laplacesdemon48
laplacesdemon48 on Hacker News
When I first subscribed to ChatGPT Premium late last year, the natural language understanding superiority was amazing. Now the benchmark advances, low latency voice chat, Sora, etc. are all really cool too.
But my work and day-to-day usage really rely on accurately sourced/cited information. I need a way to comb through an ungodly amount of medical/scientific literature to form/refine hypotheses. I want to figure out how to hard reset my car's navigation system without clicking through several SEO-optimized pages littered with ads. I need to quickly confirm scientific facts, some obscure, with citations and without hallucinations. From speaking with my friends in other industries (e.g. finance, law, construction engineering), this is their major use case too.
I really tried to use ChatGPT Premium's Bing powered search. I also tried several of the top rated GPTs - Scholar AI, Consensus, etc.. It was barely workable. It seems like with this update, the focus was elsewhere. Unless I specify explicitly in the prompt, it doesn't search the web and provide citations. Yeah, the benchmark performance and parameter counts keep impressively increasing, but how do I trust that those improvements are preventing hallucinations when nothing is cited?
I wonder if the business relationship between Microsoft and OpenAI is limiting their ability to really compete in AI driven search. Guessing Microsoft doesn't want to disrupt their multi-billion dollar search business. Maybe the same reason search within Gemini feels very lacking (I tried Gemini Advanced/Ultra too).
I have zero brand loyalty. If anybody has a better suggestion, I will switch immediately after testing.
Nylon-Eating Bacteria and Creationism
[1] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fNk_zzaMoSs&list=PLZHQObOWTQ...
The $7B Delusion (2002)
This is actually co-written/edited by Joe Blitzstein, who teaches Harvard's Stat110. What originally sold me on taking a look is this snippet from the foreword:
"This book is primarily a teaching tool, and thus we are not very concerned with proofs unless they promote understanding...There are no Statistics or linear algebra prerequisites."
I read both editions of his textbook and will be revisiting this new lecture material soon. I highly recommend you check out his book/course if you've been frustrated with trying to learn stats and want to practically understand things without hundreds of pages of proofs.
It is very clearly written, full of practical examples (with code), and doesn't assume heavy math knowledge.
This section from the preface sums up the intended audience:
"The principle audience is researchers in the natural and social sciences, whether new PhD students or seasoned professionals, who have had a basic course on regression but nevertheless remain uneasy about statistical modeling. This audience accepts that there is something vaguely wrong about typical statistical practice in the early twenty-first century, dominated as it is by p-values and a confusing menagerie of testing procedures. They see alternative methods in journals and books. But these people are not sure where to go to learn about these methods."
For example: Cor(X, Y & Z)
I know you could run them pairwise but it’s possible Cor(X, Y) and Cor(X, Z) are close to zero but Cor(X, Y & Z) is close to 1.
Regression, Fire, and Dangerous Things (1/3)
A Little Bit of Arima (AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average Models)
GlassFROGG Takes on High Healthcare Costs by Providing Pricing Info to Consumers
Sekino's Fractal Gallery
Gombe Chimpanzee War
Newton's method and Newton basin fractals (1999)
I eat regular cheese and have tried several vegan brands, this seems pretty close to me. But I'm no cheese connoisseur.
Technically Wrong: When Bayesian and Frequentist Methods Differ
Virtual Particle
Random Paths to Frequency Hopping
>> An autopsy and subsequent studies indicated that his death was caused by a fulminant immune reaction (with high serum levels of the cytokines interleukin-6 and interleukin-10) to the adenoviral vector.
>> The data suggested that the high dose of Ad [adenoviral] vector, delivered by infusion directly to the liver, quickly saturated available receptors ... within that organ and then spilled into the circulatory and other organ systems including the bone marrow, thus inducing the systemic immune response.
He was injected with >3 × 10^13 viruses [2]. The typical J&J dose contain: low-dose (5x10^10 viral particles) or high-dose (1x10^11 viral particles) [3].
[1] https://www.uab.edu/ccts/images/steinbrook_Gelsinger_-_Oxfor...
[2] https://www.cell.com/molecular-therapy-family/molecular-ther...
[3] https://www.jwatch.org/na53085/2021/01/26/adenovirus-vectore...
Is it possible to do something like tagging the molecules with radioisotopes and following their path?
Here's an example: https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJM199001253220403
But there's a very well known case where DNA delivered via an adenovirus killed a teenager during a genetic engineering study: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC81135/
>> "No one realized that the vector itself might pose a risk"
I'm sure the dosage, type of adenovirus, and modifications to the adenovirus are different. But there are obviously still risks we don't know about.
Some body cells can bounce back after serious trauma, liver cells being a prime example: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2701258/
Everywhere I read about the J&J vaccine, I see something like "the DNA vaccine doesn't alter your DNA". Can somebody please clear this up?
As far as I understand, the mRNA just stays in the cytoplasm of the cell and gets used up by the ribosome to create spike proteins. The adenovirus vector used in the J&J (and other vaccines) injects DNA in the cell's nucleus, which seems at odds with the widely circulated "it doesn't change your DNA" statement.
Do people make this claim because the cell displaying spike proteins is basically always eliminated by CD8 killer T cells?
Btw here's a nice high-level summary by the NYT about how all the vaccines work: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2021/health/how-covid-19...
Trader Jeff Yass Parlayed Poker and Horse Race Handicapping into $12B Fortune
Recently used this one [1] to explain far/nearsightedness