3 billion on fighting terrorism? Sounds pretty cheap to me, considering:
https://www.nationalpriorities.org/cost-of/
> A $3bil cash infusion is going to increase prices and create need for more product.
Right, because there's an overproduction crisis hitting Afghanistan now, and that's why we see a natural trend in farmers choosing to not grow opium, and rather produce other cash crops?
If it was worked into a "sound" "hearts and minds" (not the: kidnap "suspicious" people for torture in the night kind, but something more in the spirit of the words, not the practice, born from British lessons on administrating terror in India), you could probably buy up the opium for below market value. I don't think most farmers prefer to grow opium.
On the other hand, it is hard to see how such a scheme would be possible, as it is probably against the real political motivations behind being in Afghanistan (which most certainly are not: help most of the Afghan people).
Why not? We don't seem to have any problem throwing money into a hole as things are. Why not just use it for medical morphine? Right now there are fields growing opium poppies in western countries, which is pointlessly duplicative.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Afghan_morphine http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2667253/Not-Afghanis...
I think it is wiser to pay farmers not to grow poppies.
I suppose, if one buys into the idea that this is mostly the result of a free marked (as opposed to an intricate web of political, economic and organized violent crime) -- one could offer to pay opium prices for food crops. But then you'd probably have to destroy that food, in order to prevent people from selling the food back, and collecting double payments on "not growing poppies"...
I seem to recall in south east asia this has been tried and is sort-of-working by moving people to the production of alternative plants (orchids, I think?), possibly something similar would work.
It sounds like a slightly more practical version of your suggestion would be to just pay producers to stop producing, but that obviously creates a slew of other issues.
And if there is an upper limit to opium production, you're going to have to start a price war to get there, which just dumps more and more funding into the region.