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Re:In 'Sherlock Holmes' Rights Dispute, Conan Doyle Estate S... by dredmorbius on Friday August 08, 2014 @11:58AM (#8153433)
My model is simple. It's also markedly better in financial performance than most actual works' sales, which are heavily front-loaded. That is: as weak as the case the perpetuity model is for copyright any real-world revenue stream model is worse.

Prices rising with inflation is only keeping them stable in constant dollars. You'd have to apply an inflation discount to your future revenues as well.

My model isn't trying to argue that you'd value the actual real-world value of a book in terms of a constant, real-value, revenue stream. Reality is far less remunerative than that.

It's that even if that were an accurate model, the distant-future revenues would provide a minimal incentive to a current opportunity-cost analysis of writing for publication and income vs. alternative activities.

Which is to say: copyright terms are far longer than can be justified on an economic basis as incentive to authors.

That they're an incentive to present copyrightholders of aged works with some present value isn't at debate, but that's the only justification for post-hoc copyright term extension.

Re:In 'Sherlock Holmes' Rights Dispute, Conan Doyle Estate S... by mrow84 on Tuesday August 12, 2014 @06:27PM (#8170546)
Ok, I get you now - I find it more clear now that you've explicitly spelled it out as a kind of "expected upper bound". And of course, I completely agree with your conclusions, but that should by now be a given.

Also, apologies for not replying sooner, I thought you'd lost interest and had stopped checking.