really concerning how blind and apologetic some people are to the various things that can go wrong with a Vaccine.

>Xofluza, Relenza, and Tamiflu

None of them are as effective as Ivermectin (allegedly). It is only logical that efficacy is also important.

> YouTube is not a legitimate source for medical/drug information.

It is not a source, and never was a legitimate source of anything, but a media of communication. I am not sure why people mix the two up. If doctors in one part of their world can share their observations with doctors all over the world, it has tremendous value.

Now it seems that doctors can only share their observations with W.H.O and any inference should come from the top, which they could delay citing sorry "no research" for an arbitrarly long time..

Its the governments of the two states that are making the claims in the news articles.

I think it is safe to suppose they or the associated medical authorities have observed a big enough benefit before making that claim.

But no, no concrete numbers, as I think there was not much of tracking the number of patients who were given the drug. May be it is because such numbers are not much of a value in terms of research data due to lack of controls.

> But an actual randomized control trial of Ivermectin in March

Please see this

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=27566123

> 16th century with Galileo and the Catholic Church.

Killing science in the name of religion and beliefs is one thing, killing science in the name of science itself is quite another.

>India wouldn't have taken it off the recommended drugs list.

Normally authorities are afraid to go against W.H.O recommendations, because if it didn't work out, it would be hard to justify it on the basis of local observations alone, at least on paper.

But the important thing is that some states still did it, which might indicate there was very observable benefit.

>Are you claiming that some non-trivial number of patients in India were treated with this

Yes, example from two states.

https://indianexpress.com/article/cities/lucknow/uttar-prade...

https://www.news18.com/news/india/mortality-rate-much-lower-...

The testimony video in this page cites examples in many other countries https://covid19criticalcare.com/

List of Ivermectin studies:

https://c19ivermectin.com/

FLCCC Alliance Response to All National and International Health Agency Recommendations Against Ivermectin in COVID-19:

https://covid19criticalcare.com/videos-and-press/flccc-relea... international-health-agency-recommendations-against-ivermectin-in-covid-19/

Response to W.H.O s rejection of the studies:

https://covid19criticalcare.com/videos-and-press/flccc-relea...

https://covid19criticalcare.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/03/F...

>If someone died because of a "Take Ivermectin and you'll survive COVID" video on YouTube, who's to blame?

But who is to blame for the deaths of thousands of people, who could have been saved by Ivermectin, which in all probability is happening right now, and has been going on for many months, if not for the censorship of W.H.O, Youtube and media?

>But science has not yet reached a consensus

Can we please get rid of this idea of some entity named "science" reaching a "consensus", already?

Please just say we don't know. Because it promotes the idea that there is some divine "science" out there that is disconnected from human beings

> Trust (or lack thereof) is the biggest threat to public health.

I would say the current alignment of incentive structure, is the biggest threat to public health.

Re:Excess deaths and SARS-CoV2 vaccinations in Scotland on Saturday June 19, 2021 @12:37AM (#27557793)
This page seem to be updated https://austingwalters.com/covid19-vaccine-risks/ with the information about observation of increase in R00-R99 deaths for current time. But the article does not appear to believe that it changes their reading of the data.
Re:Excess deaths and SARS-CoV2 vaccinations in Scotland on Saturday June 19, 2021 @12:33AM (#27557780)
>a graph that shows it actually was a dramatic plunge in deaths correlated with the vaccination.

Please share the link to the page and section heading under which this graph is present.

Also this page seem to be updated https://austingwalters.com/covid19-vaccine-risks/ with the information about observation of increase in R00-R99 deaths for current time.

>but does not seem likely to withstand rigorous analysis.

But where is this rigorous analysis?

Re:Why People Fall for Conspiracy Theories on Friday June 18, 2021 @12:51PM (#27552324)
I would more like to see why people blindly trust some group of human beings to not conspire, when there is every (often gigantic) incentive for that group to do so.
Re:Human cells can write RNA sequences into DNA on Friday June 18, 2021 @08:38AM (#27549668)
It is not meant to be an appeal to authority, so the persons history/reputation is not relevant, but just their arguments.
> In the end you are comparing who had vaccine/placebo on a group of O(100) people.

I guess this is what people were saying about Absolute vs Relative risk reduction. If that is so, your explanation makes it much more clear.

One reason could be that existing vaccines can turn out to be unsafe..

https://austingwalters.com/covid19-vaccine-risks/

Re:The Lab Leak Theory Doesn’t Hold Up on Thursday June 17, 2021 @10:04AM (#27539686)
But the emails mentioned here is very interesting..

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DNxoVFZwMYw

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