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Re:What you wanted to know about AI by aamar on Monday March 16, 2015 @12:55PM (#9212613)
Well, yes, but that's still a straw man. It's not as if Hawking and Gates and so on saw an Atari-bot and on that basis came to worry about AGI. Current AI technologies shouldn't update our estimates much about AGI, unless they push us way off of Kurzweil's (or someone else's) chart.

I do agree that we lack evidence of a broad community of AI experts who have been able to make good predictions, which potentially puts AI research even behind economists! Nonetheless, we'd expect there to be a period between "wild guessing" and "good and reliable models"; Gates and Hawking either think we're in that middle ground, or they think the risks are considerable enough that it's worth pushing towards it now.

Re:What you wanted to know about AI by AndrewKemendo on Monday March 16, 2015 @01:02PM (#9212680)
Or the third option: they want to get in on the AI buzz that is happening.
Re:What you wanted to know about AI by csallen on Monday March 16, 2015 @01:56PM (#9213068)
I think that in any debate, you have a responsibility to respond to the strongest version of the opposing argument. Even if your "third option" is correct and the specific aforementioned people just "want to get in on the AI buzz", that still doesn't justify ignoring the argument itself.
Re:What you wanted to know about AI by waterlesscloud on Monday March 16, 2015 @02:06PM (#9213150)
Because Hawking, Gates, and Musk needed more buzz? Whatever buzz AI has is nothing compared to what these guys have had for years.