ChuckFrank
Otherwise, it's just theoretical.
Post-Reddit Canary death. Ethereum adds one to the bottom of its main page
Structural steel was adopted quickly once it was clear that it was superior to all other existing construction technologies. The same thing would be true with glue-this and glue-that, if it turned out the be true. It's not. It's the architectural equivalent of vapor-ware.
Sorry Herr Lynn, we are still waiting for your shoe houses.
1. Similar models are popping up all over the city, including the much more sophisticated Panoramic just up a block. Beds starting at $1500. Yes Beds.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3LI0tqVmGtI
2. They built the Panoramic in the time it took WeLive to do their interior improvements. And when they were working on it, it was just a skeleton crew. The whole time I was thinking ... how are they financing the building? This is insane.
3. WeLive has a main floor common space, where they've had two? events since they opened. Both were modestly attended, but certainly had a college dorm feel to it. Not anything anyone over 30 would be interested in.
4. There appears to be value-added services in the common area, a cafe, a juice bar, etc, but I hardly see it used.
5. They continue to putter around the building, putting a whole new set of scaffolding up, taking it down, putting it up again, doing some painting, taking the taping down, putting it up again, and I wonder ... what on earth are they doing? They had a year to get this right, what's the hold up.
6. Compared to the huge number of apartments going in across the street -- 1900? WeLive is a ghost town.
http://www.sfchronicle.com/bayarea/article/S-F-planners-back...
(ps. the Trinity has major problems going in to this as well. I see it as a huge bungle for the Planners. But I am waiting to see what the Market Street retail looks like. If it's anything like the Mission Street side, it'll keep that side of Market dead.)
So, in short, WeLive is some capital intensive problems, that a lot of smart people are trying to solve, just up the block and across the street, and nothing I see puts WeLive ahead of these guys.
Especially when landlords stop leasing to them at .5x, so that they can turn around and dormify the building and get 2x for it. Not with Panorama and Trinity right there.
At the time when they were looking, I wrote Jerry an open letter about what I thought could be done. Sure I'm a nobody, but none of the ideas were even, through the chances of good business, implemented. Instead there was a fancy rebranding, and a targeting of women's lifestyle channels. And now this.
I'm glad we have a competitive economy, or else I could imagine Yahoo becoming the service that sucked, but that everyone still used.
I get the feeling that this article only has half the math.
As an aside, I've heard that the optimum number for this equation is in fact 12. So 12 is the 38%. But this article doesn't confirm that - as far as I can tell.
In single income families, the income is shared, the household or domestic partners work in not uncompensated. And as to expenditures, the domestic partner, primarily the female childrearer is in charge of a huge percentage of that income, for everything from vehicle purchases, vacations, furniture, clothes, etc.
If I'm wrong, show proof.
(source she-conomy.com)
What is interesting is that Lyft chases the taxis and BlahBlah chases the trains, or the other way around, depending on your loyalties.
Still, as the old adage goes, lots of people do have the same ideas around the same time. Winners are much more unique than that.
The success of The Windup Girl killed Night Shade Books, because it upped their advances in an attempt to replicate its success.
You can see the same thing happening with the studio summer blockbusters. Everyone appears to be voting to bet-it-all, with losses almost crushing the studios.
I'm not sure what the moral here is except, don't do it. Don't buy into it. Big bets don't make big wins. Wins make wins. And fate is fickle as to where they come from.
I hope we can slow this train down enough so that people can understand what is on the table here. At almost 6 thousand pages there are also a lot of devils in the details.
What we need is a true accounting of the cost of things, and the political willingness to do them. This way we don't have to worry about politicians 'underbidding' their projects just to get enough popular support. It becomes a rigged game when that happens, where the public approves projects that everyone on the project side knows will costs several times that early estimate.
If we want the bridges and the tunnels and the shared transportation, sanitation, etc. We need to understand that these projects cost money, and we need to be able to have t true accounting of them, not one that is politically convenient.
Otherwise, we'll just have this, with 2x and 3x being common run ups, ad infinitum.
Good numbers, on all projects, would help us better allocate our future dollars. Big numbers shouldn't kill meaningful and worthwhile projects. Bad ideas should.
The Swiss seem to be able to do it.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gotthard_Base_Tunnel
On time and on budget.
There's an oversupply of Cannabis in the west coast. Done.
Next?
Plus, as mentioned above, it sets the interest rate for all the loans. I'm not sure how often at a more or less favorable rate, and if that's part of the incentive, to consolidate lower interest loans into a large higher interest one. I could definitely see them pushing this at different times, which was also something that came up in the article, that available repayment options were withheld when they were favorable to the banks and servicers.
See UC Davis, where they are building a huge new Art Museum, to compete with the one being built right now in Berkeley. Here's the thing, UC Davis is NOT an art school. It's an ag school and should be focusing its resources on that. But no, building an art museum justifies the salaries of all the people that are involved.
Once you've lost control of the money, you've lost the dispute. The money is the only leverage you have in the dispute.