cmrivers

Update, this comment refers to the original blog post submission, which pulled out forecasted numbers with no context. The Telegraph article is better.

Then it's a scenario model, which asks what-if questions usually for planning purposes (e.g., what's the most hospital beds we might need?). Scenario models can have longer time horizons than forecasts, but 6 months is still quite long.

The outbreak in Uganda is troubling, but a forecast that goes out 6+ months is silly. No professional infectious disease modeler will forecast out more than a few weeks because the trajectory of the outbreak changes in response to interventions and behaviors. I keep a newsletter about outbreaks, including the current outbreaks of Ebola and monkeypox, at www.caitlinrivers.substack.com

All city high schools are assigned by choice/match. I think with middle schools it varies. https://www.baltimorecityschools.org/high-school-choice

I live in Baltimore City and have to agree that it's troubled. Another thing that makes it difficult for the city to thrive is the abysmal schools. Middle schools and high schools are not assigned by neighborhood, but instead by a match system. In theory this offers opportunities for children in low-income neighborhoods that would otherwise have a too-small tax base for their local schools. In practice, it means nearly all city schools are horrible. "One-third of Baltimore High Schools in 2016 had zero students proficient in math. [0]" and "In fourth- and eighth-grade reading, only 13 percent of city students are considered proficient or advanced. In fourth-grade math, 14 percent were proficient and in eighth-grade math 11 percent met the mark. [1]"

Even living in the nicer, lower-crime neighborhoods isn't enough for families if the school options are untenable.

[0] https://www.baltimoresun.com/news/opinion/readersrespond/bs-...

[1] https://www.baltimoresun.com/news/maryland/education/k-12/bs...

For what it's worth, I maintain a data repository for this outbreak (https://github.com/cmrivers/ebola_drc) and the 2014-2015 outbreak in West Africa (https://github.com/cmrivers/ebola).

My guess is that human enhancement for military use will be subject to international negotiations in the coming decades, but will probably not be considered under the Biological Weapons Convention.

For further reading, the Atlantic published an article a few years ago on this topic: https://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2013/01/could...

This is a risky strategy - your paper can end up back in the hands of the same reviewers from round one.

That's very close to what the SMART program is. I'm a SMART scholar (PhD level), it's been a good experience so far. http://smart.asee.org/