WarmWash

"Not all car crashes are the same. People sometimes live because they weren't wearing a seatbelt."

The point of these statements is to make an outlier appear as if it is part of the norm. They're bad statements to make, because at heart they are just meant to be misleading.

Zitron spelled out why OAI was dead in the water 2 years ago because they would need to raise $8B.

I use classic engineering to refer to the (engineering) disciplines where mother nature messes your day up rather than obscene levels of man made (or machine made) pure complexity ruining your day.

It's easy to understand how LLMs got so good at coding, they can rapidly iterate, self test, and it all happens in their digital universe.

These models now starting to spit grey beard knowledge of precision analog electronics, lightweight fastener design, and chemical surfactant systems is something very very recent. A few years ago I think we were pretty confident that the tech would hit a wall at the digital divide. Well, I can tell you now that it did not. It seems it kinda blasted right past it.

The real question is how many people haven't figured out how to use AI to make their job easier/more productive.

Especially with this latest crop of models, they seem to be pretty damn competent in classic engineering rather than just software engineering.

Having compute to serve the demand.

You would need to write/build a controller. The dumb pieces are there, but you would need to orchestrate them.

They are training LLMs to supervise (and improve!) LLMs. This is kind of right out of the playbook.

It's very impressive, but also very expected.

All the labs are training these models on LLMs/machine learning like crazy.

Remember that they want to build ASI, these LLMs are just intermediate steps to help them get there.

I don't know how anyone with a level understanding of the world would think that China is going to hand out nuclear scale cyber weapons willy nilly.

It's not in the interest of any government, or even any AI lab, to democratize dangerous intelligence/ability.

China wants to undercut the west, of course, but it's looking like good/bad model behavior are two sides of the same coin. "Show me how to protect my server from the most esoteric attacks" is simultaneously "Show me how to attack a server with the most esoteric attacks."

>I wouldn’t trust models from China enough to use them in important work unless they were open.

It's possible to embed malicious behavior into models, such as "secretly phone data that meets these requirements back to this address..."

This has been shown, and anyone who does cybersec should be aware that "open model running locally" isn't fool proof.

Edit: People might think I am referring to the cohere incident, I'm not, I'm referring to other labs that have purposely experimented to see if this is possible. It is.

When you are 16, the incentive is just to feel power.

Not saying we know anything about who did it, but senseless vandalism is usually a hallmark of kids.

Th truck has a charge port and a plug panel.

You charge via the charge port and power your home via the outlet panel.

>4. When solar production exceeds house consumption, the extra goes to the electric vehicle.

Through the charge port via a charger.

>5. When house consumption exceeds solar production, the extra comes from the electric vehicle.

From the 240V outlet in the bed.

The place where you would probably run aground if anything is the need to plug in two seperate cables, and perhaps fords software, as their are some quirks with how ford handles providing power to the outlets. However if you really are determined, there are ways to hack the CAN bus to get around all this.

Another downside is that the batteries are NMC, so more touchy about charging and more sensitive to cycling often.

By my job their is a large vacant lot where they wanted to build a distribution center with over 125 truck bays. Absolutely gargantuan. Guaranteed trucks coming and going non-stop, lots more traffic, lots more noise, diesel engines idling all day. There is a school and a neighborhood immediately adjacent on one side, and commercial space and a minor highway on the other sides.

Apparently the developer was approached about the possibility of building a DC there, and it set off a five alarm fire of hysteria in the town. Of course, no one even blinked about the warehouse.

So now we are probably gonna get the hundreds of trucks 24/7 instead of the large quietly humming box (that would also probably increase tax revenue by 30%).

Yes, sorry, should read above 20F

120V or 240V through the charge port.

>in a hot humid climate

It seems you cut off part of the quote. I know it can get hot in the midwest, but places like Florida are borderline "humans shouldn't live here" hot.

Correct, but you don't need 24/7 AC in ohio during hurricane season. Your reference storm was in September, when Ohio basically needs no heat or AC at all. The nuance is the extreme emergency energy demands (mandatory constant AC) are pretty rare.

These replies and the down votes are just reinforcing why I made my comment. People are unable to grasp nuance, apparently even when it is spelled out.

>I think a simple generator on an ATS remains undefeated from an engineering perspective.

Let me just inject a bit of nuance here to avoid what I think is an unintentional sleight if hand...

For the small sliver of the population that lives under threat of a large area week long blackout in hot humid climate, I think a simple generator on an ATS remains undefeated from an engineering perspective.

For the vast majority of the population, it's incredibly rare to lose power for that long, and need AC 24/7 afterwards. It basically only happens in the gulf.

You can do it with an F150 lightning if you have the 10kW inverter. Rather than use the charge port and the official charger, you use the 30A 240V plug in the bed to power your panel. You can charge the truck while using this too.

Even worse is that it seems most HVACs are totally incompetant when it comes to heat pumps too. Bunch of guys who closed the book after getting out of school and never bothered to learn anything new again.

I would be willing to bet OP got bent over by an idiot HVAC and now will never go back thanks to it. Meanwhile with a competent tech they would instead be here glowing about their experience.

Making gas more expensive is exponentially easier than making electricity cheaper.

It's going to cost everyone money to get off fossil fuels. Everyone needs to understand that. We've all been individually dumping carbon into the atmosphere, and we will all need to pay individually for it.

With first hand knowledge I can tell you that gas is so cheap that it offsets all forms of heat pump, at least in a typical metro area (~$0.25kwH)

Speaking for myself (and I suppose the millions that are on the same utility), the only time when it's cheaper for us to use the heat pump over the gas furnace is from midnight to 6am and when the temp outside is below 20F.

Someone got chatgpt to drive a car through a mock driving course.

It took about 5 minutes for it to drive 50ft.

We're not quite there yet

>These models have read and have access to every guide and video ever published on the subject.

This has been true for every model since 2023. It's not nearly as big of a factor as people believe it is

GPT-4 was trained on all that too and couldn't get any task at all done

Opus and claude models have always been lagards in vision. It just hasn't been a focus like coding for anygropic. Gemini and ChatGPT have always been much stronger in this area

Models don't have perfect recall

So is piracy good or bad?

Intelligence is an arbitrary term humans assign to stuff subjectively.

Take out the "human" and it's all just algos on a scale of complexity.

Can't wait to only be able to stream 240p