Leaked docs: Ugandan gov expects Ebola will escape control, 500 deaths by May

Re:Leaked docs: Ugandan gov expects Ebola will escape contro... by cmrivers on Tuesday November 08, 2022 @12:07PM (#33521352)

Then it's a scenario model, which asks what-if questions usually for planning purposes (e.g., what's the most hospital beds we might need?). Scenario models can have longer time horizons than forecasts, but 6 months is still quite long.

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Re:Leaked docs: Ugandan gov expects Ebola will escape contro... by knob on Tuesday November 08, 2022 @04:27PM (#33524543)

That is a quite cool way of separating those models. Can you point me in a direction where I could learn more? RE: Forecast vs Scenario?

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Re:Leaked docs: Ugandan gov expects Ebola will escape contro... by spywaregorilla on Wednesday November 09, 2022 @08:30AM (#33531307)

It's the same thing. Just the latter implies you're identifying an assumption or two as variable and modeling outcomes of some of them changing. They're all forecasts. To argue otherwise is semantic pedantry.

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