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Re:Review our webapp- The Uncertain Future (future world mod... by drcode on Sunday December 06, 2009 @08:40PM (#980506)
The idea is good, in principle.

The problem is, you've created both a bayesian decision-making tool AND a dataset for the tool for estimating human-level AI. Forcing a user to learn both of these at the same time is asking too much from your users.

Also, your thesis is clearly "nothing matters about the future other than human-level AI." This is a defendable thesis, but you can't use this as a starting assumption without confusing your users immensely. Maybe you should also ask questions about other things and then have them discover the importance of human-level AI naturally. (assuming it really is as important as you think.)

Finally, your java-ish implementation is really buggy and the implementation/documentation in general needs a lot of work. I couldn't get the tool to really work at all on Ubuntu with Firefox 3.5 (The edit fields keep freezing up)

(Dollars to Donuts, the java applet is written in a Lisp dialect and then translated/compiled into a very fat java applet :-)

Re:Review our webapp- The Uncertain Future (future world mod... by drcode on Sunday December 06, 2009 @09:07PM (#980543)
Also: I found that almost all my answers to the questions require highly lopsided distributions, which the app doesn't support... this makes it hard to get meaningful answers.