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Re:Facts About Entrepreneurs That Will Likely Surprise You by pg on Monday September 21, 2009 @11:03AM (#834713)
As I was clicking on the link, I was thinking "I wonder if it's just another one of those bogus stories about the Kauffman Foundation statistics." Yep.

(Bogus because the surprisingness comes not from the numbers themselves, but from confusing the concepts of entrepreneur and startup founder. The first paragraph is a prime example.)

Re:Facts About Entrepreneurs That Will Likely Surprise You by run4yourlives on Monday September 21, 2009 @03:10PM (#835259)
It’s based on a survey of 549 company founders across a variety of industries (that’s my first mistake, as it turns out entrepreneurs start companies other than Internet software companies — who knew?)

Paul the only people confused between the concepts of entrepreneur and starup founder though are people that think all entrepreneurs are startup founders. :)

I'd say that's a "Valley" focused viewpoint, and it shows a lot about how insular "Valley" thinking can be. I don't think it's a bad thing to be reminded that "Start Ups" are a small sub-segment of the entrepreneurial path.

Re:Facts About Entrepreneurs That Will Likely Surprise You by pg on Monday September 21, 2009 @03:52PM (#835372)
You seem to be under the misapprehension that I wrote that post. Onstartups is Dharmesh Shah's site. He's the one who says he was confused about the distinction between startup founders and entrepreneurs generally. And incidentally, he's in Boston.
Re:Facts About Entrepreneurs That Will Likely Surprise You by run4yourlives on Monday September 21, 2009 @05:40PM (#835666)
Um, no why would I think that?

You're calling out the results on the basis of "confusion", when Dharmesh clearly addresses this within the post itself. The article doesn't even contain the word startup at all.

Re:Facts About Entrepreneurs That Will Likely Surprise You by staunch on Monday September 21, 2009 @07:03PM (#835795)
OnStartups.com
Re:Facts About Entrepreneurs That Will Likely Surprise You by run4yourlives on Monday September 21, 2009 @07:52PM (#835872)
And?

I still fail to see how his very clearly labelled examination of how the average entrepreneur is very different from the average Valley start-up is causing so much confusion.

Re:Facts About Entrepreneurs That Will Likely Surprise You by tptacek on Monday September 21, 2009 @03:45PM (#835357)
That's because really, you're a startup until you're established AND your business model becomes predictable.

The Valley wants you to believe you've disqualified yourself once you've found a steady income, even though your business might follow the exact same trajectory as Dropbox once you find the right knobs to turn.

Re:Facts About Entrepreneurs That Will Likely Surprise You by pg on Monday September 21, 2009 @03:57PM (#835391)
That is such a crock. Even if you attribute the worst possible motives to this mythical "Valley," pure greed, they'd be psyched to invest in you if they thought your future trajectory was going to look like Dropbox no matter how you got to wherever you were. The one thing venture investors are not is ideological.
Re:Facts About Entrepreneurs That Will Likely Surprise You by tptacek on Monday September 21, 2009 @04:05PM (#835408)
Now we're speaking past each other. Sorry, I was imprecise. My complaint is that you're describing one business strategy as if it was the defining attribute of a company, and it isn't. 37signals was a consultancy, then it was a product company. Tomorrow it could be a "pg-style" startup, if they decided to pick a product and shoot for the moon.
Re:Facts About Entrepreneurs That Will Likely Surprise You by pg on Monday September 21, 2009 @06:47PM (#835768)
I not only realize companies can morph from consulting to product companies, I advise it:

From http://www.paulgraham.com/startupfaq.html:

How can someone start a startup if they have a family to support?

The best plan might be to start a consulting business that you can gradually morph into a startup. This way you always have a source of income. See How to Fund a Startup, especially the section labelled "Consulting."

So what exactly are you saying I'm mistaken about? Can you give me a specific sentence I've written somewhere that you believe is false?

Re:Facts About Entrepreneurs That Will Likely Surprise You by tptacek on Monday September 21, 2009 @08:37PM (#835949)
I think that's a misleading cite, for two reasons:

First, this is what you actually have to say about consulting companies:

But isn't the consulting company itself startup? No, not generally. A company has to be more than small and newly founded to be a startup. There are millions of small businesses in America, but only a few thousand are startups.

So, first, whatever it is you actually think about using consulting services as a vector for getting product to market, you explicitly define those companies out of startupdom --- both by answering "no" to the question of whether they're startups, and by supplementing your definition with "small and newly founded".

Second, while you're kind enough to suggest that consulting might be a good way to start a company for those of that have families, the majority of the "consulting" section of the essay you cite consists of warnings about the perils of consulting.

In fact, you're even more explicit in another essay:

This one is real. I wouldn't advise anyone with a family to start a startup. I'm not saying it's a bad idea, just that I don't want to take responsibility for advising it. I'm willing to take responsibility for telling 22 year olds to start startups. So what if they fail? They'll learn a lot, and that job at Microsoft will still be waiting for them if they need it. But I'm not prepared to cross moms.

What you can do, if you have a family and want to start a startup, is start a consulting business you can then gradually turn into a product business. Empirically the chances of pulling that off seem very small. You're never going to produce Google this way. But at least you'll never be without an income."

Or, how about "Ramen profitable", where you say:

Is there a downside to ramen profitability? Probably the biggest danger is that it might turn you into a consulting firm. Startups have to be product companies, in the sense of making a single thing that everyone uses. The defining quality of startups is that they grow fast, and consulting just can't scale the way a product can. [3] But it's pretty easy to make $3000 a month consulting; in fact, that would be a low rate for contract programming. So there could be a temptation to slide into consulting, and telling yourselves you're a ramen profitable startup, when in fact you're not a startup at all.

(Same essay: "it's OK to do a little consulting work at first".)

But whatever! Whether you hold consulting companies in equal esteem with shoot-the-moon product startups is beside my point, which is simply that I don't think think it's reasonable to classify companies principally by whether they are small and recently-founded. Have you ever seen 37signals offices? They're a startup.

Re:Facts About Entrepreneurs That Will Likely Surprise You by pg on Monday September 21, 2009 @10:43PM (#836124)
I don't understand what you're trying to establish with these quotes. I agree with them all, but I don't have the slightest idea what "aha! see?" point you're trying to establish.

Please, please, just explain what statement of mine you're cleverly refuting here.

Re:Facts About Entrepreneurs That Will Likely Surprise You by tptacek on Monday September 21, 2009 @11:09PM (#836173)
Sorry. I'm sure you're right.
Re:Facts About Entrepreneurs That Will Likely Surprise You by mixmax on Monday September 21, 2009 @01:21PM (#835019)
Can you point to a better resource or study?
Re:Facts About Entrepreneurs That Will Likely Surprise You by pg on Monday September 21, 2009 @01:51PM (#835083)
I don't know of any. The problem is not with the Kauffman foundation study's data, as far as I know. The problem is all these articles that describe the data as surprising, when most of the surprise is due to confusing startups with small companies generally.
Re:Facts About Entrepreneurs That Will Likely Surprise You by startingup on Monday September 21, 2009 @05:55PM (#835694)
I am not sure I am hot on the startup vs small company distinction, because there exist so many examples of cross-overs. First, there are a lot of tech "startups" (meeting pg's definition) that have preferred to stay small, becoming "lifestyle businesses" as the pejorative term has it (no, it is not my preferred term!). I bet I can think of many that started out as startups, but would not meet pg's definition of startup anymore; there may even be a few YC-backed companies in that list. The opposite also occurs and has occurred, a non-scalable-model based small business morphing into a scalable company.

At some level, all taxonomies break down, but startup vs small business taxonomy isn't very strong to begin with.

Re:Facts About Entrepreneurs That Will Likely Surprise You by 10ren on Monday September 21, 2009 @11:36AM (#834793)
Do you mean that a substantial number of the respondent entrepreneurs founded companies that are not "startups" (i.e. aren't small)?
Re:Facts About Entrepreneurs That Will Likely Surprise You by pg on Monday September 21, 2009 @11:38AM (#834799)
No, that only a tiny fraction of small companies are startups. Most small companies are local service businesses or one-man consulting operations.
Re:Facts About Entrepreneurs That Will Likely Surprise You by unalone on Monday September 21, 2009 @11:41AM (#834805)
So they're not start-ups in your sense of the word, but they're businesses self-started that make a living for the person/people in question.
Re:Facts About Entrepreneurs That Will Likely Surprise You by pg on Monday September 21, 2009 @01:00PM (#834977)
In whose sense of the word is a plumber or a gas station a startup?

I'm not putting people who start those types of businesses down. Please don't try to make it sound as if I am.

Re:Facts About Entrepreneurs That Will Likely Surprise You by unalone on Monday September 21, 2009 @01:07PM (#834986)
By the time I went to reply you took out my favorite quip of what you wrote—"That's the kind of line a politician would say."

The article was about entrepreneurs. It was not about your idea of startups. Your comment was defending a concept not present in the article.

I've never liked the word "startup". Ontologically it means that something's begun. I don't feel comfortable assigning more meaning to the word than that, though the connotations have been assigned.

Re:Facts About Entrepreneurs That Will Likely Surprise You by pg on Monday September 21, 2009 @01:30PM (#835043)
The article was about entrepreneurs. It was not about your idea of startups.

Imagine an article on a web site about the NFL that began "When you think of a football player, you probably imagine someone six foot five who weighs 250 pounds. But a new study shows the average football player is actually four foot eight and weights 80 pounds." Because the average football player is actually a little league player.

So yes, the study described in the article is about founders of small businesses rather than startups (in what you call my sense, meaning the generally accepted sense of the word). But what makes it misleading is that it appears on a site about startups, begins by talking about examples of startups, and then claims it's surprising that people starting small businesses have different characteristics. It's not surprising at all that the average person opening a gas station or starting his own landscaping company is 40.

Re:Facts About Entrepreneurs That Will Likely Surprise You by jhancock on Monday September 21, 2009 @04:46PM (#835529)
This is a more effective explanation. It will be interesting to see how stats evolve for "IT startups".

On one hand, we have loads of unemployed well educated young people right now that can afford to risk their time. These may be more likely to seek seed capital? Go big or go home models?

On the other, we have loads of seasoned industry vets with stable lives and cash in the bank to make a go of a new IT business. These may be more likely to start with one or two paying clients? Steady growth models?

Re:Facts About Entrepreneurs That Will Likely Surprise You by cglee on Tuesday September 22, 2009 @01:01AM (#836304)
That's a good example and shows the crux of the problem. In your example, the article should have said "the average NFL player", which offers a clear category of football player. The term "startup" is not as clearly delineated as "NFL player", hence the confusion.
Re:Facts About Entrepreneurs That Will Likely Surprise You by psranga on Monday September 21, 2009 @09:46PM (#836067)
I replied elsewhere also: the list of industries surveyed (page 10) all seem to be high-tech.
Re:Facts About Entrepreneurs That Will Likely Surprise You by psranga on Monday September 21, 2009 @09:44PM (#836063)
Paul, the article has a list of industries they surveyed (page 10). Plumbing and gas stations don't figure. They all seem to be high tech.
Re:Facts About Entrepreneurs That Will Likely Surprise You by thetrumanshow on Monday September 21, 2009 @12:18PM (#834889)
I realized just now that I have been reading hacker news without properly understanding of what pg means by a 'startup'.

Found this: http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=728689

Now, I will at least know what pg is referencing. I still won't know what other commenters mean by a 'startup' unless they are synced up on this too. I wonder how you can fix that?

Re:Facts About Entrepreneurs That Will Likely Surprise You by jeromec on Monday September 21, 2009 @12:15PM (#834884)
Semantics on the word "startup": In my view to qualify as a startup the idea or business process must be novel in some way. Otherwise it is simply "self-started" as you mentioned.
Re:Facts About Entrepreneurs That Will Likely Surprise You by smikhanov on Monday September 21, 2009 @11:52AM (#834830)
I personally call "startup" a company at the stage when it attracts venture capital funding (i.e. high-risk investments). Palm, Inc. at the stage of developing and releasing Pre fits into this category (and I bet the people in the Pre departments were working like in typical startup).

The respondents' businesses probably attract low-risk bank credits instead (i.e. the money entrepreneur must pay back at some point). This makes things different. Those businesses are probably into retail, or consulting, or something similar; the potential leverage is lower there. And these are not the sort of businesses that get most of the attention on HN.

Re:Facts About Entrepreneurs That Will Likely Surprise You by replicatorblog on Monday September 21, 2009 @12:17PM (#834888)
It is a matter of semantics at some point.

Club Penguin was a tech startup that sold for mid-nine figures without raising any VC. Mahalo actually seems more like a plumbing company than a tech start up in a weird way, but has raised VC from top tier firms.

The big distinction is building a business that can make you money while you sleep. something that can scale beyond the hours you work vs. being constrained by billable hours or their equivalent.

Re:Facts About Entrepreneurs That Will Likely Surprise You by pg on Monday September 21, 2009 @01:29PM (#835041)
Club Penguin was funded by angel investors though.