calmd
Re:South Korea: The only middle power of its kind
on Tuesday August 03, 2021 @10:00AM (#28049267)
> Why is that being treated as inherently bad, though?
We are not making this decision completely willingly, it is more just happening and it is out of the governments control. To me this means it is risky, and can we pull out of it? How do we pull out of this shrinkage?
I guess the good thing is that the developed world is all in this together, rather than only parts of it. That reduces the chance of massive disparities as a result of the changes it causes.
If would feel much more comfortable that we completely understood it, and how to control it.
There will be a lot of changes that will occur. For example conservatives are less effected by population shrinkage than liberals in the US -- probably just because conservatives are less likely to be city dwellers? Or maybe it is conservatives have different values... or a combination of values that effect whether they live in the cities.
Atheists have lower reproduction rates than those who are religious as well. (which probably correlates with liberalism/conservatism as well.)
I wonder if there are any genetic contributions to conservatism/religiousness? If so this may be a period of rapid genetic evolution...
Re:South Korea: The only middle power of its kind
on Tuesday August 03, 2021 @09:54AM (#28049186)
I think robotized war changes the equation a bit here. At least with regards to non-adjacent conflicts. But for adjacent conflicts between non-superpowers, if one area is depopulated, it may be much easier to walk in and keep that territory.
Re:South Korea: The only middle power of its kind
on Tuesday August 03, 2021 @09:51AM (#28049155)
So urban cities are anti-child? Thus we will see cites change or depopulate?
Does low fertility correlate with dense urban dwelling and sky high real-estate prices? I suspect it probably does, but I haven't seen any proof.
Maybe this shift to remote-first work that happened over the last 18 months will help....
Re:South Korea: The only middle power of its kind
on Tuesday August 03, 2021 @09:47AM (#28049102)
Let's take that at face value.
If shrinking populations are okay, what is the desired population level? Right now no country seems to be able to stop this decrease in the modern/developed world. We are just currently shrinking.
Re:South Korea: The only middle power of its kind
on Tuesday August 03, 2021 @09:34AM (#28048945)
SK is committing demographic suicide though, so whatever you think of its success, it has a pretty fatal disease. It has the lowest birthrate in the world.
This is going to cause significant economic problems quite soon, or they will have to open up massive immigration which will completely change the country.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Low_birth_rate_in_South_Korea
How does the developed world pull out of this type of tailspin? Japan and other nations are also facing this exact same issue and we seem to be not paying attention to it.
The core issue is that in most of the developed world, people do not have enough children. And even immigrants in their second generation and beyond also do not have enough children, as such it appears to be a cultural/way of life/society norms problem. It is as if the developed modern world is currently designed as a population sink.
This is going to be one of the grand challenges of the 50 years.
Re:The UK’s delta surge is collapsing
on Monday August 02, 2021 @07:03PM (#28043788)
https://www.barrons.com/articles/covid-cases-uk-us-today-516...
Delta surged lasted 50 days in India and 45 days in the UK. We may see something similar
That would be nice
Re:Twitter Suspends Science Writer After He Posts Results of Pfizer Cl...
on Saturday July 31, 2021 @08:33PM (#28022681)
Exactly. I think if you cited source it may have avoided u getting downvoted. Alex is a major vaccine skeptic who has been consistently wrong in his prognostications on Fox News
Re:Twitter Suspends Science Writer After He Posts Results of Pfizer Cl...
on Saturday July 31, 2021 @08:31PM (#28022666)
Alex Berenson is mostly a krank who has been consistently wrong in his predictions.
https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2021/04/pandemics-...
Re:Blizzard's reputation collapsed in just three years
on Saturday July 31, 2021 @08:28PM (#28022643)
Stunning fall. For a while Blizzard could do no wrong. I feel that Bobby, the CEO, is very focused on results and only understands gamers third hand at this point.
That works for a while when the employees still care but once they stop caring there is no one to steer the faltering ship.
Re:Get Ready for the 'No-Buy' List
on Friday July 30, 2021 @10:07PM (#28014574)
A reminder that Bari is against cancel culture until you criticize Israel. She is such a hypocrite: https://theintercept.com/2018/03/08/the-nyts-bari-weiss-fals...
Re:Scarlett Johansson Sues Disney over ‘Black Widow’ Streaming Release
on Thursday July 29, 2021 @01:52PM (#27999300)
Disney+ with 100M active subs is completely different than minor streaming services before that.
Re:Scarlett Johansson Sues Disney over ‘Black Widow’ Streaming Release
on Thursday July 29, 2021 @01:46PM (#27999223)
This makes sense. A lot of stars expect a cut of box office revenues and negotiate that in. But the negotiations happened probably prior to the pandemic and the new situation probably was unthinkable.
Also the box office in general has been destroyed recently because of the pandemic. What would have likely been $+150M opening weekends and close to $1B totals revenue (or even more) are reduced to fractions of that.
EDIT: Even worse, it was actually to be released in May 2020, thus the negotiations for salary were likely done in 2017/2018 or possibly earlier. Disney+ wasn't even announced back then.
Re:Scarlett Johansson Sues Disney over ‘Black Widow’ Streaming Release
on Thursday July 29, 2021 @01:44PM (#27999192)
The problem is if Disney blacklists her from its main franchises, Star Wars and Marvel and Pixar/Disney animation films, that is more than half of the box office these days.
The box office is I think 50% super hero films now.
That said I think they won't...
Re:Apple Reports Third Quarter Results
on Tuesday July 27, 2021 @05:47PM (#27978067)
Federal taxes?
Re:Freenom, the free domains website, is a scam
on Sunday July 25, 2021 @05:23PM (#27953052)
Who is behind Freenom? Shouldn't they have to disclose this method of business in their TOS?
Re:On the lack of progress reports from the Mill project
on Sunday July 25, 2021 @10:29AM (#27949418)
Their ideas will become more widespread but it may be done by a different team at this point.
Re:iOS and Android must respond to NSO-like attacks with better security
on Friday July 23, 2021 @10:17AM (#27930913)
Key quote from the article:
> The trick is to strike the right balance between offering more system indicators without inadvertently making attackers’ jobs too much easier. “There is a lot that Apple could be doing in a very safe way to allow observation and imaging of iOS devices in order to catch this type of bad behavior, yet that does not seem to be treated as a priority,” says iOS security researcher Will Strafach.
Re:Mitchell Hashimoto takes on a new individual contributor role at Ha...
on Friday July 23, 2021 @08:31AM (#27929941)
He is fabulously wealthy now. He doesn't have to work. What is the percentage of his ownership in this $5B company? 10%? More? He's achieved his goals likely. Probably will want to slowly cash out and diversity.
Do other things...
Re:RNA demethylation increases rice and potato yields 50%
on Friday July 23, 2021 @06:54AM (#27929303)
There is a long term trend that vegetables are getting less nutritious, yes. And it is speculated that it is because of soil depletion.
https://www.cookinglight.com/eating-smart/nutrition-101/frui...
Re:Mitchell Hashimoto takes on a new individual contributor role at Ha...
on Thursday July 22, 2021 @07:51PM (#27925751)
I did not know about this: https://www.nomadproject.io/docs/nomad-vs-kubernetes
Is it good? Is there a growing user base? Why do I not hear about it?
Re:Mitchell Hashimoto takes on a new individual contributor role at Ha...
on Thursday July 22, 2021 @07:48PM (#27925722)
I hope he is creating a simpler Kubernetes competitor for robust container orchestration/management. Hint hint.
Re:CIA officer from bin Laden hunt to lead Havana Syndrome probe as ca...
on Thursday July 22, 2021 @04:13PM (#27923734)
Doing it to the US is ballsy, but I bet you could have gotten away with this for quite some time against less major actors. In fact I question why someone would use this against just US diplomats in such a low stakes situation. I would have saved this weapon for when it would have made a difference.
Re:CIA officer from bin Laden hunt to lead Havana Syndrome probe as ca...
on Thursday July 22, 2021 @04:11PM (#27923705)
Imagine any protracted conflict, if you can give the other leadership group minor brain damage, you'll more likely be able to out maneuver them.
Re:Epic Games acquires Sketchfab, a 3D model sharing platform
on Wednesday July 21, 2021 @11:16AM (#27907444)
Epic Games has been on an acquisition tear -- just in last 12 months:
- SuperAwesome, child safe games
- Hyprsense, facial animation
- Cubic Motion, another facial animation tool
- Rad Game Tools
- Tonic Games, makers of Fall Guys
- Reality Capture
- ArtStation, artist portfolios + marketplace (usually 2D renders)
- Sketchfab, artist portfolios + marketplace (usually 3D models)
On each acquisition, they usually lower the price of the tools to near nothing. It seems to be a clear consolidation play.