Regarding SUSY, strictly speaking no particles have been directly detected but anomalous currents abound and just about everything seen works perfectly with light SUSY and much better than with the standard model. The dilepton events alone are very compelling. http://www.science20.com/a_quantum_diaries_survivor/a_susy_e... SUSY is in plain view much the way the Higgs was in plain view for about a year before the official announcement. I have no special insider information, just a humble internet connection to download the important papers and a decent knowledge of particle physics. In hind sight, everyone will say 'of course' which always happens. From a theory point of view, SUSY is simply not an option unless there is some spectacularly new theory out there with novel concepts to replace QFT. The Coleman-Mandula theorem is extremely compelling. It basically tells us accept SUSY or find something to replace QFT. Since QFT works and there's no good reason to move on to something else (especially when something else doesn't exist presently and possibly never will), it's a safe bet SUSY must exist somewhere. It just so happens to be light SUSY and we're seeing it at the LHC right now. I think we're presently seeing the equivalent of a COBE picture of SUSY and next year it will sharpen up into a WMAP picture.
Why does an absence of evidence imply that the arrival of evidence would be shocking? They're doing the experiment because they already believe things are this way and they're trying to get evidence to confirm it. If they disconfirmed it, that'd be surprising.
That's not science, that's confirmation bias. In science, one would want to look for evidence that one's theory is false with as much vigor as a search for evidence that it's true. Science isn't law, and it's not religion.
> If they disconfirmed it, that'd be surprising.
If they falsified their theory while only seeking confirming evidence, yes, that would be surprising. This is why open-minded scientists try to avoid assuming what they should be proving (the real meaning of the expression "beg the question").
No, the expression "assuming what you should be proving" has a special semantic meaning -- it refers to a thought process that uses its conclusion to support its investigation, or takes the preferred outcome as a given from the start, without seriously considering alternative explanations.
Hypothesizing means taking existing theory and extrapolating new untested properties, then presumably investigating whether there is any evidence for the hypothesis.
> You don't really design experiments that can both confirm and refute a theory.
On the contrary, the best experiments have the chance to either confirm or refute a hypothesis. The Michelson & Morley ether experiment is a classic of its kind -- its outcome would either confirm or refute the ether as it was imagined to be.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Michelson%E2%80%93Morley_experi...
> When an "open-minded" scientist attempts to perform an experiment to test theory, they aren't personally responsible for subsequent theories and experiments that could disprove their results.
Not so. An open-minded scientist wouldn't pass up the chance to uncover any positive or negative evidence for or against his theory -- both kinds of evidence contribute to our understanding of nature. Remember the story about Bell Labs engineers Penzias and Wilson cleaning bird droppings from their microwave dish? They did that so someone else wouldn't scoop them by discovering that they had been fooling themselves about the source of the noise in their antenna (which ultimately was identified as the cosmic background radiation, now standing as evidence for the Big Bang).
http://www.aps.org/programs/outreach/history/historicsites/p...
The bottom line? Science isn't law, it's not adversarial, there aren't two competing sides, and a responsible scientist maintains an open mind with respect to evidence both for and against his theories.
Hypothesizing is one thing, but to believe without evidence is just blind faith.
Even in the case under discussion, that someone might have faith that something is a particular way, and are doing an experiment to confirm it (more likely disprove an alternative), that doesn't mean it's 'blind' as in without reason. People can have a lot of good reasons for believing something is a particular way without having measured it directly yet.
For the record, my father was far more amazed by rambling, not entirely coherent speculative physics ideas than my mother or either of my aunts.
Apologies for taking the conversation off on a tangent, but you seem passionate about this.
-- Evan from TQHN.
You've likely seen it but if not you might enjoy it.
I suppose you're referring to Lisi? Neither he nor E8 were even mentioned in the article. You're both OT and unnecessarily unpleasant.
I'm just an engineer, so I'm not sure I see the utility in any of that--sorry to sound closed-minded, but am genuinely curious.
Bardeen is the real deal. His papers are very interesting and feel a bit like reading Sidney Coleman's papers. If you're interested...
http://arxiv.org/find/hep-th/1/au:+Bardeen_W/0/1/0/all/0/1
Is nature scale invariant? So far the answer is absolutely NO but I strongly advise to wait and see. There are many topics that point to some breakdown in scale or reorganizing what we think of space and distance (dualities in string theory, conformal field theory).
OK, now the important thing I want everyone here to realize. You are living through a GOLDEN AGE of physics. You wouldn't think that based on what all the popular magazines tell you. Here's why...
1. Higgs particle - discovered!
2. Inflation - discovered! Denying this one is like denying the Big Bang itself. The evidence is overwhelming and in fact I would list this as the single greatest scientific discovery of all time. The concurrent discovery of gravity waves, quantum gravity and a real life example of a Hawking process only sweetens the deal.
3. Supersymmetry has basically already been discovered IMHO. They aren't announcing anything at CERN and won't until they have so many sigmas under their belt but trust me, it's coming and truth be told, it isn't really so surprising. SUSY physics has always been rock solid from the beginning. The situation is very similar to that before offical Higgs announcement and before someone went knocking on Andre Linde's front door. Many were extremely confident in the Higgs particle a least a year before the official announcement. The BICEP 2 results were even more glaringly apparent than the Higgs results. Many people were walking around the Earth with 'secret knowledge' that inflation theory was correct even 2 to 3 years before the official announcement.
So you are living through EXTREMELY interesting times but you wouldn't know it with all the big science bashing being thrown around.