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A comment on FlightCaster (YC S09) Takes Off With $1.3 Million In Funding And A New API .

Re:FlightCaster (YC S09) Takes Off With $1.3 Million In Fund... by bobbyi on Monday November 23, 2009 @10:57PM (#958685)
Flightcaster manages to predict ten times as many delays as the airlines do. And they manage to stay 90% accurate (which is on par with the airlines).

They're equally accurate, but predict ten times as many delays? Doesn't that imply that only a negligible percentage of flights are successfully predicted as delayed by either party?

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Re:FlightCaster (YC S09) Takes Off With $1.3 Million In Fund... by dartland on Tuesday November 24, 2009 @12:00AM (#958742)
4 hours out, airlines notify users of ~4% of flights that will eventually be delayed 1+ hours.

FlightCaster right now captures 40% of those flights 4 hours out (and growing as the algorithm is improved).

That is the origination of the statistic.

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