Re:A Math Model Is Predicting the Ebola Outbreak
by sieisteinmodel on Thursday October 16, 2014 @02:02AM
(#8463591)
> A 'predictive model' should say 'if you do X then you will end up with Y' - and the X cannot be adjusting some number. The X has to be stuff like 'building ETU's in West Africa', or 'canceling all flights',... A predictive model should be able to say 'don't bother canceling flights, it's no use - instead do this...'.
This is just wrong. A predictive model does not necessarily have any "action" input. Example: weather forecast.
Re:A Math Model Is Predicting the Ebola Outbreak
by tjmaglio on Wednesday October 15, 2014 @11:22AM
(#8458883)
Is the course your teaching going be a MOOC or will the assignments be posted publicly? I'd love to try that assignment myself.
Re:A Math Model Is Predicting the Ebola Outbreak
by quarterwave on Wednesday October 15, 2014 @12:16PM
(#8459263)
Course is classroom format. i will post the assignment on github.
A 'predictive model' should say 'if you do X then you will end up with Y' - and the X cannot be adjusting some number. The X has to be stuff like 'building ETU's in West Africa', or 'canceling all flights',... A predictive model should be able to say 'don't bother canceling flights, it's no use - instead do this...'.
Note: I'm going to be teaching a course in Erlang programming next month where the homework assignment is epidemic modeling - 100K's of concurrent processes moving around, getting exposed to each other - that sort of stuff. Rather ambitious, but I feel it's a good use case for Erlang - a pandemic is a 'viral' chat application.