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Re:We need to rethink employee compensation by tptacek on Wednesday June 24, 2015 @04:56PM (#9774409)
I'm not following. I'm not venturing an opinion; I think I'm stating a fact. Stipulate:

* VC funded company

* 24 employees

* <80th percentile of SFBA burn rate (ie: in Portland)

It doesn't matter how the VCs feel about the company. 30MM is not a very lucrative outcome for that company, mathematically.

You can make 30MM be an amazing outcome, but not if you bought yourself to an exit at barely-profitable on 6MM annual revenue using VC money.

30MM is a fantastic outcome for a bootstrapped company.

Re:We need to rethink employee compensation by MCRed on Wednesday June 24, 2015 @05:18PM (#9774560)
For the fee of taking half the company, in this situation the VCs: -- Cut the valuation by %90. If we had been allowed to execute the founders vision (which could have been done bootstrapped) we would have exited close to $300M. (A competitor went that route, they started after us, exited before us for > $300M

-- Set us back by 6-18 months. One of the decisions forced on us by the VCs was to build on top of [another one of their portfolio companies technologies, we'll call it FOO], but FOO didn't have the performance or features we needed. Literally lost at least half a year on the product because of this (And a whole lot of money paid to FOO and their consulting arm.)

-- Forced us to sell before we were ready. When the economy looked like it was turning the VCs needed to raise cash to make their funds look successful, and decided that we weren't going to get 5 years after investment, since they could offload us now for a nice multiple they did so.

It happens this company could have gone without the VC round and bootstrapped its way. If it had done so, it probably would have exited for around $1B, maybe much more given that it was kicking google's ass.

Re:We need to rethink employee compensation by tptacek on Wednesday June 24, 2015 @05:20PM (#9774572)
Usually, the problem is the opposite. A 30MM acquisition is a limping outcome for a VC. Usually, the problem is that the team wants to sell, so that equity will be worth something, and VC wants the company to shoot the moon, because a 1.5x outcome doesn't move the dials, and the model is that the 10x's pay for the 0x's.

There's not a lot you can do as an employee about mismanagement that results in crappy outcomes. But it's an orthogonal concern to how equity is allocated. The commenter upthread was right when they said: part of your job as an employee is to pick the right company to work for.

Re:We need to rethink employee compensation by MCRed on Wednesday June 24, 2015 @05:25PM (#9774605)
That's the theoretical view of the VCs that they propagandize and that is accepted pretty widely.

The reality is, VCs are herd animals, and when the herd is spooked they make a lot of stupid decisions.

I've seen this more than once-- a later company was forced to sell for $10M, by the VCs, during another "oh the money spigot might be turning off!"

It is not an orthogonal concern-- how was I to know the VCs were going to screw us over? The return would have been dramatically better if that hadn't happened.

So the lesson learned is-- the right company to work for is one where the founders either don't take VC money or are very distrustful of VCs and only take it on favorable terms.

Re:We need to rethink employee compensation by tptacek on Wednesday June 24, 2015 @05:37PM (#9774660)
Once again, these aren't so much opinions as they are mathematical facts. The modal outcome for a portfolio of startup A rounds is a 0% return on investment. If fully half the companies in a portfolio exit in the money --- which seems wildly optimistic --- and their average return is 150%, the portfolio loses money.

Nobody is entitled to venture capital. Plenty of people start companies without it.

Re:We need to rethink employee compensation by MCRed on Wednesday June 24, 2015 @05:43PM (#9774692)
Yep, but I couldn't care less about the portfolio, and the founders shouldn't either. You're pointing out why VCs need big exits, and even a profitable one like this one may not be profitable "enough", but that "enough" is their portfolio view.

From a founder view, we shouldn't be carrying the weight of the effective cost of the fact that the VCs can't pick companies worth a damn and want to make it up on us, if we happen to be good.

Nobody is entitled to venture capital, and starting a company without it is a good idea.

And VCs are not entitled to more equity & control than makes economic sense for the founders. That's what I'm opposing, but I don't think you disagree.

Re:We need to rethink employee compensation by tptacek on Wednesday June 24, 2015 @05:49PM (#9774724)
You very much do care about the economics of VC if you need their money to build your company. No professional investor will give you terms that will lead to them losing money; that's irrational.

People don't sell equity to VCs because they've been snake-charmed by them. They do it because if you need 2MM+ for your company, they're the only realistic option. Ever talk to a bank about a line of credit against receivables? That's a fun conversation.

Re:We need to rethink employee compensation by bane on Wednesday June 24, 2015 @07:50PM (#9775184)
You should care about the portfolio, because that's the model VCs have used to decide to invest in your company.
Re:We need to rethink employee compensation by bane on Wednesday June 24, 2015 @05:09PM (#9774495)
Yeah, I agree. For VC funded, the investors won't be getting a good return (if any) on their investment. They'll probably lose money after all the venture banking fees are out of the way.

I think the question of what is a good return these days is a bit crazy. For this size company VC's should be looking at wanting a $150-300m exit on the low end. But unicorns are polluting this kind of idea.

For non-VC funded (bootstrapped, etc.) it's about an expected sale price for an established minimally growing company.

Re:We need to rethink employee compensation by MCRed on Wednesday June 24, 2015 @05:20PM (#9774575)
Don't be silly. Putting in 3 million and taking 15 million out in 2-3 years is not a "loss after banking fees".

VCs can want $100M or $1B, but it was the VCs that chose to sell this company for $30M when it could have been $300B

Here's the ground truth: VCs are idiots. Yes, that one too.

They have money, though, so people pretend otherwise.

Re:We need to rethink employee compensation by tptacek on Wednesday June 24, 2015 @05:23PM (#9774593)
Here's the ground truth: if you build a company with someone else's money, they're going to get a huge chunk of the upside, and the original management is going to retain control only as long as they hit their numbers.

Hopefully, nobody is saying employees shouldn't be wary of VC funded companies. They definitely should.

Re:We need to rethink employee compensation by MCRed on Wednesday June 24, 2015 @05:32PM (#9774636)
No, that's not the ground truth. That's the rationalization that founders tell themselves to justify being screwed over.

If you take someone else's money, they should get ownership proportional to their investment, yes. Their impact on whether original management retains control should be proportional to their ownership.

The problem is, the crazy ideology of VC worship that has taken hold allows VCs to get disproportional control and chunk of the proceeds.

People are saying that founders shouldn't be wary of VCs. VC blogs are full of propaganda and rationalizations for giving them more control and more upside than is proportional to their investment. When the blogs make it to HN, the commentary is universally in support wit the rationalization that "they're taking risk, they need to protect it". They are taking a lot less risk than the founders who can only work for one company, nota portfolio... and the risk VCs are taking is covered by their equity. They don't need second and third helpings of control and equity to cover the risk.

I'm getting downvoted for saying VCs are idiots. (elsewhere people are getting upvoted for saying "Deniers are morons", so it's not the name calling. Its' the "if I can just get thur YC and get VC funding I'll have it made!" ideology that pervades HN.

Re:We need to rethink employee compensation by dang on Wednesday June 24, 2015 @09:36PM (#9775518)
> I'm getting downvoted for saying VCs are idiots. (elsewhere people are getting upvoted for saying "Deniers are morons", so it's not the name calling. Its' the "if I can just get thur YC and get VC funding I'll have it made!" ideology that pervades HN.

No, there's a critical difference between your statement and that one: VCs are an identifiable class of people. Saying they're all idiots (something you don't know, couldn't possibly know, and indeed is not only false but obviously so) is attacking a specific group of people. "Deniers are morons", while obviously not a high-quality thing to say, is closer to a tautology. Both break the HN guidelines, but the former is worse.

This is not ideological. One needn't agree with everything every VC ever did to insist that calling them all idiots is wrong, breaks the site rules, and is correctly downvoted.

Sam once wondered whether we should make it explicitly against the HN guidelines to attack whole classes of people. At the time I said that sounded too legalistic. But it stuck in my head, and I have to say that every example I've seen come up in practice since then has suggested the value of such a rule. This is a good example.

Re:We need to rethink employee compensation by tptacek on Wednesday June 24, 2015 @05:39PM (#9774668)
I'm certainly not here saying "if I can just get thur YC and get VC funding I'll have it made!". I bootstrapped my last company and am bootstrapping this one. The mathematics of VC are a big part of why.
Re:We need to rethink employee compensation by s73v3r on Thursday June 25, 2015 @12:02AM (#9775858)
Why? When did simply having money become more valuable than actually doing the work?
Re:We need to rethink employee compensation by tptacek on Thursday June 25, 2015 @12:38AM (#9775984)
I don't understand the question. If the money isn't very valuable, it buys less equity. Companies who raise money typically talk to tens of firms looking for the best terms.
Re:We need to rethink employee compensation by eli_gottlieb on Thursday June 25, 2015 @10:16AM (#9778002)
Since the beginnings of capitalism, duh.
Re:We need to rethink employee compensation by justonepost on Wednesday June 24, 2015 @06:19PM (#9774869)
Employees should be wary of all employers. It's a dog eat dog capitalistic society out there, guys! That's hardly a clever insight.
Re:We need to rethink employee compensation by tptacek on Wednesday June 24, 2015 @06:41PM (#9774976)
This isn't even good snark. It doesn't make sense. Venture capitalists aren't investing their own money. They're taking money from other people's pension funds. They can't just give people's retirement funds to software developers to be nice.
Re:We need to rethink employee compensation by bane on Wednesday June 24, 2015 @07:48PM (#9775179)
You're certainly not paying for 24 people's salaries for 3 years with a $3m investment unless the company hits profitability very quickly (within the first year).
Re:We need to rethink employee compensation by tptacek on Wednesday June 24, 2015 @08:00PM (#9775220)
In fairness, it's more like Qtr1:5FTE, Q3:10, Q5:15, Q7:20 and so on.
Re:We need to rethink employee compensation by bane on Wednesday June 24, 2015 @08:11PM (#9775243)
True, but I think lots of folks here have no idea how much revenue you have to bring in to cover 20+ employees. Lots of people think it's just salary*20.
Re:We need to rethink employee compensation by rgbrgb on Wednesday June 24, 2015 @10:30PM (#9775625)
Well in a software company salary is generally the dominating factor, so it is on the order of what you mentioned (times a multiple depending on how cushy the amenities). In my unqualified estimation, the multiple can kill you... seems like about 2x salary for SF, 1.6x for NYC, though my company prides ourselves on keeping it a lot leaner than many of our compatriots.
Re:We need to rethink employee compensation by thedufer on Wednesday June 24, 2015 @10:59PM (#9775696)
I think that multiplier is what bane was alluding to. Incidentally, your numbers seem low for software devs - I'm fairly certain I cost well over 2x salary (NYC). Although my company prides itself on compensating well, so maybe most startups run a lot leaner than that.