I would hope that over the next 50 years, heart disease and cancer, for example, become treatable. We should be lifting weights and maintaining our strength into our 80's:
http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2014/11/28/77-year...
Anyway, on the issue you doubt, Vaupel and other professional demographers "show the work" in their professional publications.
That's a perfectly plausible distribution. Japan, for example, has over 50k 100+ inhabitants (and probably 0 over 120).
> Life expectancy is a statistical average of the number of years a human lives
Therefore, if 3 people live until 110, and the fourth dies at 30, life expectancy is 90 years.
In another part of his comment, tokenadult mentioned another estimate that means what you're describing:
> Girls born since 2000 in the developed world are more likely than not to reach the age of 100
That's not a hard limit. There are a number of promising avenues of research likely to push human lifespan substantially higher.
Not sure if you used the correct word (and if I interpret it correctly), but I find the expected age of 100 a bit hard to believe, given that (1) humans don't live longer than about 120 years, and (2) many die much younger than 80.