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Re:Rationality: From AI to Zombies by TeMPOraL on Friday March 20, 2015 @11:25AM (#9238267)
The lesson I learned from Roko's Basilisk event that I think Eliezer and most of the LW community also endorses is that if you're not careful, applying some models too far can have those "extreme, nay dire consequences for certain thought experiments" - so it's best not to commit too far to those methods, because they may have some caveats, or you might just have applied them wrong.
Re:Rationality: From AI to Zombies by maxerickson on Friday March 20, 2015 @12:21PM (#9238595)
Yet in this same thread here there is a discussion of torture and dust specks. As if the mystical power to prevent dust specks is close enough to reality to be interesting.

I wonder how many people that fed that question into their mentation have considered sabotaging a coal plant. Obviously, that's ethically more complicated than the thought experiment, but it follows the outline.

(If you believe that the substitutes for coal power are available and superior, then taking it offline should still be a net good, one that is distributed over a great many people, with the downside (jail) concentrated on the saboteur.)

Re:Rationality: From AI to Zombies by TeMPOraL on Friday March 20, 2015 @01:43PM (#9239280)
It's actually a fair question. But 1) I don't believe substitutes for coal power are immediately available, and taking out a plant would likely lead to many deaths (think: accidents caused by sudden blackout, rural hospitals without enough fuel for backup power generators) and inconvenience (think: areas with interrupted electrical service for months as people try to fix the grid and bring in additional power sources); 2) downsides of a coal plant aren't that bad in comparison.

Note that dustspeck vs. torture example involved 3^^^3 dustspecks, which is more than number of atoms in the universe raised to the power of number of atoms in the universe. It was purposefully chosen as such an extreme number, as to clearly outweight the utilitarian calculation in favour of torture - so that the example could be used to study our moral intuitions.

Re:Rationality: From AI to Zombies by maxerickson on Friday March 20, 2015 @02:16PM (#9239558)
My point is largely that I don't think you learn much until you actually go ahead and twist the knife yourself (or not!).

Short of that, it's just a mind puzzle, "how does what I think my beliefs are match up with what I think my beliefs are" or so.

Re:Rationality: From AI to Zombies by TeMPOraL on Friday March 20, 2015 @02:24PM (#9239612)
I always found it as the "how much my gut reaction matches with what the mathematical model suggests" kind of puzzle - useful for both exploring your own biases and the limitations of the model.
Re:Rationality: From AI to Zombies by maxerickson on Friday March 20, 2015 @02:27PM (#9239645)
That's just what I mean, you end up examining your beliefs about what your gut reaction would be. Holding the knife in your hand and deciding what to do with it is when you find out your real gut reaction.
Re:Rationality: From AI to Zombies by Houshalter on Friday March 20, 2015 @02:56PM (#9239884)
But I don't really know if we want to build a moral theory upon my gut reactions to things. My gut reactions are probably inconsistent. They are optimized by experience, culture, and evolution, not for things vastly outside the scope of common everyday situations.

I know I'm not a 100% selfless altruist. I don't donate all my money to charity and I'm not going to risk going to prison to sabotage a power plant. But that doesn't mean I can't aspire to being more altruistic or want the world to be more utilitarian.

Almost all of EY's posts are about how your gut reaction to things is often wrong, inconsistent, or leads to outcomes you probably don't desire. E.g. Scope Insensitivity (http://lesswrong.com/lw/hw/scope_insensitivity/) where people will pay more money to save 4,500 people out of 11,000, rather than 4,500 out of 250,000.

Re:Rationality: From AI to Zombies by jtheory on Friday March 20, 2015 @06:39PM (#9241076)
Right -- gut morality is strongly based on small, local interactions.

If someone invites you over for dinner and they have a live calf there, nursing at its mother, and they're intending to slaughter it in front of you, it's not the same (to gut morality) as if they slaughtered it the day before, and really not the same as if they just bought some veal at the supermarket (i.e.: paid someone out of sight to do it).

Likewise; buying something that was produced in a way that involved significant human misery and/or death feels awful to gut morality if the sweatshop, diamond mine, or whatever is next door. On the other side of the world? Eh... well this one is $6 cheaper...

Why should it be so different? Well, gut morality isn't logical, at all. It's worth a bit of effort to do better.